Southwell (AW) 17:30 22 Sep 2026
Class 4 22 Sep 2026

Today attheraces.com/marketmovers Handicap Stakes (Div II)

attheraces.com/marketmovers Handicap Stakes (Div II) · 1m13y

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Beverley

13:30–17:35 · 8 races

Listowel

13:47–17:16 · 7 races

Warwick

13:55–16:48 · 6 races

Fontwell

14:12–17:07 · 6 races

Southwell (AW)

16:20–20:30 · 9 races

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Voting open
  • 11 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Join free to vote Updated 30 minutes ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Duke's Command silks
Duke's Command
Age 5 · 10-2
876508
87
94
5
10-2
9/1
Duke's Command heads the ratings and arrives in good order on 16 days' rest, with experience over today's trip and going working in his favour. Winless in his last six starts, he nevertheless rates the one to beat off 142 lb from stall nine, and a fifth three starts back hints at enough ability to go close.
Spotlight

Duke's Command heads the ratings and arrives in good order on 16 days' rest, with experience over today's trip and going working in his favour. Winless in his last six starts, he nevertheless rates the one to beat off 142 lb from stall nine, and a fifth three starts back hints at enough ability to go close.

2
Shimmy Jimmy silks
Shimmy Jimmy
Age 4 · 9-13
622/4-
84
86
4
9-13
16/1 FCST 14/1
Winless in his last four starts and absent for 450 days, Shimmy Jimmy faces a stiff fitness test despite the encouragement of two seconds in recent starts and experience over today's distance and going; the 139 lb burden from stall eight adds further pressure.
Spotlight

Winless in his last four starts and absent for 450 days, Shimmy Jimmy faces a stiff fitness test despite the encouragement of two seconds in recent starts and experience over today's distance and going; the 139 lb burden from stall eight adds further pressure.

3
Hot And Cold silks
Hot And Cold
Age 3 · 9-10
1-1251
85
88
3
9-10
7/2 FCST 11/4
Hot And Cold arrives here in fine nick, winning last time out and boasting three wins in her last five starts, with experience over today's trip and conditions adding solid grounding; the 136 lb burden from stall seven is the chief weight to overcome.
Spotlight

Hot And Cold arrives here in fine nick, winning last time out and boasting three wins in her last five starts, with experience over today's trip and conditions adding solid grounding; the 136 lb burden from stall seven is the chief weight to overcome.

4
Vincent Rocks silks
Vincent Rocks
Age 4 · 9-10
030250
81
88
4
9-10
16/1 FCST 14/1
Twice placed in recent starts, including a second three outings back, Vincent Rocks has run over today's trip and going before and arrives here on a competitive 17-day turnaround carrying 136 lb; the concern is that he remains winless in his last six starts.
Spotlight

Twice placed in recent starts, including a second three outings back, Vincent Rocks has run over today's trip and going before and arrives here on a competitive 17-day turnaround carrying 136 lb; the concern is that he remains winless in his last six starts.

5
Winston's Warrior silks
Winston's Warrior
Age 4 · 9-9
-18562
80
85
4
9-9
7/1 FCST 5/1
Second last time out gives Winston's Warrior a recent reminder of his best form, though a sixth two starts back shows inconsistency to factor in; he has run over today's trip and going before, and 135 lb from stall four makes this a fair enough test at an official mark of 80.
Spotlight

Second last time out gives Winston's Warrior a recent reminder of his best form, though a sixth two starts back shows inconsistency to factor in; he has run over today's trip and going before, and 135 lb from stall four makes this a fair enough test at an official mark of 80.

6
On The River silks
On The River
Age 7 · 9-8
527532
79
87
7
9-8
8/1
Consistent and in good nick 23 days on from his latest runner-up finish, On The River has experience over today's distance and going and carries a manageable 134 lb from stall 3; the concern is that he remains winless in his last six starts.
Spotlight

Consistent and in good nick 23 days on from his latest runner-up finish, On The River has experience over today's distance and going and carries a manageable 134 lb from stall 3; the concern is that he remains winless in his last six starts.

