12 May 2026

Tuesday 12 May Irish Stallion Farms EBF (C & G) Maiden

Irish Stallion Farms EBF (C & G) Maiden · 1m31y

1148-Hr decs

Every runner. Every signal. One decision.

Settled

11 declared
0 picked
1 NR

Updated 1 week, 2 days ago

No.

Horse

Form

Jockey / Trainer

SR?

RPR

Age

Wgt

Votes

Odds

Pick

Comment

Vico Road Non-Runner

Age 3 · 9-8

—

J M Sheridan 11%

John Joseph Murphy 10%

—

9-8

★★☆☆☆

—

50/1

E6,000 Y; third foal; half-brother to 5f/6f winner Dandy Magic; dam 7f-1m4f AW winner, half-sister to 1m Listed winner Barys; stable does well at this venue.

Alphonsus Liguori

Age 3 · 9-8

Dylan Browne McMonagle 15%

Joseph Patrick O'Brien 15%

—

9-8

★★☆☆☆

—

11/10

Cost 210,000gns as a yearling; Study Of Man colt was beaten only a neck by shorter-priced stablemate Perisher on debut over 1m on soft ground at Gowran; finished 4l clear of an experienced 79-rated rival; can score with normal improvement

SR 81 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

Amrum

Age 3 · 9-8

Nicola Burns(5) 8%

G M Lyons 13%

—

9-8

★☆☆☆☆

—

33/1

Half-brother to Irish 2,000 Guineas winner Siskin; nondescript run on debut at Dundalk; never a threat over a longer trip on soft at Cork; not an obvious contender at this stage.

SR 50 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

Connor Of Mali

Age 3 · 9-8

G B Noonan 9%

L J Archdeacon 0%

—

9-8

★☆☆☆☆

—

150/1

Big price at Thurles on only start and ran accordingly; safe to rule out.

SR 28 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

Dark Leader

Age 3 · 9-8

Seamie Heffernan 5%

J A Stack 11%

—

9-8

★★☆☆☆

—

5/1

Dark Angel gelding; 65,000gns 2yo Breeze Up purchase; unraced last year; showed plenty of promise when second over 7f at Limerick last month, should go close.

SR 79 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

Chamonix

Age 3 · 9-8

Dylan Browne McMonagle 15%

Joseph Patrick O'Brien 15%

—

9-8

★★☆☆☆

—

16/1

Wootton Bassett gelding shaped okay on Curragh debut last month, better form three weeks later at Cork when finishing fourth in good-class maiden, having made much of running; McMonagle's choice over Big Cypress.

SR 70 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

Lonely Island

Age 3 · 9-8

7-5

Colin Keane 16%

M D O'Callaghan 9%

—

9-8

★☆☆☆☆

—

16/1

—

SR 48 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

Henry Hudson

Age 3 · 9-8

—

Luke McAteer 8%

David Marnane 9%

—

9-8

★★☆☆☆

—

28/1

30,000gns yearling; second foal; dam 1m winner, half-sister to winners Little Chesney (US 5f stakes) and Forever Thing (US stakes-placed).

SR 60 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

Mergus Serrator

Age 3 · 9-8

6-4

Gary Carroll 10%

Gavin Cromwell 9%

—

9-8

★★☆☆☆

—

9/1

Respectable run at Leopardstown in October on only outing at two; shaped quite well when keeping on to take fourth in a 1m2f maiden at Navan; might not be as effective at this trip.

SR 71 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

Oro Blanco

Age 3 · 9-8

Shane Foley 11%

Mrs John Harrington 10%

—

9-8

★★☆☆☆

—

10/1

E36,000 2yo Breeze Up; can be expected to improve from Limerick debut; needs to reverse form with runner-up Dark Leader.

SR 72 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

Res Ipsa

Age 3 · 9-8

Colin Keane 16%

G M Lyons 13%

—

9-8

★☆☆☆☆

—

3/1

Frankel colt is a brother to his trainer's smart Group 3 winner Red Letter; well fancied on debut at Leopardstown last August; looked raw and met trouble in running, could be a different proposition now; tongue-tie fitted.

