12 May 2026

Tuesday 12 May Johnston Farm Equipment Handicap Hurdle

Johnston Farm Equipment Handicap Hurdle · 2m4f

1748-Hr decs

Every runner. Every signal. One decision.

Voting open

17 declared
0 picked
2 NR

AI rates Love Like This Medium Join free to vote Updated 1 week, 2 days ago

No.

Horse

Form

Jockey / Trainer

SR?

RPR

Age

Wgt

Votes

Odds

Pick

Comment

Jumble Light Non-Runner

Age 7 · 11-9

5744P-

TBA

Mark Michael McNiff 5%

—

105

11-9

★☆☆☆☆

—

8/1

Second reserve; shaped with promise in maidens over shorter (including here when a staying on fifth over 17.5f); pulled up when upped to this trip at Down Royal in March; capable of better and could go well for local yard if getting a run.

Sunrise Strider Non-Runner

Age 5 · 10-12

90060-

Cian Quirke 7%

Michael J McDonagh 11%

—

10-12

★★☆☆☆

—

14/1

Not disgraced in first two handicaps on testing ground, over 2m at Limerick in December and 19.5f at Punchestown in January; could go well if acting on better ground; check the market.

Tomas O Maille

Age 9 · 12-0

60P50-

Jack G Gilligan 2%

M Flannery 4%

—

106

12-0

★☆☆☆☆

—

14/1

1lb below last April's Ballinrobe win but out of form when last seen in November and may need this after 173 days off.

SR 77 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

Ilbdare

Age 6 · 11-13

17829-

Phillip Enright 7%

Mark Michael McNiff 5%

—

102

11-13

★☆☆☆☆

—

7/1

Scored over 3m2f here last May on good ground; placed again here over 25.5f in October off his revised mark; below best when last seen in January and this trip may be too sharp.

SR 77 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

Ladiam

Age 9 · 11-10

25237-

Michael Kenneally(5) 12%

Norman Lee 1%

—

105

11-10

★★☆☆☆

—

11/2

Both wins have come here over an extended 2m4f; 3lb above last win here in June 2025 and off since a modest Thurles win in October; will improve for this run.

SR 83 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

Lady's Choice

Age 5 · 11-7

90/49-

Harry Sexton(7) 3%

John Joseph Hanlon 2%

—

11-7

★☆☆☆☆

—

33/1

Promise in a 2m3f maiden hurdle at Downpatrick last May; tailed off on handicap debut off this mark over the same C&D when last sighted last July; best watched.

SR 71 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

Dunany Point

Age 7 · 11-5

23689-

Kieren Buckley 7%

Conor David Maxwell 6%

—

105

11-5

★☆☆☆☆

—

10/1

Won off 9lb lower at Bellewstown last April (20.5f, good); struggled on soft ground both starts this year but could improve for quicker conditions and ran well over C&D off 2lb lower last May; interesting.

SR 84 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

Listentomewillya

Age 6 · 11-6

86P8-

G B Noonan 9%

Norman Lee 1%

—

11-6

★☆☆☆☆

—

25/1

Third reserve; minor promise in qualifying runs; potential improver on handicap debut so check the betting.

SR 74 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

Friar Hogan

Age 5 · 11-5

0/060-

Sean O'Keeffe 6%

Donal Hassett 8%

—

11-5

★☆☆☆☆

—

28/1

Showed little in maidens and beaten 40l on handicap debut at Thurles last October; 2lb lower now and upped in trip but hard to make a case for.

SR 71 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

Button Rock

Age 6 · 11-3

78050-

Sam Ewing 9%

Gordon Elliott 15%

—

103

11-3

★★☆☆☆

—

3/1

Placed in a point and with a top yard but yet to fire under rules; heavy defeat on handicap debut at Down Royal in March when 13-2; blinkers reached for now.

SR 81 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

Mother Ship

Age 6 · 11-1

752P5-

Darragh O'Keeffe 14%

John Joseph Hanlon 2%

—

105

11-1

★★☆☆☆

—

6/1

0-15 over hurdles; good third over C&D last June off 1lb higher; off since respectable fifth at Thurles in October; has run well fresh and top rider booked so not dismissed.

SR 82 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

Doyen Wolf

Age 10 · 10-10

/50P-3

Shane O'Callaghan(5) 5%

J R Finn 0%

—

10-10

★★☆☆☆

—

16/1

Two best efforts over hurdles came off the back of a break at Sligo, eyecatcher there on latest when weaving through traffic to finish third of 16 (2m4f, good); runner-up to Cheltenham Festival winner Sine Nomine on sole point outing so should take to fences.

SR 80 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

The Eggler

Age 5 · 11-0

/F58P-

James Smith(5) 7%

Brian M McMahon 6%

—

11-0

★☆☆☆☆

—

9/1

Decent effort on handicap and stable debut at Galway (22.5f, gd-yld) last September but didn't replicate it in two subsequent starts; goes without usual hood here and lacks a recent run; others preferred.

SR 68 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

Love Like This

Age 8 · 10-8

P00-42

Brian Barry 2%

John Patrick Ryan 7%

106

10-8

★★☆☆☆

—

14/1

Still a maiden after 41 starts but solid effort over hurdles at Sligo (2m4f, good) nine days ago when staying on dourly to take second; each-way claims if she can back that up.

SR 88 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

Island McCoo

Age 9 · 10-13

79P88-

Niall Moore(5) 6%

Donncha Duggan 5%

—

10-13

★☆☆☆☆

—

14/1

Chase winner is rated 4lb lower in this sphere but that's for good reason; five previous handicap hurdle runs have yielded form figures of 80P98; beaten 23l in Thurles handicap chase when last seen in February.

