AWC Finals Day At Newcastle 26th March Nursery Handicap Stakes · 6f
SR 78 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 80 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 51 suggests ability but 25/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 57 suggests ability but 66/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 58 suggests ability but 16/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 55 suggests ability but 18/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 66 suggests ability but 17/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 82 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 73 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 64 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Blue Pete | 11/4 open 3.25 | 5/2 open 2.50 | — | — | 5/2 open 2.88 | 5/2 open 2.50 | 11/4 Bet365 |
| 2 Californian Angel | 5/1 open 5.50 | 5/1 | — | — | 5/1 open 5.50 | 5/1 open 4.50 | 5/1 Bet365 |
| 3 Enamored | 28/1 open 17.00 | 25/1 open 34.00 | — | — | 25/1 open 21.00 | 25/1 open 29.00 | 28/1 Bet365 |
| 4 Frumoasa | 66/1 open 34.00 | 80/1 open 51.00 | — | — | 66/1 open 41.00 | 80/1 open 41.00 | 80/1 Paddy Power |
| 5 Knock Three Times | 18/1 open 9.00 | 20/1 open 15.00 | — | — | 20/1 open 11.00 | 20/1 open 15.00 | 20/1 Paddy Power |
| 6 Bearly Blue | 20/1 open 9.00 | 25/1 open 11.00 | — | — | 22/1 open 9.50 | 22/1 open 11.00 | 25/1 Paddy Power |
| 7 Desert Legend | 7/1 open 10.00 | 13/2 open 9.00 | — | — | 13/2 open 9.00 | 13/2 open 9.00 | 7/1 Bet365 |
| 8 Beechwood Glory | 5/2 open 12.00 | 5/2 open 7.00 | — | — | 9/4 open 9.50 | 9/4 open 7.50 | 5/2 Bet365 |
| 9 Invincible Isaac | 9/1 open 9.50 | 8/1 open 13.00 | — | — | 8/1 open 10.00 | 8/1 open 12.00 | 9/1 Bet365 |
| 10 Last Dandelion | 12/1 open 6.50 | 12/1 open 6.50 | — | — | 12/1 open 6.50 | 12/1 open 7.50 | 12/1 Bet365 |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Beechwood Glory owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (46) and market confidence (88). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalSR 82 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 78 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 80 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 66 suggests ability but 17/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 73 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 64 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 58 suggests ability but 16/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 55 suggests ability but 18/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.
Californian Angel (SR:80, 10/3, 9-7) combines the second-highest SR in the field with a meaningful weight advantage over the two horses with superior ratings — Beechwood Glory (SR:82) carries 9-1 but has been backed in dramatically (Mkt:in51%) while Californian Angel's own 19% market move inward is steady and conviction-based rather than speculative. At 9-7 versus Blue Pete's 9-9, the 2lb pull matters when SRs are so close (80 vs 78), and Californian Angel drops one class (ClassMv:↓1) into a race where Blue Pete drops two — the former has been competing at a harder level more recently. The DistFit:+ confirms proven competence at 6f and the drifting favourite Blue Pete (Mkt:out19%) is a clear negative signal the market is actively sending against the morning-line leader. Each-way alternative: Beechwood Glory. Main danger: Beechwood Glory — Beechwood Glory (SR:82, 7/2) is the field's top-rated runner and has been backed from a much longer price (Mkt:in51%) with DistFit:+ at 6f, suggesting connections and market money believe the consistent 53233 form line is about to produce a win.