12 May 2026

Tuesday 12 May Adare Manor Opportunity Maiden Hurdle

Adare Manor Opportunity Maiden Hurdle · 2m1f166y

1448-Hr decs

Every runner. Every signal. One decision.

Settled

14 declared
0 picked
1 NR

Updated 1 week, 2 days ago

No.

Horse

Form

Jockey / Trainer

SR?

RPR

Age

Wgt

Votes

Odds

Pick

Comment

Saint Peregrine Non-Runner

Age 7 · 11-4

937F0-

Liam McKenna(3) 6%

John Patrick Ryan 7%

—

114

11-4

★★☆☆☆

—

22/1

Only rated 91, but second in this last year and again back here in June; lost form after and has been off for 173 days; needs to revive.

Atlantic Gamble

Age 5 · 11-12

8747-

Jack G Gilligan 2%

Paul John Gilligan 3%

—

11-12

★☆☆☆☆

—

10/1

Six-time Flat winner in Britain; not shown much yet hurdling and has to concede weight.

SR 74 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

Antoine De Paris

Age 4 · 11-6

P09-

Carl Millar(5) 8%

Noel C Kelly 6%

—

11-6

★☆☆☆☆

—

50/1

Won Flat claimer here last summer; huge prices when not involved in two hurdle runs and been off five months.

SR 67 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

Casual Water

Age 5 · 11-4

5-9

Brian Hayes 10%

W P Mullins 21%

—

11-4

★☆☆☆☆

—

5/1

Half-brother to top-class Altior and several other smart performers; maybe telling that his debut last month came over 3m at Limerick when tailed off and shorter trip/better ground didn't improve him at Sligo; not a contender on form to date.

SR 41 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

William F Browne

Age 4 · 11-6

—

Kevin Healy(7) 9%

Paul W Flynn 9%

—

11-6

★☆☆☆☆

—

22/1

Won over 7f/1m at two for Ger Lyons; nearly won Galway handicap off 65 last summer; hurdling debut.

SR 77 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

Dahab

Age 5 · 11-4

0/7-0

Paddy Cleary(7) 5%

D Broad 5%

—

100

11-4

★★☆☆☆

—

28/1

Runner-up in three Flat maidens for Noel Kelly; beaten 20l at Ayr on hurdling bow; tailed off on stable debut in first-time tongue-tie (retained) at Sligo 10 days ago; others preferred.

SR 79 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

Denham Rock

Age 5 · 11-4

Tom Kelly 0%

C Byrnes 11%

—

11-4

★☆☆☆☆

—

16/1

Homebred Mahler gelding out of hurdles winner; 28-1 when tailed off in Punchstown bumper.

SR 78 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

First Ascent

Age 5 · 11-4

P-

Josh Williamson(5) 12%

Gordon Elliott 15%

—

11-4

★☆☆☆☆

—

13/2

Well-bred Godolphin cast-off had some good Flat form (rated 77) for Matt Smith; pulled up lame on stable/hurdle debut.

SR 75 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

Hey Now

Age 5 · 11-4

45-

Aidan Kelly(3) 6%

Andrew McNamara 8%

—

115

11-4

★☆☆☆☆

—

10/3

Not beaten far in a decent bumper and 7-1, creditable fifth on hurdling debut at Clonmel, third won since, fourth now rated 107; latest run was on soft and he's bred for good ground, although this track might be tight enough for good-sized gelding.

SR 93 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

Ludus Magnus

Age 5 · 11-4

6/40-

Niall Moore(5) 6%

Philip Fenton 6%

—

11-4

★★☆☆☆

—

16/1

First two bumper runs were decent; 11-2, tailed off last time over 2m3f; hurdling debut.

SR 78 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

Strategic Move

Age 6 · 11-4

P-

Shane O'Callaghan(5) 5%

Norman Lee 1%

—

11-4

★☆☆☆☆

—

50/1

E15,000 3yo; fifth foal; half-brother to bumper winner Code Name Lise; dam unraced sister to useful 2m1f/2m3f hurdle winner Captain Kirkton, half-sister to useful winners Klepht (2m3f-2m6f hurdle/chase) and Welsh Shadow (bumper and 2m/2m4f hurdle); pulled up in a point in November.

SR 75 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

Finns First

Age 4 · 10-12

Michael Kenneally(5) 12%

Peter John Flood 8%

—

10-12

★★☆☆☆

—

80/1

Huge price for Bellewstown maiden, not that fluent before making late headway (beaten 36l).

