Rogue Bullet shaped with real promise when second two starts back and third three starts back, and he has experience of today's distance and going in his favour; the worry is whether he can bounce back after finishing eighth last time out.
Form last 6514328
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
66SR77RPR75OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 66 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Winless in his last six starts, Goyard nonetheless shaped with promise when fourth four starts back and offers solid claims here from stall one carrying 135 lb, with experience over today's trip and going a further boost; the main risk is his return just three days ago.
Form last 6384576
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
74SR76RPR74OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 74 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Placed second and third in recent starts, Managing Director brings solid each-way claims having run over today's trip, and his rating of 79 ranks him second among these seven; the concern is he's been winless in his last five and was unplaced last time out just 16 days ago.
Form last 68/5320
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
85SR79RPR73OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 85 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Brazilian Belle won two of her last five starts but has been beaten in each of her last two outings, and 129 days off the track is a significant fitness query; she has run over today's trip and going before, and 133 lb from stall two is the hand she plays.
Form last 6-31160
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
80SR74RPR72OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 80 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Hanney Girl shaped with plenty of promise when second last time out, and having run over today's distance and going she arrives here well placed on conditions; winless in her last six starts is the one caveat, but her rating of 83 marks her as the one to beat from stall seven.
Form last 6399442
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
81SR83RPR71OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 81 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
A winner last time out gives Courageous Sioux a live form line, but the 80-day absence and a rating six points below her official mark make her hard to fancy at the foot of the field, with the distance experience her one genuine tick in the column.
Form last 65-1
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
75SR65RPR71OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 75 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Winless in her last three starts, with a fifth last time out and a third three starts back, Dance of Angels also returns after a 147-day absence, and our rating of 61 leaves her looking well held at the foot of the rankings despite experience over today's trip and going.
Form last 634-5
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
49SR61RPR70OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 49 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 22/1.
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer),
Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync.
Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Managing Director owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (47) and market confidence (94). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
5/4Geoff OldroydP. J. McDonald
77%Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner
Goyard
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
5/1 · David O'Meara✓ Value Signal
Brazilian Belle
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
12/1 · Michael Dods◈ Chamber Memory
Balanced
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Managing Director (SR 85, 7/4) is the class standout in this field and the market has moved decisively in his favour, shortening 33% since opening — the strongest market move in the race by some distance. His GoingFit:+ confirms he handles today's good surface better than any rival, and the drop in class (ClassMv:↓1) puts him in a contest where his SR of 85 is comfortably the highest. At 9-8 he carries a manageable weight, only 1lb above Brazilian Belle who is 5lb his inferior on SR. The form reading 8/5320 shows a recent placed effort and a yard (Geoff Oldroyd, 19% strike rate from a small but active string) that clearly has this horse in form — P.J. McDonald's booking adds further confidence.
Each-way alternative: Brazilian Belle.
Main danger: Brazilian Belle — Brazilian Belle (SR 80, 8/1) has a course record of W1P2 at Southwell — a genuine course specialist — has tightened 13% in the market, and at 9-7 is 1lb lighter than Managing Director; a 129-day break is the concern but the money is coming for her.
⚖Case against4clamped▾
Form reading 8/5320 shows a win is absent in recent starts — the '0' (last run) means he finished last, and a 16-day turnaround after a poor effort raises questions about whether that run exposed a c…
Geoff Oldroyd's yard has a small active string (124 runners) making that 19% SR potentially volatile — a tiny sample where one hot spell can flatter the metric considerably.
Goyard (SR:74) had just 3 days since last run, suggesting a trainer confident in peak fitness, and Oisin Murphy's 22% strike rate is the best jockey stat in the race — sharper freshness vs Managing D…
At 7/4 (implying ~36% win probability) the market has already priced Managing Director tight; with the slash form figure suggesting an earlier campaign break, any residual fitness doubt makes the pri…