Warwick 13:55 22 Sep 2026
Class 4 22 Sep 2026

Today Man Commercial Protection Novices' Handicap Steeple Chase (GBB Race)

Man Commercial Protection Novices' Handicap Steeple Chase (GBB Race) · 3m

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  • 3 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Join free to vote Updated 30 minutes ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Kiwi de Cotte silks
Kiwi de Cotte
Age 6 · 11-11
-P1315
117
115
6
11-11
5/6 4/5 5/6
Kiwi de Cotte brings winning form to this contest, scoring two starts back and again four starts back in recent outings, and with his trainer firing at 32% over the past fortnight, the 18-day turnaround holds no fears; he has run over today's trip and remains the one to beat at the weights.
Spotlight

Kiwi de Cotte brings winning form to this contest, scoring two starts back and again four starts back in recent outings, and with his trainer firing at 32% over the past fortnight, the 18-day turnaround holds no fears; he has run over today's trip and remains the one to beat at the weights.

2
In The Trenches silks
In The Trenches
Age 6 · 11-6
521P47
112
115
6
11-6
10/3 FCST 5/2
A winner four starts back and fourth two starts back, In The Trenches has shown enough quality in recent form to make him a genuine threat here, with our rating of 115 putting him right in the mix; the main concern is a pulled up run three starts back that raises fitness questions despite 50 days between runs.
Spotlight

A winner four starts back and fourth two starts back, In The Trenches has shown enough quality in recent form to make him a genuine threat here, with our rating of 115 putting him right in the mix; the main concern is a pulled up run three starts back that raises fitness questions despite 50 days between runs.

3
Passengerontheship silks
Passengerontheship
Age 7 · 11-2
111157
108
105
7
11-2
5/2 FCST 2/1
Four wins in his last six starts, with the most recent victory three starts back, marks Passengerontheship as a serious threat at 156 lb, and he has run over today's trip before; the risk is that his last two runs have both disappointed.
Spotlight

Four wins in his last six starts, with the most recent victory three starts back, marks Passengerontheship as a serious threat at 156 lb, and he has run over today's trip before; the risk is that his last two runs have both disappointed.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Kiwi de Cotte 5/6 open 1.80 10/11 10/11 open 1.83 5/6 10/11 open 1.83 10/11 10/11 Paddy Power
2 In The Trenches 10/3 open 4.50 5/2 11/4 open 4.00 11/4 open 4.00 11/4 open 4.00 11/4 10/3 Bet365
3 Passengerontheship 5/2 9/4 9/4 9/4 9/4 2/1 5/2 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Kiwi de Cotte

Live signal

Kiwi de Cotte owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (64) and market confidence (96). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

5/6 Dan Skelton Harry Skelton
76% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

In The Trenches

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

10/3 · Jennie Candlish
✓ Value Signal

In The Trenches

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

10/3 · Jennie Candlish
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

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Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Live signal
64 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +24.3 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
96 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +21.2 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Speculative
51 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +5.0 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction
40 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.0 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
47 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.7 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Live signal
61 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.9 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 3 ranked by the active lens.
1 1. Kiwi de Cotte
64.6 5/6
2 2. In The Trenches
59.8 10/3
3 3. Passengerontheship
58.4 5/2
YOUR DECISION

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The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

1
Age 6 · 11-11
5/6
🐾

Kiwi de Cotte brings winning form to this contest, scoring two starts back and again four starts back in recent outings, and with his trainer firing at 32% over the past fortnight, the 18-day turnaround holds no fears; he has run over today's trip and remains the one to beat at the weights.

3
Age 7 · 11-2
5/2
🐾

Four wins in his last six starts, with the most recent victory three starts back, marks Passengerontheship as a serious threat at 156 lb, and he has run over today's trip before; the risk is that his last two runs have both disappointed.

2
Age 6 · 11-6
10/3
🐾

A winner four starts back and fourth two starts back, In The Trenches has shown enough quality in recent form to make him a genuine threat here, with our rating of 115 putting him right in the mix; the main concern is a pulled up run three starts back that raises fitness questions despite 50 days between runs.

STEAMERS

Race Steamers

What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.

🗺 The Course Class 4

3m Distance to cover
Good to Firm Expected going
3 Confirmed runners
Warwick Track and setting
Class 4 Race grade