Class 4 12 May 2026

Tuesday 12 May Follow @attheraces On Instagram Handicap (GBBPlus Race)

Follow @attheraces On Instagram Handicap (GBBPlus Race) · 1m4f

848-Hr decs

Every runner. Every signal. One decision.

Voting open

8 declared
0 picked

AI rates Twilight Moon Medium Join free to vote Updated 1 week, 2 days ago

No.

Horse

Form

Jockey / Trainer

SR?

RPR

Age

Wgt

Votes

Odds

Pick

Comment

Penzance

Age 6 · 9-11

6-2300

Billy Loughnane 18%

Mark Loughnane 6%

—

9-11

★☆☆☆☆

—

16/1

Has been a smart performer in his time (rated 18lb higher), but well below form in his last two starts including on stable debut here (1m2f) last month; tongue-tie removed after one use; look elsewhere.

SR 73 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

Epictetus

Age 6 · 9-10

032422

Saffie Osborne 14%

Jamie Osborne 12%

—

9-10

★☆☆☆☆

—

15/2

Beaten half a length or less in his last three goes on the AW (7f-9.5f), but losing run up to 22 and has never attempted this far before; others safer.

SR 72 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

Yaa Min

Age 4 · 9-8

5-1641

Harry Davies 10%

Hayley Burton 9%

9-8

★☆☆☆☆

—

4/1

—

SR 74 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

Arth's Gold

Age 4 · 10-13

537201

Mr Simon Walker 7%

Richard Hannon 12%

10-13

★★☆☆☆

—

9/1

A few near-misses around here before finally off the mark three weeks ago off 6lb lower (boasts a much better record on Tapeta than Polytrack); holds obvious claims under the vastly experienced Simon Walker.

SR 79 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

Rogue Impact

Age 4 · 9-8

009-95

Luke Morris 12%

James Owen 17%

—

9-8

★☆☆☆☆

—

14/1

Landed a C&D maiden just over a year ago, but his form since then has been patchy; down another 3lb, but more needed if he is to resume winning ways.

SR 69 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

Lightning Tiger

Age 4 · 9-6

5514-4

Paddy Bradley 11%

Charlie Fellowes 9%

—

9-6

★★☆☆☆

—

7/2

Fifth in his first two starts on the AW, but has improved since including when making a successful handicap debut at Catterick (1m4f, soft) in October; creditable fourth of 12 on his Thirsk reappearance (1m4f, good) last month (third has won since); could go well in the first-time hood.

SR 76 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

Twilight Moon

Age 4 · 9-5

4241-1

Rob Hornby 11%

Marcus Tregoning 4%

—

9-5

★★☆☆☆

—

3/1

Has won her last two starts over C&D 133 days apart; up another 3lb in her hat-trick bid and she has to be taken very seriously.

SR 84 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

Victors Spirit

Age 4 · 9-2

0-5612

Marco Ghiani 13%

Neil King 24%

—

9-2

★★☆☆☆

—

9/2

Has improved since handicapping on the AW with a hood enlisted, beating a solid yardstick at Southwell (1m3f, Tapeta) last month and finishing second of nine over 1m2f here nine days later; should be suited by the return to further; respected.

SR 77 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

No bookmaker prices recorded yet for this race. Prices land after the first odds sync.

Your pick —

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Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Twilight Moon

Speculative

Twilight Moon owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (47) and market confidence (86). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

3/1 Marcus Tregoning Rob Hornby

65% Confidence

⚠ Danger Runner

Lightning Tiger

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

7/2 · Charlie Fellowes

✓ Value Signal

Rogue Impact

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

14/1 · James Owen

◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →

Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.

Speed rating Speculative

47 / 100

⚖ Weight 38% ＋17.7 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant

86 / 100

⚖ Weight 22% ＋19.0 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction

37 / 100

⚖ Weight 12% ＋3.6 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction

41 / 100

⚖ Weight 10% ＋4.1 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant

61 / 100

⚖ Weight 10% ＋6.1 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative

57 / 100

⚖ Weight 8% ＋4.5 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.

1 6. Twilight Moon

55.9 3/1

2 4. Lightning Tiger

55.7 7/2

3 2. Yaa Min

50.8 4/1

4 7. Victors Spirit

49.9 9/2

5 3. Arth's Gold

47.0 9/1

YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view

Twilight Moon

Medium

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →

The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly

📊

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability

🤖

★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance

🐾

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

★ Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

Twilight Moon

Age 4 · 9-5

3/1

J: Rob Hornby
T: Marcus Tregoning

★★☆☆☆ SR 84 🐾 —

SR 84 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

Lightning Tiger

Age 4 · 9-6

7/2

J: Paddy Bradley
T: Charlie Fellowes

★★☆☆☆ SR 76 🐾 —

SR 76 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

Yaa Min

Age 4 · 9-8

4/1

J: Harry Davies
T: Hayley Burton

★☆☆☆☆ SR 74 🐾 —

SR 74 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

Victors Spirit

Age 4 · 9-2

9/2

J: Marco Ghiani
T: Neil King

★★☆☆☆ SR 77 🐾 —

SR 77 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

Epictetus

Age 6 · 9-10

15/2

J: Saffie Osborne
T: Jamie Osborne

★☆☆☆☆ SR 72 🐾 —

SR 72 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

Arth's Gold

Age 4 · 10-13

9/1

J: Mr Simon Walker
T: Richard Hannon

★★☆☆☆ SR 79 🐾 —

SR 79 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

Rogue Impact

Age 4 · 9-8

14/1

J: Luke Morris
T: James Owen

★☆☆☆☆ SR 69 🐾 —

SR 69 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

Penzance

Age 6 · 9-11

16/1

J: Billy Loughnane
T: Mark Loughnane

★☆☆☆☆ SR 73 🐾 —

SR 73 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Twilight Moon

Confidence: Medium

Twilight Moon leads the field with SR 84 and is trading at . The Saturday Rating places it clear of the field on ability. Weight of 9-5 is manageable for a horse of this class.

Shortlist Twilight Moon, Arth's Gold, Victors Spirit, Lightning Tiger, Yaa Min

Each-way: Arth's Gold Danger: Victors Spirit

🗺 The Course Class 4

1m4f Distance to cover

Good Expected going

8 Confirmed runners

Lingfield (AW) Track and setting

Class 4 Race grade

Tuesday 12 May Follow @attheraces On Instagram Handicap (GBBPlus Race)

Bath

Beverley

Hereford

Killarney

Lingfield (AW)

Sligo

Balanced lens

Twilight Moon

Lightning Tiger

Rogue Impact

Balanced

How the chamber read the race

See your angle before you make your move

Saturday Rating

AI Stars

Cub Votes

★ Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

🗺 The Course Class 4