AW Trials Day - Lingfield 2nd Jan 2027 Nursery Handicap Stakes · 5f21y
SR 54 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 54 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 14/1.
SR 71 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 59 suggests ability but 7/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 66 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 66 suggests ability but 11/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 42 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 18/1.
SR 48 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 14/1.
SR 58 suggests ability but 15/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 38 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.
SR 32 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 22/1.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Penny Capri | 16/1 open 7.50 | 20/1 open 10.00 | 20/1 open 9.00 | 20/1 open 9.00 | 20/1 open 8.50 | 20/1 open 9.00 | 20/1 Paddy Power |
| 2 Mollisha | 11/1 open 15.00 | 9/1 open 17.00 | 10/1 open 12.00 | 10/1 open 12.00 | 10/1 open 15.00 | 10/1 open 12.00 | 11/1 Bet365 |
| 3 Cavan Lady | 3/1 open 4.33 | 3/1 open 3.00 | 10/3 open 3.25 | 10/3 open 3.25 | 10/3 open 3.75 | 3/1 open 3.25 | 10/3 Coral |
| 4 Havana Grey Star | 17/2 open 5.50 | 10/1 open 7.00 | 10/1 open 6.50 | 10/1 open 6.50 | 10/1 open 6.00 | 10/1 open 7.50 | 10/1 Paddy Power |
| 5 Calef | 10/3 open 6.50 | 11/4 open 6.50 | 11/4 open 6.00 | 11/4 open 6.00 | 3/1 open 6.50 | 11/4 open 6.00 | 10/3 Bet365 |
| 6 Past Passion | 4/1 open 6.50 | 4/1 | 9/2 open 6.00 | 9/2 open 6.00 | 4/1 open 6.00 | 4/1 open 6.00 | 9/2 Coral |
| 7 Agent Rose | 20/1 open 17.00 | 18/1 open 26.00 | 20/1 open 19.00 | 20/1 open 19.00 | 20/1 open 19.00 | 20/1 open 19.00 | 20/1 Bet365 |
| 8 Ricky's Rocket | 16/1 open 15.00 | 14/1 open 13.00 | 16/1 open 13.00 | 16/1 open 13.00 | 16/1 open 15.00 | 14/1 open 13.00 | 16/1 Bet365 |
| 9 Fancied Angel | 13/2 open 9.50 | 11/2 open 9.50 | 13/2 open 8.00 | 13/2 open 8.00 | 13/2 open 9.50 | 13/2 open 8.00 | 13/2 Bet365 |
| 10 Carrow Road | 28/1 open 15.00 | 28/1 open 9.50 | 33/1 open 11.00 | 33/1 open 11.00 | 33/1 open 12.00 | 28/1 open 11.00 | 33/1 Coral |
| 11 Dadawada | 33/1 open 21.00 | 33/1 open 17.00 | 33/1 open 17.00 | 33/1 open 17.00 | 33/1 open 19.00 | 33/1 open 17.00 | 33/1 Bet365 |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Cavan Lady owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (39) and market confidence (86). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalSR 71 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 66 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 66 suggests ability but 11/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 58 suggests ability but 15/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 59 suggests ability but 7/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 54 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 14/1.
SR 54 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 48 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 14/1.
SR 42 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 18/1.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.
Cavan Lady (SR 71, 11/4) is the clear class leader in this field, sitting 5 SR points clear of the next-best runners (Calef and Past Passion both 66) and carries 9-9 — not a punishing weight. Her form reads 34431, with a win last time out at the same class (ClassMv:=) confirming she arrives in peak form. She is proven at this trip (DistFit:+) and has course experience at Wolverhampton (Course:W0P1). The slight drift (Mkt:out7%) is a mild concern but is modest enough to dismiss given the strength of the other signals; the going query (GoingFit:?) is the one genuine unknown, though good AW is a common bucket for juveniles and her turf form at similar trips is solid. Each-way alternative: Calef. Main danger: Calef — Calef (SR 66, 9/2) has shortened 12% in the market (Mkt:in12%), picks up course form (Course:W0P1), wears a first-time visor which can sharpen a juvenile, and David O'Meara's yard operates at a steady 13% strike rate — the market money here is meaningful and he is the one horse with strong momentum signals to threaten Cavan Lady.