Jagged Edge bounced back to winning ways last time out and, with distance and going experience in his locker, he arrives in good heart after 32 days off, carrying 109 on our ratings as the top-ranked runner in the field.
Form last 6-10301
★AI Rating★★★★☆
110SR109RPR105OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 110 backed by market confidence at 5/2 — a genuine contender.
Cristal Clere won three starts back and was a close second five starts back, giving him solid recent form to anchor his claims, and he has run over today's distance and going before; the main concern is a 95-day absence heading into this.
Form last 6251-96
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
83SR103RPR98OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 83 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Iron Fist arrives on the back of two unplaced efforts in his last three starts and is yet to score in recent starts, though a third four starts back and a second five starts back show he can get into the mix; the trip and going hold no fears, and 135 lb from stall two is the key query.
Form last 6023050
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
87SR98RPR92OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 87 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Bay Colony showed she can win in recent starts but has been out of the frame in three of her last four outings, including ninth last time out, and 140 days off the track adds a fitness query; she has run over today's trip and going, and carries 130 lb from stall 10.
Form last 6177-49
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
58SR94RPR83OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 58 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 66/1.
Twice placed in her last two starts and carrying fitness into this off just ten days, Chica Guerrera has experience of today's trip and going; however, a top weight of 130 lb from stall 8 is a notable ask for a filly who has managed one win in her last six starts.
Form last 6431022
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
96SR93RPR93OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 96 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Iowa City shaped with promise when third three starts back and winning four starts back, and her experience over today's trip and going bolsters her claims at 130 lb — the main concern is 122 days off the track.
Form last 6313-40
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
101SR102RPR96OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 101 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Winless in her last five starts and ranked 11 of 12 on our figures, La Tulipe Noire faces a stiff ask here, with 130 lb to carry from stall 11 and 129 days off the track adding further doubt, though she does have experience over today's trip and going.
Form last 6-09587
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
38SR74RPR58OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 38 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 200/1.
Qualixia won last time out and, with three wins in her last five starts, arrives unexposed and open to further progress, though connections will need her to bounce back sharply after a 304-day absence carrying 130 lb from stall 6.
Form last 611541-
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
98SR—RPR94OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 98 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Fourth last time out tempers the appeal of a second two starts back, and her form is patchy across her last five starts, though she has experience of today's trip and going and the 130 lb burden from stall 12 adds another question mark.
Form last 6718-24
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
77SR92RPR87OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 77 suggests ability but 20/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Three wins in her last six starts, including a second three starts back, mark Meriden as a genuine threat at 129 lb from stall four, and she returns fresh on 10 days' rest with distance and going experience in her favour; the concern is a trainer in a cold run of 0/20 over the past fortnight.
Form last 6111267
★AI Rating★★★★☆
112SR105RPR104OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
Favourable weight of 9-3 gives a real edge in this handicap.
Ranked tenth of twelve on our figures, Flower Forest faces a stiff ask on ratings despite winning last time out seventeen days ago, and while she has run over today's trip and going before, this Class 1 assignment makes her hard to fancy.
Form last 6451
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
81SR88RPR79OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 81 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Mixed Feelings returns after a 95-day break ranked ninth of twelve on our figures, making her hard to fancy, though she does bring distance and going experience to the table and that win three starts back shows she can find the winner's enclosure.
Form last 63-150
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
83SR91RPR91OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 83 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer),
Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync.
Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Jagged Edge owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (61) and market confidence (88). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
5/2Stephen ThorneJack Kearney
68%Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner
Meriden
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
10/3 · Denis Gerard Hogan✓ Value Signal
Bay Colony
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
50/1 · J A Stack◈ Chamber Memory
Balanced
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Meriden (SR:112, 10/3) carries the joint-highest SR in the field alongside a DistFit:+ and GoingFit:+ confirmation — proven at this trip and on good ground — and a recent form string of 111267 showing three consecutive wins before a slight dip, suggesting peak form. At 9-3 she carries 9lb less than joint-top-weight Jagged Edge despite possessing a 2-point SR advantage, a meaningful weight-for-ability edge in a Listed contest. Denis Hogan's 9% strike rate is modest but Chris Hayes (10%, 2,321 career rides) is a quality pilot and the 10-day turnaround suggests the horse is training well. The principal concern is the +7lb mark rise since last win, but the weight-for-age allowance as a 3-year-old mitigates that in this mixed-age field.
Each-way alternative: Iowa City.
Main danger: Jagged Edge — Jagged Edge (SR:110, 5/2) holds DistFit:+ and GoingFit:+ — proven at this trip and going — and despite carrying top-weight of 9-12 the market makes it clear favourite, suggesting stable confidence that its 5/0301 recent form (a win and a third in its last two meaningful runs) is trending upward at this exact class level.
⚖Case against4clamped▾
Form reads 111267 — the last two runs show a 6th and 7th, meaning Meriden has not won in her past three outings and is arriving at Listed level off a losing streak rather than a winning one.
Stepping up to Listed company for the first time represents a genuine class rise; her SR of 112 is joint-highest but built at a lower level, and the +7lb mark rise since her last win compounds the cl…
Jagged Edge (5/2, SR:110) and Iowa City (6/1, SR:101, trained by P. Twomey 24% strike rate with W.J. Lee 15%) offer strong market-backed alternatives, and Meriden's 10/3 price implies limited market…
Denis Hogan's 9% trainer strike rate is the weakest among the leading fancies in this field, a meaningful edge surrendered to Twomey (24%) and JP O'Brien (16%) whose runners Qualixia and Mixed Feelin…
ShortlistMeriden, Jagged Edge, Iowa City, Qualixia