Third last time out and a third three starts back, with a winner five starts back, make Show Biz Kid a leading danger, and he has run over today's trip and going before, with first-time blinkers to sharpen him up. The risk is a 66-day layoff, so fitness is the one question.
Form last 6415353
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
60SR72RPR70OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 60 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Crimson Road won three of his last six, though his latest outings read a third last time out and a fourth two starts back, and he has run over today's trip and going before. Carrying 140 lb from stall 7, he sits fifth of ten on our rating of 72, so he looks more solid than special.
Form last 6411143
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
72SR72RPR70OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 72 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Serious Look won five starts back and has run over today's trip and going before, while our rating of 73 ranks him second of 10; the risk is a modest recent run of a seventh last time out and an eighth before, plus 52 days off.
Form last 6-15587
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
67SR73RPR69OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 67 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Tortured Soul sits third of ten on our rating of 73, six pounds above his official mark of 67, and he has run over today's trip and going before, plus a second and third in his last six. The main risk is a dip to seventh last time out and a yard that is out of form at 1/40.
Form last 6324097
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
52SR73RPR67OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 52 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 18/1.
Lunella arrives consistent, with a fourth last time out, a second two starts back and a third three starts back, and she has run over today's trip before. Our rating of 79 makes her the one to beat, though 82 days off and a yard out of form temper things slightly.
Form last 6324
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
61SR79RPR70OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 61 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Caledonian has been consistent without cracking it, finishing fifth last time out, fifth two starts back and fourth three starts back, and he's yet to win in his last five. He has run over today's trip and going and is fresh enough after 16 days, but 136 lb from draw nine is a lot to ask.
Form last 6-58455
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
65SR71RPR66OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 65 suggests ability but 15/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
The Anthony Gover arrives in fine heart, second last time out, third two starts back and a winner three starts back, and he has run over today's trip and going. Against that, first-time cheekpieces are an unknown and 135 lb from draw 4 is a hefty burden, with our rating of 71 only sixth of ten.
Form last 6321132
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
86SR71RPR68OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 86 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Study Up has improved to a fifth last time out after a ninth and an eighth, and his only win in the last six came five starts back, so he is hard to fancy. On the plus side, he has run over today's trip and going, and the first-time tongue-tie adds a little intrigue.
Form last 6412895
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
58SR70RPR64OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 58 suggests ability but 16/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Beaten into fifth last time out just ten days ago, Under The Sun has only the one win in his last six, four starts back, and our figures rank him last of ten. He has run over today's trip and going before, but 130 lb from stall 2 is a lot to ask.
Form last 6501435
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
71SR68RPR60OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 71 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Ibn Altheeb bounced back to win last time out, 21 days ago, but that came after a seventh and two unplaced runs, and he is ranked ninth of ten on our figures at 69 while carrying 130 lb from draw 8. First-time cheekpieces and experience of today's trip and going are the positives.
Form last 6340071
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
64SR69RPR63OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 64 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer),
Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync.
Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Under The Sun owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (39) and market confidence (77). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
5/1James OwenLuke Morris
67%Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner
The Anthony Gover
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
evn · Dr Richard Newland✓ Value Signal
Lunella
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
25/1 · Ollie Sangster◈ Chamber Memory
Balanced
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
The Anthony Gover (SR:86, 6/4) is the standout on every meaningful metric. His SR of 86 is the highest in the field by 15 points over the next-best Under The Sun (SR:71), and he carries just 9-9 — a comfortable weight in this Class 5 company. He is proven at this course (W2P5), proven at this distance (DistFit:+), and proven on this going (GoingFit:+): a rare triple confirmation. The market has backed him in 15% since opening, Billy Loughnane (18% strike rate, 3,225 career rides) is a high-quality booking, and trainer Dr Richard Newland runs at 18% — the strongest trainer strike rate in the field. His recent form 321132 shows consistent competitiveness at the same class (ClassMv:=), and while the +3 mark move is a minor negative, it is modest and well within his ability level.
Each-way alternative: Serious Look.
Main danger: Under The Sun — Under The Sun (SR:71, 13/2) carries just 9-4 — the lightest weight in the field alongside Ibn Altheeb — and trainer James Owen's 19% strike rate is the best in the field, with a small market nudge in (Mkt:in5%), though the GoingFit:- and DistFit:- flags and a class rise (ClassMv:↑1) make him an unlikely winner.
⚖Case against4▾
As a 3yo running against older horses at Wolverhampton AW, The Anthony Gover faces a maturing field where age allowance advantages may be offset by seasoned rivals like Crimson Road (SR:72) who are b…
The +3 mark rise means he is 3lb higher than his last win; his two course wins (W2P5) suggest he has placed more often than won here, and a short-priced 6/4 favourite with only a 2-from-5 course reco…
Noteworthy that Under The Sun (SR:71, trained by James Owen at 19% — the highest trainer strike rate in the field) is only 10 days since last run and has been freshened, potentially arriving in bette…
The headgear notation 'p' (presumably a visor or hood) is equipment that can be a variable factor on the day — if the horse is not responding to it as expected, the SR advantage may not translate int…
ShortlistThe Anthony Gover, Under The Sun, Serious Look