Class 4 12 May 2026

Tuesday 12 May Sky Sports Racing Virgin 512 Novice Stakes (GBB Race)

Sky Sports Racing Virgin 512 Novice Stakes (GBB Race) · 1m1y

1248-Hr decs

Every runner. Every signal. One decision.

Settled

12 declared
0 picked

Updated 1 week, 2 days ago

No.

Horse

Form

Jockey / Trainer

SR?

RPR

Age

Wgt

Votes

Odds

Pick

Comment

Dupont Circle

Age 4 · 10-2

Kieren Fox 11%

Craig Benton 13%

—

10-2

★☆☆☆☆

—

200/1

125-1 when a long last of ten on his belated Chelmsford debut (7f, Polytrack) in December; no appeal.

SR 0 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

Always Happy

Age 3 · 9-5

Ryan Moore 27%

Roger Varian 18%

—

9-5

★★☆☆☆

—

8/11

Justified odds-on favouritism when beating a subsequent winner (pair clear) on her Southwell debut (1m, Tapeta) in March; more to do under her penalty, but clearly highly regarded (holds a Coronation Stakes entry) and respected under Ryan Moore.

SR 69 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

Cormorant Rock

Age 3 · 9-3

—

Pat Cosgrave 11%

Jim Boyle 10%

—

9-3

★☆☆☆☆

—

66/1

20,000euros yearling; first foal; dam French 1m5f AW winner, half-sister to winners Almanera (5.5f-7f) and Al Capdamunt (6.7f), out of maiden half-sister to 7f 2yo Group 1 winner Naaqoos; best watched on debut unless market suggests otherwise.

SR 34 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

Don Pablo Colina

Age 3 · 9-3

—

Neil Callan 12%

George Baker 7%

—

9-3

★☆☆☆☆

—

50/1

First foal; dam prolific 1m2f-2m Flat (including AW; RPR 82) and 2m hurdle winner, sister to 7f-1m4f winner Chilworth Bells; stable going well, but he may be one for handicaps over further in due course.

SR 34 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

Minerality

Age 3 · 9-3

—

Luke Morris 12%

Dr Richard Newland & Jamie Insole 10%

—

9-3

★☆☆☆☆

—

22/1

45,000gns foal; half-brother to winners Cathedral (Group-placed 6f AW 2yo; RPR 118), Tolstoy (6f-1m including AW; 103), Firebird (6f; 99) and Balalaika (7f AW 2yo; 92); dam unraced half-sister to 1m2f Group 1 winner Bluestocking; eyecatching pedigree and stable can get them ready first time; worth a market check.

SR 34 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

Notable Charm

Age 3 · 9-3

Rob Hornby 11%

Marcus Tregoning 4%

—

9-3

★☆☆☆☆

—

125/1

150-1 when out the back on his Newbury debut (1m, good) last month; needs major improvement.

SR 20 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

Savvy Disko

Age 3 · 9-3

34-

Robert Havlin 13%

S Woods 11%

—

9-3

★★☆☆☆

—

10/1

Made the frame in two starts at Newmarket (7f, good) in October (debut form worked out well); closely related to an AW winner and each-way claims back from seven months off.

SR 55 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

Turret

Age 3 · 9-3

—

Callum Hutchinson 9%

Andrew Balding 20%

—

9-3

★☆☆☆☆

—

7/1

580,000euros yearling; dam unraced sister to Group 1 winners Hydrangea (1m/1m4f), The United States (Australian 1m2f) and Hermosa (1,000 Guineas/Irish 1,000 Guineas), out of 5f Group 2 winner; beautifully bred, but was withdrawn after getting upset in the stalls at Kempton last month (5-2 at the time) and the outside draw may not be ideal for a newcomer.

SR 34 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

York Tower

Age 3 · 9-3

22-

Tom Marquand 14%

William Haggas 22%

—

9-3

★★☆☆☆

—

4/1

Beaten a length in both starts over 7f late last year, at Yarmouth (good) and Chelmsford (Polytrack); extra furlong should suit and high on list on his return.

SR 62 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

Midnight Steppers

Age 3 · 8-12

Mason Paetel 12%

Ed Dunlop 11%

—

8-12

★☆☆☆☆

—

200/1

Beaten a very long way in both starts over 1m on turf/Polytrack last month; makes little appeal.

