12 May 2026

Tuesday 12 May Brehon Hotel Handicap

Brehon Hotel Handicap · 1m3f50y

1048-Hr decs

Every runner. Every signal. One decision.

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Race Explorer BETA
Voting open
  • 10 declared
  • 0 picked
AI rates Chicago Moon Medium Join free to vote Updated 1 week, 2 days ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Honouramongthieves
Age 3 · 10-1
662-56
49
69
3
10-1
11/2
Pick of three juvenile efforts when a staying-on second over C&D in testing conditions; well beaten on handicap debut in a 1m4f Cork contest.

SR 49 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

2
Blissful Bonita
Age 3 · 9-9
568-
51
71
3
9-9
12/1
Debut on turf was better than two subsequent turf outings; worth considering in this grade on handicap debut.

SR 51 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

2
Musashi silks
Musashi
Age 3 · 9-8
000-22
54
74
3
9-8
10/3
Was just in front of Sea Of Dubka when second on seasonal/handicap debut on AW (10.5f); 7-2 fav, outpaced turning for home before keeping on well on inner (not much room) when chasing home Femme Beauty at Killarney (1m3f) last week; extra furlong should be fine.

SR 54 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

3
Coolangatta
Age 3 · 9-9
07-0
50
70
3
9-9
12/1
Midfield at Cork on her second start at two; hard to take encouragement from her seasonal debut; one of four runners for the stable.

SR 50 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

5
Mount Eden
Age 3 · 9-8
850
43
41
3
9-8
25/1
Modest form in two runs on AW; hard to fancy after a lifeless Gowran run; cheekpieces now.

SR 43 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

6
Gatlinburg
Age 3 · 9-6
0-88
51
61
3
9-6
9/2
Has shown only modest ability in maidens, this longer trip may help to produce improvement; possibly the pick of four runners for his trainer; the market may confirm if that is the case or not.

SR 51 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

8
Delusional
Age 3 · 9-4
828-77
55
69
3
9-4
16/1
Has failed to make much impact on his first two handicap attempts; needs to raise his game; first-time visor.

SR 55 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

9
Celestially
Age 3 · 9-3
00-04
55
72
3
9-3
14/1
Navan fourth on handicap debut was a step in the right direction, though beaten 9l; more needed; one of four for the stable.

SR 55 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

10
Cameclose
Age 3 · 9-2
088-4
51
66
3
9-2
9/1
Fourth of six at Dundalk in his first handicap, has a bit to find with runner-up Musashi; blinkered for the first time.

SR 51 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

11
Chicago Moon
Age 3 · 9-0
937
56
69
3
9-0
17/2
Has a clear chance based on her second Dundalk run, when third behind two colts; two other runs raise doubts.

SR 56 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

No bookmaker prices recorded yet for this race. Prices land after the first odds sync.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Musashi

Speculative

Musashi owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (30) and market confidence (85). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

10/3 Joseph Patrick O'Brien Dylan Browne McMonagle
68% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Honouramongthieves

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

11/2 · Kevin Thomas Coleman
✓ Value Signal

Mount Eden

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

25/1 · Donnacha Aidan O'Brien
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Low conviction
30 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +11.4 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
85 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +18.6 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
29 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +3.5 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction
37 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +3.7 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
54 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +5.4 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
56 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.5 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 2. Musashi
49.1 10/3
2 1. Honouramongthieves
47.3 11/2
3 11. Chicago Moon
45.6 17/2
4 6. Gatlinburg
42.2 9/2
5 2. Blissful Bonita
40.7 12/1
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Chicago Moon
Medium

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

2
Age 3 · 9-8
10/3
★☆☆☆☆ SR 54 🐾

SR 54 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

6
Age 3 · 9-6
9/2
★☆☆☆☆ SR 51 🐾

SR 51 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

1
Age 3 · 10-1
11/2
★☆☆☆☆ SR 49 🐾

SR 49 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

11
Age 3 · 9-0
17/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 56 🐾

SR 56 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

10
Age 3 · 9-2
9/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 51 🐾

SR 51 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

2
Age 3 · 9-9
12/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 51 🐾

SR 51 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

3
Age 3 · 9-9
12/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 50 🐾

SR 50 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

9
Age 3 · 9-3
14/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 55 🐾

SR 55 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

8
Age 3 · 9-4
16/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 55 🐾

SR 55 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Chicago Moon
Confidence: Medium

Chicago Moon leads the field with SR 56 and is trading at . The Saturday Rating places it clear of the field on ability. Weight of 9-0 is manageable for a horse of this class.

Shortlist Chicago Moon, Delusional, Celestially, Musashi, Blissful Bonita
Each-way: Delusional Danger: Celestially

🗺 The Course Race conditions

1m3f50y Distance to cover
Good Expected going
10 Confirmed runners
Killarney Track and setting