Goodwin Face is our pick on profile: he was second last time out, and he won three and four starts back, with experience of both today's trip and going. A ninth two starts back and 41 days off are minor reservations, though 170 lb is a notable burden.
Form last 62-1192
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
118SR116RPR112OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 118 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Cayman Dancer arrives fit after 14 days, with a fourth last time out and runner-up finishes five and three starts back, and he has run over today's trip and going before. Our top-rated runner, he is yet to win in his last five, and carrying 168 lb is the main risk.
Form last 62526-4
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
100SR116RPR110OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 100 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Soul Limbo bounced back from a seventh to win two starts back, then finished third last time out, and he has run over today's trip and on the going before. Carrying 166 lb after 37 days off is the main risk, though our rating of 112 keeps him a leading threat.
Form last 6/F713-
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
103SR112RPR108OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 103 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Thankyouandplease makes plenty of appeal, a runner-up two starts back and a winner five starts back, and he's fresh from a run just 10 days ago, with experience of today's trip and going. The main risk is a unplaced effort last time and a hefty 166 lb on his back.
Form last 612U2-0
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
96SR111RPR108OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 96 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Birthday Angel won last time out and has three wins in his last five starts, with a fifth two starts back the only blemish bar a pulled up five runs ago. He has run over today's trip and going, but 164 lb is a big burden and our rating ranks him only fifth of seven.
Form last 6P115-1
★AI Rating★★★★☆
109SR107RPR106OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
Favourable weight of 11-10 gives a real edge in this handicap.
One Island has been in the frame twice in his last four, a second two starts back and a third three starts back, but he's yet to win in that spell and was only fifth last time. A 173-day absence and 157 lb are hard to overlook, though he has run over today's trip and going, and our figures rank him last of seven.
Form last 6632-5
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
91SR98RPR99OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 91 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Uncle Remus arrives in cracking form, a winner last time out and a second two starts back, plus a win three starts back, and has run over today's trip and going. Still, 155 lb is a hefty burden, and our figures rank him only sixth of seven.
Form last 68P5121
★AI Rating★★★★☆
113SR99RPR97OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
Favourable weight of 11-1 gives a real edge in this handicap.
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer),
Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync.
Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Uncle Remus owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (63) and market confidence (92). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
7/4Henrietta C KnightBrendan Powell
72%Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner
Goodwin Face
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
11/4 · Chris Gordon✓ Value Signal
Thankyouandplease
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
11/1 · Syd Hosie◈ Chamber Memory
Balanced
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Uncle Remus (SR 113, 5/2) carries the lightest competitive weight at 11-1 and arrives on a strong recent form string of 8P5121 — three wins from his last four completions — with the market firmly behind him (Mkt:in27%), the sharpest steaming in the field. His SR of 113 leads all genuine contenders bar the drifting favourite, and his light weight gives him a meaningful lbs advantage over Goodwin Face (12-2, SR 118) and Birthday Angel (11-10, SR 109). The step up in class (ClassMv:↑1) and moderate distance/going fits (DistFit:~, GoingFit:~) are noted risks, but the market money and progressive form suggest connections are confident he handles both.
Each-way alternative: Birthday Angel.
Main danger: Birthday Angel — Birthday Angel (SR 109, 4/1) has steamed 23% in the market, holds course form (W1P2 at Plumpton), and her last-run win on a P115-1 line shows she returns from breaks in good order — the class rise (ClassMv:↑1) is the only note of caution.
⚖Case against4clamped▾
Class rise (↑1) is a real hurdle: Uncle Remus's SR of 113 still trails Goodwin Face (SR 118) who has already won at this track (Course: W1P5) and is ridden by the sharper jockey combo (Cannon 18%, Go…
The '8P' start of the form string flags an early pull-up this season — only three runs ago — raising a fitness/soundness question mark over whether he truly stays the trip under pressure at this clas…
Both GoingFit and DistFit are rated '~' (moderate), meaning today's conditions are not a confirmed positive; Birthday Angel (SR 109, Course: W1P2, Mkt:in23%) is also steaming and has a proven course…
Mark has moved +8 points (handicapper raising him), suggesting he faces a stiffer official rating than when winning recently, compressing the weight advantage that is central to the analyst's case.
ShortlistUncle Remus, Birthday Angel, Goodwin Face