SR 80 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

Game Point

Age 4 · 10-12

—

Paddy Cody(7) 1%

R P Cody 10%

—

10-12

★★☆☆☆

—

9/2

Useful but frustrating for Ger Lyons on the Flat, runner-up five times in a row in maidens; only okay runs in two recent starts for this yard and mark now down to 78; tried in tongue-tie latest, now hooded for hurdling debut

SR 81 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

Lilac Lady

Age 6 · 10-11

6353-

Alan King 7%

Mark Michael McNiff 5%

—

102

117

10-11

★★☆☆☆

—

4/1

Modest Flat maiden; all four runs over hurdles came at her local track last year; third in maiden and in a handicap off 92; will be better for this comeback run.

SR 102 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

Tawny Lea

Age 6 · 10-11

—

Eoghan Finegan(7) 9%

Thomas Coyle 3%

—

10-11

★★☆☆☆

—

20/1

Half-sister to smart 2m-2m2f hurdle/chase winner Duke Of Navan; dam well beaten in bumpers, sister to point winner Abbeyknock Boy, half-sister to 2m4f/2m6f chase winner Big Al.

SR 82 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

No bookmaker prices recorded yet for this race. Prices land after the first odds sync.

Your pick —

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Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Hey Now

Speculative

Hey Now owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (52) and market confidence (85). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

10/3 Andrew McNamara Aidan Kelly

72% Confidence

⚠ Danger Runner

Lilac Lady

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

4/1 · Mark Michael McNiff

✓ Value Signal

Strategic Move

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

50/1 · Norman Lee

◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →

Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.

Speed rating Speculative

52 / 100

⚖ Weight 38% ＋19.6 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant

85 / 100

⚖ Weight 22% ＋18.6 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Speculative

46 / 100

⚖ Weight 12% ＋5.0 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction

44 / 100

⚖ Weight 10% ＋4.4 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant

46 / 100

⚖ Weight 10% ＋4.6 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative

56 / 100

⚖ Weight 8% ＋4.5 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.

1 8. Hey Now

59.0 10/3

2 15. Lilac Lady

55.5 4/1

3 14. Game Point

51.9 9/2

4 7. First Ascent

49.0 13/2

5 1. Atlantic Gamble

47.9 10/1

YOUR DECISION

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Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.

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🤖 AI view

Lilac Lady

Medium

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →

The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly

📊

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability

🤖

★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance

🐾

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

★ Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

Hey Now

Age 5 · 11-4

10/3

J: Aidan Kelly(3)
T: Andrew McNamara

★☆☆☆☆ SR 93 🐾 —

SR 93 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

Lilac Lady

Age 6 · 10-11

4/1

J: Alan King
T: Mark Michael McNiff

★★☆☆☆ SR 102 🐾 —

SR 102 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

Game Point

Age 4 · 10-12

9/2

J: Paddy Cody(7)
T: R P Cody

★★☆☆☆ SR 81 🐾 —

SR 81 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

Casual Water

Age 5 · 11-4

5/1

J: Brian Hayes
T: W P Mullins

★☆☆☆☆ SR 41 🐾 —

SR 41 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

First Ascent

Age 5 · 11-4

13/2

J: Josh Williamson(5)
T: Gordon Elliott

★☆☆☆☆ SR 75 🐾 —

SR 75 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

Atlantic Gamble

Age 5 · 11-12

10/1

J: Jack G Gilligan
T: Paul John Gilligan

★☆☆☆☆ SR 74 🐾 —

SR 74 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

Denham Rock

Age 5 · 11-4

16/1

J: Tom Kelly
T: C Byrnes

★☆☆☆☆ SR 78 🐾 —

SR 78 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

Ludus Magnus

Age 5 · 11-4

16/1

J: Niall Moore(5)
T: Philip Fenton

★★☆☆☆ SR 78 🐾 —

SR 78 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

Tawny Lea

Age 6 · 10-11

20/1

J: Eoghan Finegan(7)
T: Thomas Coyle

★★☆☆☆ SR 82 🐾 —

SR 82 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Lilac Lady

Confidence: Medium

Lilac Lady leads the field with SR 102 and is trading at . The Saturday Rating places it clear of the field on ability. Weight of 10-11 is manageable for a horse of this class.

Shortlist Lilac Lady, Hey Now, Saint Peregrine, Tawny Lea, Game Point

Each-way: Hey Now Danger: Saint Peregrine

🗺 The Course Race conditions

2m1f166y Distance to cover

Good Expected going

14 Confirmed runners

Sligo Track and setting

Tuesday 12 May Adare Manor Opportunity Maiden Hurdle

Adare Manor Opportunity Maiden Hurdle

Bath

Beverley

Hereford

Killarney

Lingfield (AW)

Sligo

Balanced lens

Hey Now

Lilac Lady

Strategic Move

Balanced

How the chamber read the race

See your angle before you make your move

Saturday Rating

AI Stars

Cub Votes

★ Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

🗺 The Course Race conditions