Class 4 12 May 2026

Tuesday 12 May Ire-Incentive, It Pays To Buy Irish "Confined" EBF Novice Stakes (One Run Or Less) (GBB/IRE Inc')

Ire-Incentive, It Pays To Buy Irish "Confined" EBF Novice Stakes (One Run Or Less) (GBB/IRE Inc') · 5f

648-Hr decs

Every runner. Every signal. One decision.

Official Result

Ire-Incentive, It Pays To Buy Irish "Confined" EBF Novice Stakes (One Run Or Less) (GBB/IRE Inc')

Confirmed
  1. Winner Ronson (GB) Rowan Scott · Nigel Tinkler
    12/1
  2. 5/4
  3. 11/1
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Race Explorer BETA
Settled
  • 6 declared
  • 0 picked
Updated 1 week, 2 days ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Anchiano
Age 2 · 9-7
36
2
9-7
4/5
80,000euros yearling, 110,000gns (breeze-up) 2yo; Acclamation half-brother to winners Tuscan Point (5f/6f AW; RPR 74) and Sposto Le Nuvole (Italian 6f 2yo); dam 6f scorer (RPR 85); yard has made a respectable start with 2yos this term; interesting.

SR 36 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

2
Mr Darling
Age 2 · 9-7
0
23
38
2
9-7
25/1
Related to several winners for his stable; green and always towards the rear in C&D maiden last week but may do better with the experience under his belt.

SR 23 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

3
Navy Light
Age 2 · 9-7
4
54
72
2
9-7
6/4
Half-brother to a 6f scorer for his yard; duly showed some promise with keeping-on fourth of seven over that trip at Ripon (good); perhaps not crying out for this drop to 5f but otherwise is the form pick and open to progress to boot.

SR 54 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

4
Ronson
Age 2 · 9-7
7
28
43
2
9-7
50/1
Out of a 6f winner for his connections; never landed a blow in C&D contest, having been friendless in the betting; possibly one for nurseries over an extra furlong later on.

SR 28 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

5
Bladey Lady
Age 2 · 9-2
39
2
9-2
8/1
6,000gns foal, £20,000 yearling; Minzaal half-sister to six winners, notably Fond Words (French 6.5f/1m AW including Listed; RPR 97); dam 7f-1m2f winner (including Listed; 113); one of two newcomers in the field; market instructive.

SR 39 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

6
Suzie May
Age 2 · 9-2
0
41
55
2
9-2
28/1
Slowly away and always behind in C&D event, having been the rank outsider; best watched.

SR 41 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

No bookmaker prices recorded yet for this race. Prices land after the first odds sync.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Navy Light

Speculative

Navy Light owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (30) and market confidence (93). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

6/4 Richard & Peter Fahey Oisin Orr
73% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Bladey Lady

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

8/1 · Tim Easterby
✓ Value Signal

Suzie May

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

28/1 · Jessica Macey
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Low conviction
30 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +11.4 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
93 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +20.5 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
24 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +2.3 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction
31 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +3.1 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
53 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +5.3 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Live signal
60 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.8 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 3. Navy Light
48.1 6/4
2 5. Bladey Lady
44.6 8/1
3 1. Anchiano
44.0 4/5
4 6. Suzie May
32.9 28/1
5 2. Mr Darling
28.6 25/1
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Navy Light
Medium

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

1
Age 2 · 9-7
4/5
★☆☆☆☆ SR 36 🐾

SR 36 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

3
Age 2 · 9-7
6/4
★☆☆☆☆ SR 54 🐾

SR 54 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

5
Age 2 · 9-2
8/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 39 🐾

SR 39 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Navy Light
Confidence: Medium

Navy Light leads the field with SR 54 and is trading at . The Saturday Rating places it clear of the field on ability. Weight of 9-7 is manageable for a horse of this class.

Shortlist Navy Light, Suzie May, Bladey Lady, Anchiano, Ronson
Each-way: Suzie May Danger: Bladey Lady

🗺 The Course Class 4

5f Distance to cover
Good to Firm Expected going
6 Confirmed runners
Beverley Track and setting
Class 4 Race grade