SR 53 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

Second Line

Age 3 · 9-8

0-8

Nathan Crosse 3%

Mrs John Harrington 10%

—

9-8

★☆☆☆☆

—

33/1

Slow to break and never a threat on Fairyhouse debut last June, an excuse emerged then; hard to make a case for him based on a Dundalk run in January.

SR 51 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

No bookmaker prices recorded yet for this race. Prices land after the first odds sync.

Your pick —

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Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Alphonsus Liguori

Speculative

Alphonsus Liguori owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (45) and market confidence (95). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

11/10 Joseph Patrick O'Brien Dylan Browne McMonagle

68% Confidence

⚠ Danger Runner

Dark Leader

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

5/1 · J A Stack

✓ Value Signal

Henry Hudson

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

28/1 · David Marnane

◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

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Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.

Speed rating Speculative

45 / 100

⚖ Weight 38% ＋17.1 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant

95 / 100

⚖ Weight 22% ＋20.9 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction

39 / 100

⚖ Weight 12% ＋4.1 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction

35 / 100

⚖ Weight 10% ＋3.5 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant

50 / 100

⚖ Weight 10% ＋5.0 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Live signal

61 / 100

⚖ Weight 8% ＋4.8 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.

1 1. Alphonsus Liguori

54.7 11/10

2 5. Dark Leader

53.4 5/1

3 8. Mergus Serrator

47.6 9/1

4 9. Oro Blanco

45.9 10/1

5 5. Chamonix

43.2 16/1

YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view

Alphonsus Liguori

Medium

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →

The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly

📊

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability

🤖

★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance

🐾

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

★ Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

Alphonsus Liguori

Age 3 · 9-8

11/10

J: Dylan Browne McMonagle
T: Joseph Patrick O'Brien

★★☆☆☆ SR 81 🐾 —

SR 81 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

Res Ipsa

Age 3 · 9-8

3/1

J: Colin Keane
T: G M Lyons

★☆☆☆☆ SR 53 🐾 —

SR 53 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

Dark Leader

Age 3 · 9-8

5/1

J: Seamie Heffernan
T: J A Stack

★★☆☆☆ SR 79 🐾 —

SR 79 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

Mergus Serrator

Age 3 · 9-8

9/1

J: Gary Carroll
T: Gavin Cromwell

★★☆☆☆ SR 71 🐾 —

SR 71 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

Oro Blanco

Age 3 · 9-8

10/1

J: Shane Foley
T: Mrs John Harrington

★★☆☆☆ SR 72 🐾 —

SR 72 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

Chamonix

Age 3 · 9-8

16/1

J: Dylan Browne McMonagle
T: Joseph Patrick O'Brien

★★☆☆☆ SR 70 🐾 —

SR 70 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

Lonely Island

Age 3 · 9-8

16/1

J: Colin Keane
T: M D O'Callaghan

★☆☆☆☆ SR 48 🐾 —

SR 48 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Alphonsus Liguori

Confidence: Medium

Alphonsus Liguori leads the field with SR 81 and is trading at . The Saturday Rating places it clear of the field on ability. Weight of 9-8 is manageable for a horse of this class.

Shortlist Alphonsus Liguori, Dark Leader, Oro Blanco, Mergus Serrator, Chamonix

Each-way: Dark Leader Danger: Oro Blanco

🗺 The Course Race conditions

1m31y Distance to cover

Good Expected going

11 Confirmed runners

Killarney Track and setting

Tuesday 12 May Irish Stallion Farms EBF (C & G) Maiden

Irish Stallion Farms EBF (C & G) Maiden

Bath

Beverley

Hereford

Killarney

Lingfield (AW)

Sligo

Balanced lens

Alphonsus Liguori

Dark Leader

Henry Hudson

Balanced

How the chamber read the race

See your angle before you make your move

Saturday Rating

AI Stars

Cub Votes

★ Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

🗺 The Course Race conditions