7
Date Line silks
Date Line
Age 3 · 9-8
21-26
83
78
3
9-8
20/1
Ran a creditable second two starts back and scored three starts back, but her sixth last time out raises questions, and our rating of 78 leaves her with ground to make up on the top-rated; has run over today's trip and returns on a workable 17-day break.
Spotlight

Ran a creditable second two starts back and scored three starts back, but her sixth last time out raises questions, and our rating of 78 leaves her with ground to make up on the top-rated; has run over today's trip and returns on a workable 17-day break.

8
Moving Shadow silks
Moving Shadow
Age 3 · 9-7
17-3
82
84
3
9-7
9/2
Won three starts back but disappointed with a seventh two starts back before bouncing back into third last time; he has run over today's trip and carries 133 lb from stall 6, though 55 days off the track leaves fitness an open question.
Spotlight

Won three starts back but disappointed with a seventh two starts back before bouncing back into third last time; he has run over today's trip and carries 133 lb from stall 6, though 55 days off the track leaves fitness an open question.

9
Home Hero silks
Home Hero
Age 3 · 9-4
151747
79
76
3
9-4
17/2
Home Hero ran just yesterday and rates below his official mark on our figures, ranked tenth of eleven in the field; a fourth two starts back offers a sliver of hope, but a pair of sevenths either side of it make him hard to fancy at the weights.
Spotlight

Home Hero ran just yesterday and rates below his official mark on our figures, ranked tenth of eleven in the field; a fourth two starts back offers a sliver of hope, but a pair of sevenths either side of it make him hard to fancy at the weights.

10
Storm Point silks
Storm Point
Age 3 · 9-2
-16175
77
77
3
9-2
11/1 FCST 8/1
Ranked ninth of eleven on our figures, Storm Point faces a stiff ask, and back-to-back finishes of seventh and fifth in his last two starts do little to inspire confidence; he has run over today's trip and going before, and a win three starts back at least confirms he can find the line.
Spotlight

Ranked ninth of eleven on our figures, Storm Point faces a stiff ask, and back-to-back finishes of seventh and fifth in his last two starts do little to inspire confidence; he has run over today's trip and going before, and a win three starts back at least confirms he can find the line.

11
Assiri Heights silks
Assiri Heights
Age 3 · 9-0
9-62
75
63
3
9-0
4/1
Winless in his last three starts and ranked bottom of the field on our figures, Assiri Heights faces a stiff task from stall ten carrying 126 lb, though he has run over today's trip and going before and returns on a sharp 13-day turnaround.
Spotlight

Winless in his last three starts and ranked bottom of the field on our figures, Assiri Heights faces a stiff task from stall ten carrying 126 lb, though he has run over today's trip and going before and returns on a sharp 13-day turnaround.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Duke's Command 9/1 11/1 10/1 10/1 10/1 11/1 Paddy Power
2 Shimmy Jimmy 16/1 14/1 16/1 16/1 16/1 16/1 Bet365
3 Hot And Cold 7/2 11/4 3/1 3/1 3/1 7/2 Bet365
4 Vincent Rocks 16/1 14/1 16/1 16/1 16/1 16/1 Bet365
5 Winston's Warrior 7/1 5/1 6/1 6/1 6/1 7/1 Bet365
6 On The River 8/1 8/1 8/1 8/1 8/1 8/1 Bet365
7 Date Line 20/1 22/1 20/1 20/1 20/1 22/1 Paddy Power
8 Moving Shadow 9/2 13/2 5/1 5/1 5/1 13/2 Paddy Power
9 Home Hero 17/2 14/1 11/1 11/1 10/1 14/1 Paddy Power
10 Storm Point 11/1 8/1 9/1 9/1 9/1 11/1 Bet365
11 Assiri Heights 4/1 6/1 9/2 9/2 9/2 6/1 Paddy Power

