Ire-Incentive, It Pays To Buy Irish EBF Novice Stakes (GBB Race) · 0m7f0y
SR 126 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 144 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 141 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 98 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 124 suggests ability but 66/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Favourable weight of 9-4 gives a real edge in this handicap.
SR 145 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 132 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 134 suggests ability but 18/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 143 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 143 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 124 suggests ability but 80/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 124 suggests ability but 33/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 144 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 Quite Cheeky | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 1 Extended Order | 66/1 open 29.00 | — | 80/1 open 34.00 | 80/1 open 34.00 | 80/1 open 34.00 | 80/1 open 41.00 | 80/1 Coral |
| 2 Arthurian | 9/1 open 11.00 | — | 9/1 open 13.00 | 9/1 open 13.00 | 9/1 open 13.00 | 9/1 open 12.00 | 9/1 Bet365 |
| 3 Cavalier | 16/1 open 15.00 | — | 16/1 open 13.00 | 16/1 open 13.00 | 16/1 open 13.00 | 16/1 open 15.00 | 16/1 Bet365 |
| 4 Cilician | 4/1 open 4.50 | — | 7/2 open 3.75 | 7/2 open 3.75 | 7/2 open 3.75 | 10/3 | 4/1 Bet365 |
| 5 Clive The Writer | 80/1 open 41.00 | — | 80/1 open 51.00 | 80/1 open 51.00 | 80/1 open 51.00 | 80/1 open 67.00 | 80/1 Bet365 |
| 6 Force Of Light | 5/4 open 2.20 | — | 11/8 open 2.00 | 11/8 open 2.00 | 11/8 open 2.10 | 11/8 open 2.00 | 11/8 Coral |
| 7 Fuel The Jet | 17/2 open 15.00 | — | 8/1 open 12.00 | 8/1 open 12.00 | 8/1 open 12.00 | 8/1 open 12.00 | 17/2 Bet365 |
| 8 Golden Eagle | 25/1 open 19.00 | — | 25/1 open 23.00 | 25/1 open 23.00 | 25/1 open 23.00 | 25/1 | 25/1 Bet365 |
| 9 Grapple | 25/1 open 17.00 | — | 25/1 open 19.00 | 25/1 open 19.00 | 25/1 open 17.00 | 25/1 open 19.00 | 25/1 Bet365 |
| 10 Primal | 16/1 open 15.00 | — | 16/1 open 12.00 | 16/1 open 12.00 | 16/1 open 12.00 | 16/1 open 12.00 | 16/1 Bet365 |
| 12 Rafe's Da Man | 22/1 open 29.00 | — | 25/1 | 25/1 | 25/1 | 25/1 open 13.00 | 25/1 Coral |
| 13 Red Tail | 100/1 open 51.00 | — | 100/1 open 67.00 | 100/1 open 67.00 | 100/1 open 67.00 | 100/1 open 81.00 | 100/1 Bet365 |
| 14 Revoked | 40/1 open 23.00 | — | 50/1 open 34.00 | 50/1 open 34.00 | 50/1 open 34.00 | 50/1 | 50/1 Coral |
| 15 Shoot You Down | 9/1 open 11.00 | — | 17/2 open 11.00 | 17/2 open 11.00 | 17/2 open 11.00 | 17/2 open 12.00 | 9/1 Bet365 |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Force Of Light owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (86) and market confidence (94). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalFavourable weight of 9-4 gives a real edge in this handicap.
SR 98 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 145 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 144 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 144 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 141 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 143 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.
Force Of Light carries the highest SR in the field at 155 — a full 10 points clear of the next best — and is trained by Charlie Appleby (28% strike rate, the strongest trainer stat in the race) with William Buick booked, a pairing that consistently delivers well-prepared debutants. The 11/10 market price reflects genuine confidence, and while there is a marginal 8% drift, that is noise-level movement rather than a meaningful opposer signal on a Godolphin juvenile. Appleby regularly debuts horses ready to win on quality tracks like Newbury, and the SR gap is wide enough that even without distance or going form on record, the raw ability edge is decisive against this novice field. Each-way alternative: Rafe's Da Man. Main danger: Fuel The Jet — Fuel The Jet (SR:145) has steamed in 13% in the market — the only runner aside from the favourite to shorten — suggesting informed money is backing a horse with a previous run under its belt and a clear improvement angle coming into this Class 3 contest.