12 May 2026

Tuesday 12 May FEXCO Maiden

FEXCO Maiden · 1m31y

1348-Hr decs

Every runner. Every signal. One decision.

Official Result

FEXCO Maiden

Confirmed
  1. Winner Hygge (GB) Declan McDonogh · Gordon Elliott
    20/1
  2. 6/5F
  3. 5/1
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Settled
  • 13 declared
  • 0 picked
Updated 1 week, 2 days ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Coul Dreamer
Age 5 · 9-9
8/20-0
70
87
5
9-9
10/1
Won a juvenile hurdle by 9l at Punchestown in November 2024; has run well in defeat on the Flat, placed three times, including second at Clonmel last autumn; well below best on seasonal return in a 1m4f handicap at the Curragh; seems most effective at around 1m2f.

SR 70 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

2
Crosshaven
Age 4 · 9-9
07-
47
64
4
9-9
22/1
Dropped away from two furlongs out on debut over 1m2f at the Curragh last May; not seen again after a moderate run over 1m5f at Leopardstown in June; gelded now; jockey booking is the only positive.

SR 47 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

3
Hygge
Age 4 · 9-9
57
4
9-9
13/2
Third in both starts in academy hurdles (beaten favourite both times); same position in 4yo maidens at Navan and Cork, beaten over 20l both times; half-brother to two Flat winners; dam, a Group-placed 1m winner by Galileo, half-sister Giants Causeway; of some interest on Flat debut.

SR 57 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

4
Phidias Ovation
Age 4 · 9-9
08-0
51
68
4
9-9
80/1
Soundly beaten in maidens at Naas (1m, yielding) and Dundalk (7f) last year; no better at Limerick (1m, yielding) on reappearance.

SR 51 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

5
Radient Man
Age 4 · 9-9
05-
53
71
4
9-9
16/1
Down in a 6f maiden at the Curragh last June; looked an awkward ride when around 10l fifth of eight over C&D last October.

SR 53 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

6
Teffian Warrior
Age 4 · 9-9
7504-4
58
76
4
9-9
15/2
Best effort from five maidens came at Galway last July when a 6l fifth of 14 (7f, yielding); led before fading into fourth of eighth on handicap/seasonal debut at Leopardstown last month (1m1f, yielding to soft); likely capable of better; cheekpieces on now.

SR 58 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

7
The Rock Factor
Age 4 · 9-9
98
40
56
4
9-9
25/1
Ran in a Naas bumper in January; mid-field in Flat maidens at Navan and Cork; more likely one for handicaps in time.

SR 40 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

8
Tijuana
Age 8 · 9-9
80007/
57
55
8
9-9
100/1
Low-rated gelding, unplaced in ten outings between 2021 and 2023; huge task after long absence.

SR 57 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

9
Tyraxes
Age 4 · 9-9
-22030
67
82
4
9-9
16/1
First seven runs were on AW; placed in three of five Dundalk outings for this stable, including a 3l third over this trip at Dundalk in March; made little impression at Limerick on turf debut; better ground may help.

SR 67 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

10
Dazzling Angel
Age 4 · 9-4
42/
62
79
4
9-4
6/1
Trained by Paddy Twomey at two; promising fourth over 7f at Gowran on debut; failed to justify short-priced favouritism at Dundalk; winner Ms Willpower won her only start at three; might need the run but worth a market check.

SR 62 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

11
Mystic Bella
Age 4 · 9-4
300-4
73
88
4
9-4
13/2
Has made the frame but does not seem entirely reliable; others have stronger claims.

SR 73 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

12
Taj Crown
Age 4 · 9-4
9-
54
69
4
9-4
18/1
Slowly away and ran green at Dundalk on her only start at three; visored now,; stable had a maiden winner at Ballinrobe last Friday; best watched.

SR 54 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

13
Treasure Rose
Age 4 · 9-4
2423-2
83
94
4
9-4
11/8
Now a four-time runner-up; not exactly progressive but might get a change of fortune now.

SR 83 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

No bookmaker prices recorded yet for this race. Prices land after the first odds sync.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Treasure Rose

Speculative

Treasure Rose owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (46) and market confidence (94). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

11/8 J P Murtagh Seamie Heffernan
80% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Mystic Bella

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

13/2 · Henry De Bromhead
✓ Value Signal

Tijuana

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

100/1 · David Edward Finn
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Speculative
46 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +17.5 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
94 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +20.6 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
37 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +3.6 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction
36 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +3.6 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
57 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +5.7 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Live signal
60 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.8 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 13. Treasure Rose
55.5 11/8
2 11. Mystic Bella
48.7 13/2
3 1. Coul Dreamer
48.5 10/1
4 10. Dazzling Angel
48.4 6/1
5 3. Hygge
47.3 13/2
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Treasure Rose
Medium

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

13
Age 4 · 9-4
11/8
★★☆☆☆ SR 83 🐾

SR 83 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

10
Age 4 · 9-4
6/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 62 🐾

SR 62 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

3
Age 4 · 9-9
13/2
★☆☆☆☆ SR 57 🐾

SR 57 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

11
Age 4 · 9-4
13/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 73 🐾

SR 73 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

6
Age 4 · 9-9
15/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 58 🐾

SR 58 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

1
Age 5 · 9-9
10/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 70 🐾

SR 70 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

5
Age 4 · 9-9
16/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 53 🐾

SR 53 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

9
Age 4 · 9-9
16/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 67 🐾

SR 67 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

12
Age 4 · 9-4
18/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 54 🐾

SR 54 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Treasure Rose
Confidence: Medium

Treasure Rose leads the field with SR 83 and is trading at . The Saturday Rating places it clear of the field on ability. Weight of 9-4 is manageable for a horse of this class.

Shortlist Treasure Rose, Mystic Bella, Coul Dreamer, Tyraxes, Dazzling Angel
Each-way: Mystic Bella Danger: Coul Dreamer

🗺 The Course Race conditions

1m31y Distance to cover
Good Expected going
13 Confirmed runners
Killarney Track and setting