SR 57 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

Lariat

Age 10 · 10-12

26599-

Donagh Meyler 13%

Liam P Cusack 5%

—

105

10-12

★★☆☆☆

—

14/1

Flat winner is 0-26 over hurdles; off since heavy defeat in handicap chase at Thurles in October; has run well here on the Flat in the past but overall record fresh suggests he might need this after 194 days off.

SR 85 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

Celtic Crossing

Age 6 · 10-10

00050/

Philip Donovan(3) 5%

Darren Collins 4%

—

10-10

★★☆☆☆

—

18/1

Off the track since 31l defeat at Punchestown in October 2024; likely to need this run after such a long layoff.

SR 81 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

Road To The Weir

Age 10 · 10-10

5/060-

Alan King 7%

John Neilan 0%

—

101

10-10

★★☆☆☆

—

22/1

Maiden has gone the wrong way since a promising third at Limerick in November 2024; heavy defeat when last seen in December; hard to fancy.

SR 81 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

Golden Order

Age 6 · 10-8

P/55P-

E Walsh 4%

Patrick John Reilly 0%

—

10-8

★★☆☆☆

—

40/1

Has looked limited when completing in maiden hurdles; pulled up at Limerick when last seen in November; hood and tongue tie on for handicap debut; unlikely.

SR 60 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

No bookmaker prices recorded yet for this race. Prices land after the first odds sync.

Your pick —

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Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Button Rock

Speculative

Button Rock owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (45) and market confidence (86). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

3/1 Gordon Elliott Sam Ewing

71% Confidence

⚠ Danger Runner

Mother Ship

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

6/1 · John Joseph Hanlon

✓ Value Signal

Road To The Weir

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

22/1 · John Neilan

◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →

Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.

Speed rating Speculative

45 / 100

⚖ Weight 38% ＋17.1 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant

86 / 100

⚖ Weight 22% ＋19.0 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction

36 / 100

⚖ Weight 12% ＋3.5 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction

41 / 100

⚖ Weight 10% ＋4.1 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant

60 / 100

⚖ Weight 10% ＋6.0 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative

57 / 100

⚖ Weight 8% ＋4.5 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.

1 7. Button Rock

56.5 3/1

2 8. Mother Ship

53.5 6/1

3 3. Ladiam

49.4 11/2

4 10. Love Like This

48.6 14/1

5 11. Lariat

48.1 14/1

YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view

Love Like This

Medium

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →

The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly

📊

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability

🤖

★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance

🐾

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

★ Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

Button Rock

Age 6 · 11-3

3/1

J: Sam Ewing
T: Gordon Elliott

★★☆☆☆ SR 81 🐾 —

SR 81 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

Ladiam

Age 9 · 11-10

11/2

J: Michael Kenneally(5)
T: Norman Lee

★★☆☆☆ SR 83 🐾 —

SR 83 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

Mother Ship

Age 6 · 11-1

6/1

J: Darragh O'Keeffe
T: John Joseph Hanlon

★★☆☆☆ SR 82 🐾 —

SR 82 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

Ilbdare

Age 6 · 11-13

7/1

J: Phillip Enright
T: Mark Michael McNiff

★☆☆☆☆ SR 77 🐾 —

SR 77 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

The Eggler

Age 5 · 11-0

9/1

J: James Smith(5)
T: Brian M McMahon

★☆☆☆☆ SR 68 🐾 —

SR 68 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

Dunany Point

Age 7 · 11-5

10/1

J: Kieren Buckley
T: Conor David Maxwell

★☆☆☆☆ SR 84 🐾 —

SR 84 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

Tomas O Maille

Age 9 · 12-0

14/1

J: Jack G Gilligan
T: M Flannery

★☆☆☆☆ SR 77 🐾 —

SR 77 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

Love Like This

Age 8 · 10-8

14/1

J: Brian Barry
T: John Patrick Ryan

★★☆☆☆ SR 88 🐾 —

SR 88 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

Island McCoo

Age 9 · 10-13

14/1

J: Niall Moore(5)
T: Donncha Duggan

★☆☆☆☆ SR 57 🐾 —

SR 57 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

Lariat

Age 10 · 10-12

14/1

J: Donagh Meyler
T: Liam P Cusack

★★☆☆☆ SR 85 🐾 —

SR 85 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

Doyen Wolf

Age 10 · 10-10

16/1

J: Shane O'Callaghan(5)
T: J R Finn

★★☆☆☆ SR 80 🐾 —

SR 80 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

Celtic Crossing

Age 6 · 10-10

18/1

J: Philip Donovan(3)
T: Darren Collins

★★☆☆☆ SR 81 🐾 —

SR 81 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Love Like This

Confidence: Medium

Love Like This leads the field with SR 88 and is trading at . The Saturday Rating places it clear of the field on ability. Weight of 10-11 is manageable for a horse of this class.

Shortlist Love Like This, Lariat, Dunany Point, Ladiam, Mother Ship

Each-way: Lariat Danger: Dunany Point

🗺 The Course Race conditions

2m4f Distance to cover

Good Expected going

17 Confirmed runners

Sligo Track and setting

Tuesday 12 May Johnston Farm Equipment Handicap Hurdle

Bath

Beverley

Hereford

Killarney

Lingfield (AW)

Sligo

Balanced lens

Button Rock

Mother Ship

Road To The Weir

Balanced

How the chamber read the race

See your angle before you make your move

Saturday Rating

AI Stars

Cub Votes

★ Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

🗺 The Course Race conditions