Wolverhampton (AW) 17:30 2 Nov 2026
Class 4 2 Nov 2026

Today All Weather Championship Is Back Handicap Stakes (Div II)

All Weather Championship Is Back Handicap Stakes (Div II) · 7f36y

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AI rates Chalk Mountain Speculative Saturday Draw Join free to vote Updated 10 hours, 48 minutes ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Tonal silks
Tonal
Age 6 · 9-12
315010
80
72
76
6
9-12
★★☆☆☆
—
12/1 8/1 12/1
Tonal looks a tough sell, unplaced last time out and off a 50-day break, though he did win two starts back and again five starts back. He has run over today's trip and going, but 138 lb from stall two and a lowly ranking of ninth of nine on our figures make him hard to fancy.
AI verdict

SR 72 suggests ability but 8/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

2
Sergeant Pep silks
Sergeant Pep
Age 6 · 9-11
-23232
79
89
89
6
9-11
★★★☆☆
—
4/1 7/2 4/1
Sergeant Pep is consistency personified, finishing second last time out and in the frame in all five recent runs, though he is yet to win. He has run over today's trip and going, and our rating of 89 makes him the one to beat, with 52 days off the only question.
AI verdict

SR 89 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

3
Alaminos silks
Alaminos
Age 3 · 9-11
-27048
80
76
83
3
9-11
★★☆☆☆
—
11/4 11/4 5/2
Alaminos has run over today's trip and sits third of nine on our rating of 83, with a second five starts back showing his ceiling, while a fourth two runs ago keeps him in the mix. The main risk is an eighth last time out, and he returns after 44 days off from stall 6.
AI verdict

SR 76 suggests ability but 4/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

4
Chalk Mountain silks
Chalk Mountain
Age 6 · 9-10
746348
78
80
86
6
9-10
★★☆☆☆
—
9/2 7/2 4/1
Chalk Mountain has run over today's trip and going, and was third three starts back and fourth two runs ago, while our rating of 86 ranks him second of nine from draw 8. The risk is a disappointing eighth last time out, and he remains winless in his last six starts.
AI verdict

SR 80 suggests ability but 7/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

5
Follow Your Heart silks
Follow Your Heart
Age 8 · 9-9
464007
77
49
81
8
9-9
★☆☆☆☆
—
33/1 16/1 33/1
Winless in his last six, Follow Your Heart was only seventh last time out and returns after 111 days off, though he has run over today's trip and going before. Our rating of 81 sits above his official 77, but 135 lb from stall one looks a test.
AI verdict

SR 49 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 28/1.

6
Peter The Wolf silks
Peter The Wolf
Age 4 · 9-8
-60731
76
80
82
4
9-8
★★★☆☆
—
3/1 FCST 11/4
Peter The Wolf arrives a last-time-out winner with a third two starts back, and he has run over today's trip and going before. The risk is a 59-day break, with 134 lb to carry from stall seven.
AI verdict

SR 80 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

7
King of Chaos silks
King of Chaos
Age 3 · 9-4
717090
73
59
79
3
9-4
★★☆☆☆
—
18/1 8/1 18/1
King of Chaos has one win in his last six, five starts back, but he's been unplaced last time out and finished ninth two starts back since, so he's hard to fancy. He has run over today's trip and going, and he's fresh after 26 days off, but our rating has him seventh of nine.
AI verdict

SR 59 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

8
He's A Gentleman silks
He's A Gentleman
Age 7 · 9-2
722775
70
71
79
7
9-2
★★☆☆☆
—
14/1 10/1 12/1
He's A Gentleman was fifth last time out and has been placed twice, with a second four starts back and another five starts back, but he is winless in his last six and has finished seventh in three of them. He has run over today's trip and going, though the yard is 0/22 in the last 14 days.
AI verdict

SR 71 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

9
Trust Amy silks
Trust Amy
Age 3 · 8-10
397603
65
57
77
3
8-10
★★☆☆☆
—
28/1 14/1 28/1
Trust Amy is winless in her last six and was beaten in four of the five runs before a third last time out, so she is hard to fancy, though that effort nine days ago keeps her fit and she has run over today's trip and going. Ranked eighth of nine on our figures, she carries 122 lb from stall nine.
AI verdict