SR 0 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

Molo Del Palazzo

Age 3 · 8-12

Oisin Murphy 22%

Ralph Beckett 17%

—

8-12

★☆☆☆☆

—

6/1

Sent off 11-2 when fifth on nine on her Wolverhampton debut (7f, Tapeta) last September; improvement needed, but it is possible with the longer trip likely to suit on breeding.

SR 50 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

Tropical Sands

Age 3 · 8-12

—

Kieran Shoemark 12%

Ed Walker 14%

—

8-12

★☆☆☆☆

—

16/1

Closely related to 1m2f/1m3f winner Calmly (including AW/Italian Listed; RPR 99), half-sister to winners Shrewdness (9.4f AW; 85) and Stimulate (1m2f; 77); dam 1m2f winner (86), half-sister to Italian 1m4f Group 1 winner Shamdala; stable had a well-backed 3yo newcomer go in at Newbury last month so the market may be informative.

SR 37 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

No bookmaker prices recorded yet for this race. Prices land after the first odds sync.

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Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Always Happy

Speculative

Always Happy owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (38) and market confidence (97). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

8/11 Roger Varian Ryan Moore

69% Confidence

⚠ Danger Runner

York Tower

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

4/1 · William Haggas

✓ Value Signal

Cormorant Rock

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

66/1 · Jim Boyle

◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

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Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.

Speed rating Low conviction

38 / 100

⚖ Weight 38% ＋14.6 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant

97 / 100

⚖ Weight 22% ＋21.3 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction

26 / 100

⚖ Weight 12% ＋2.1 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction

31 / 100

⚖ Weight 10% ＋3.1 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant

38 / 100

⚖ Weight 10% ＋3.8 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Live signal

61 / 100

⚖ Weight 8% ＋4.9 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.

1 2. Always Happy

49.5 8/11

2 9. York Tower

47.8 4/1

3 11. Molo Del Palazzo

45.9 6/1

4 8. Turret

41.7 7/1

5 7. Savvy Disko

40.5 10/1

YOUR DECISION

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Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.

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🤖 AI view

Always Happy

Medium

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →

The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly

📊

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability

🤖

★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance

🐾

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

★ Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

Always Happy

Age 3 · 9-5

8/11

J: Ryan Moore
T: Roger Varian

★★☆☆☆ SR 69 🐾 —

SR 69 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

York Tower

Age 3 · 9-3

4/1

J: Tom Marquand
T: William Haggas

★★☆☆☆ SR 62 🐾 —

SR 62 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

Molo Del Palazzo

Age 3 · 8-12

6/1

J: Oisin Murphy
T: Ralph Beckett

★☆☆☆☆ SR 50 🐾 —

SR 50 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

Turret

Age 3 · 9-3

7/1

J: Callum Hutchinson
T: Andrew Balding

★☆☆☆☆ SR 34 🐾 —

SR 34 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

Savvy Disko

Age 3 · 9-3

10/1

J: Robert Havlin
T: S Woods

★★☆☆☆ SR 55 🐾 —

SR 55 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

Tropical Sands

Age 3 · 8-12

16/1

J: Kieran Shoemark
T: Ed Walker

★☆☆☆☆ SR 37 🐾 —

SR 37 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Always Happy

Confidence: Medium

Always Happy leads the field with SR 69 and is trading at . The Saturday Rating places it clear of the field on ability. Weight of 9-5 is manageable for a horse of this class.

Shortlist Always Happy, York Tower, Savvy Disko, Molo Del Palazzo, Tropical Sands

Each-way: York Tower Danger: Savvy Disko

🗺 The Course Class 4

1m1y Distance to cover

Good Expected going

12 Confirmed runners

Lingfield (AW) Track and setting

Class 4 Race grade

Tuesday 12 May Sky Sports Racing Virgin 512 Novice Stakes (GBB Race)

Sky Sports Racing Virgin 512 Novice Stakes (GBB Race)

Bath

Beverley

Hereford

Killarney

Lingfield (AW)

Sligo

Balanced lens

Always Happy

York Tower

Cormorant Rock

Balanced

How the chamber read the race

See your angle before you make your move

Saturday Rating

AI Stars

Cub Votes

★ Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

🗺 The Course Class 4