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Hot And Cold

Speculative

Hot And Cold owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (49) and market confidence (84). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

7/2 Sir Mark Prescott Bt Luke Morris
74% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Duke's Command

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

9/1 · David O'Meara
✓ Value Signal

Date Line

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

20/1 · Charlie Johnston
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

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Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Speculative
49 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +18.6 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
84 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +18.5 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
39 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +3.8 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction
44 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.4 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
39 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +3.9 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
56 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.4 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 3. Hot And Cold
55.7 7/2
2 1. Duke's Command
51.1 9/1
3 8. Moving Shadow
50.0 9/2
4 9. Home Hero
50.0 17/2
5 6. On The River
49.3 8/1
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The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

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Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

3
Age 3 · 9-10
7/2
🐾

Hot And Cold arrives here in fine nick, winning last time out and boasting three wins in her last five starts, with experience over today's trip and conditions adding solid grounding; the 136 lb burden from stall seven is the chief weight to overcome.

11
Age 3 · 9-0
4/1
🐾

Winless in his last three starts and ranked bottom of the field on our figures, Assiri Heights faces a stiff task from stall ten carrying 126 lb, though he has run over today's trip and going before and returns on a sharp 13-day turnaround.

8
Age 3 · 9-7
9/2
🐾

Won three starts back but disappointed with a seventh two starts back before bouncing back into third last time; he has run over today's trip and carries 133 lb from stall 6, though 55 days off the track leaves fitness an open question.

5
Age 4 · 9-9
7/1
🐾

Second last time out gives Winston's Warrior a recent reminder of his best form, though a sixth two starts back shows inconsistency to factor in; he has run over today's trip and going before, and 135 lb from stall four makes this a fair enough test at an official mark of 80.

6
Age 7 · 9-8
8/1
🐾

Consistent and in good nick 23 days on from his latest runner-up finish, On The River has experience over today's distance and going and carries a manageable 134 lb from stall 3; the concern is that he remains winless in his last six starts.

9
Age 3 · 9-4
17/2
🐾

Home Hero ran just yesterday and rates below his official mark on our figures, ranked tenth of eleven in the field; a fourth two starts back offers a sliver of hope, but a pair of sevenths either side of it make him hard to fancy at the weights.

1
Age 5 · 10-2
9/1
🐾

Duke's Command heads the ratings and arrives in good order on 16 days' rest, with experience over today's trip and going working in his favour. Winless in his last six starts, he nevertheless rates the one to beat off 142 lb from stall nine, and a fifth three starts back hints at enough ability to go close.

10
Age 3 · 9-2
11/1
🐾

Ranked ninth of eleven on our figures, Storm Point faces a stiff ask, and back-to-back finishes of seventh and fifth in his last two starts do little to inspire confidence; he has run over today's trip and going before, and a win three starts back at least confirms he can find the line.

2
Age 4 · 9-13
16/1
🐾

Winless in his last four starts and absent for 450 days, Shimmy Jimmy faces a stiff fitness test despite the encouragement of two seconds in recent starts and experience over today's distance and going; the 139 lb burden from stall eight adds further pressure.

4
Age 4 · 9-10
16/1
🐾

Twice placed in recent starts, including a second three outings back, Vincent Rocks has run over today's trip and going before and arrives here on a competitive 17-day turnaround carrying 136 lb; the concern is that he remains winless in his last six starts.

7
Age 3 · 9-8
20/1
🐾

Ran a creditable second two starts back and scored three starts back, but her sixth last time out raises questions, and our rating of 78 leaves her with ground to make up on the top-rated; has run over today's trip and returns on a workable 17-day break.

🗺 The Course Class 4

1m13y Distance to cover
Good Expected going
11 Confirmed runners
Southwell (AW) Track and setting
Class 4 Race grade