SR 57 suggests ability but 18/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Tonal 12/1 open 10.00 12/1 open 9.00 12/1 open 10.00 12/1 open 10.00 12/1 open 9.50 12/1 open 11.00 12/1 Bet365
2 Sergeant Pep 4/1 4/1 open 5.50 4/1 open 4.50 4/1 open 4.50 4/1 4/1 open 4.50 4/1 Bet365
3 Alaminos 11/4 5/2 open 4.50 11/4 open 4.33 11/4 open 4.33 11/4 open 4.00 11/4 open 4.33 11/4 Bet365
4 Chalk Mountain 9/2 open 7.00 4/1 open 6.00 9/2 open 4.50 9/2 open 4.50 9/2 open 6.50 9/2 open 4.50 9/2 Bet365
5 Follow Your Heart 33/1 open 21.00 33/1 open 17.00 33/1 open 26.00 33/1 open 26.00 33/1 open 19.00 33/1 open 23.00 33/1 Bet365
6 Peter The Wolf 3/1 open 4.50 11/4 3/1 open 4.50 3/1 open 4.50 11/4 open 4.00 3/1 open 4.50 3/1 Bet365
7 King of Chaos 18/1 open 9.00 20/1 open 9.00 20/1 open 10.00 20/1 open 10.00 20/1 open 9.00 20/1 open 12.00 20/1 Paddy Power
8 He's A Gentleman 14/1 open 13.00 12/1 open 11.00 14/1 open 12.00 14/1 open 12.00 12/1 open 12.00 12/1 open 12.00 14/1 Bet365
9 Trust Amy 28/1 open 15.00 33/1 open 21.00 33/1 open 17.00 33/1 open 17.00 33/1 open 17.00 33/1 open 21.00 33/1 Paddy Power

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Peter The Wolf

Speculative

Peter The Wolf owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (44) and market confidence (86). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

3/1 Warren Greatrex Edward Greatrex
64% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Sergeant Pep

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

4/1 · Clive Cox
✓ Value Signal

Trust Amy

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

28/1 · Gary Hanmer
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Low conviction
44 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +16.9 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
86 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +19.0 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
36 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +3.7 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction
41 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.1 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
44 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.4 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
57 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.5 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 6. Peter The Wolf
54.7 3/1
2 2. Sergeant Pep
54.7 4/1
3 3. Alaminos
52.7 11/4
4 4. Chalk Mountain
50.8 9/2
5 1. Tonal
47.2 12/1
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Chalk Mountain
Speculative

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

★ Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

3
Age 3 · 9-11
11/4
★★☆☆☆ SR 76 🐾 —

SR 76 suggests ability but 4/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

6
Age 4 · 9-8
3/1
★★★☆☆ SR 80 🐾 —

SR 80 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

2
Age 6 · 9-11
4/1
★★★☆☆ SR 89 🐾 —

SR 89 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

4
Age 6 · 9-10
9/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 80 🐾 —

SR 80 suggests ability but 7/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

1
Age 6 · 9-12
12/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 72 🐾 —

SR 72 suggests ability but 8/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

8
Age 7 · 9-2
14/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 71 🐾 —

SR 71 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

7
Age 3 · 9-4
18/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 59 🐾 —

SR 59 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Chalk Mountain
Confidence: Speculative

Chalk Mountain (SR:80, 7/2) carries the lightest weight of the main contenders at 9-10, has a formidable course record of W3P3 at Wolverhampton which is the strongest course familiarity in the field, and the market has moved decisively in its favour — 19% in, the biggest move in the race. The 3lb drop in mark since last win (MarkMv:-3) adds further appeal, and trainer Zoe Hawkins, while a small yard, has Rob Hornby in the saddle who brings a solid 11% strike rate from 2,153 career runs. Sergeant Pep's DistFit:? means his ability to see out 7f36y is unproven, and GoingFit:~ is only moderate — by contrast Chalk Mountain's GoingFit:~ is the same but its course dominance and weight advantage tip the balance. The form figure of 8 last time is a concern but the mark has been adjusted and the market clearly expects a bounce-back. Each-way alternative: Sergeant Pep. Main danger: Sergeant Pep — Sergeant Pep holds the highest SR in the field at 89 — 9 points clear — and a consistent place-finding form line of -23232 from a top trainer means he will be competitive even if Chalk Mountain's course record gives the edge.

Case against 4 clamped
  • Form figure of 8 last time out is a genuine red flag — that's a poor run, and a single market move doesn't guarantee a bounce-back on a horse rated only SR:80.
  • Trainer Zoe Hawkins has a strike rate of just 6% from only 49 runners — a very small yard with limited firepower, which materially reduces confidence in a planned bounce-back.
  • Sergeant Pep (SR:89, Clive Cox 17% yard, Mulrennan 14%) has a significantly higher speed rating and a top trainer/jockey combination — Chalk Mountain is not obviously superior despite the market move.
  • The MarkMv:-3 drop is modest and mirrors Sergeant Pep's identical -3 adjustment, so there's no relative handicap advantage over the most dangerous rival.
Shortlist Chalk Mountain, Sergeant Pep, Peter The Wolf
Each-way: Sergeant Pep Danger: Sergeant Pep

🗺 The Course Class 4

7f36y Distance to cover
Good Expected going
9 Confirmed runners
Wolverhampton (AW) Track and setting
Class 4 Race grade