Follow @AtTheRaces On X Handicap Stakes (GBBPlus Race) · 1m5f219y
SR 92 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 84 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 56 suggests ability but 25/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 80 suggests ability but 6/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 93 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 80 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 73 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 74 suggests ability but 13/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Mersea Island | 5/1 open 4.33 | — | 11/2 open 5.00 | 11/2 open 5.00 | 5/1 open 5.00 | 9/2 open 5.00 | 11/2 Coral |
| 2 Heathen | 11/2 open 7.50 | — | 5/1 open 7.00 | 5/1 open 7.00 | 5/1 open 7.00 | 5/1 open 7.00 | 11/2 Bet365 |
| 3 Scottish Anthem | 33/1 open 19.00 | — | 40/1 open 23.00 | 40/1 open 23.00 | 40/1 open 23.00 | 33/1 open 26.00 | 40/1 Coral |
| 4 Cabrera | 11/2 open 8.00 | — | 5/1 open 8.50 | 5/1 open 8.50 | 5/1 open 8.50 | 5/1 open 9.00 | 11/2 Bet365 |
| 5 St Mawes | 3/1 open 4.33 | — | 11/4 | 11/4 | 11/4 | 11/4 | 3/1 Bet365 |
| 6 Arcturus Flame | 11/2 open 6.00 | — | 11/2 open 5.50 | 11/2 open 5.50 | 11/2 open 5.50 | 5/1 open 5.00 | 11/2 Bet365 |
| 7 Gentle Warrior | 10/1 open 8.00 | — | 9/1 open 7.50 | 9/1 open 7.50 | 11/1 open 7.50 | 10/1 open 9.50 | 11/1 William Hill |
| 8 Dance Time | 13/2 open 8.50 | — | 6/1 | 6/1 | 13/2 open 7.00 | 13/2 open 7.00 | 13/2 Bet365 |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Mersea Island owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (51) and market confidence (77). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalSR 93 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 92 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 84 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 80 suggests ability but 6/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 80 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 74 suggests ability but 13/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 73 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.
St Mawes (SR 93, 11/4) is the highest-rated horse in the field and drops a class from his last run, which is a meaningful advantage in a Class 4 handicap. His form reads 511-32, showing two wins this season before a pair of placed efforts, and the GoingFit:+ confirms he handles good ground at Wolverhampton AW. Trainer George Scott operates at an 18% strike rate from 430 runners — the best in this field — and the 11/4 market position reflects genuine confidence rather than blind favouritism. The MarkMv:+8 is the one concern, meaning he runs 8lb higher than his last winning mark, but dropping a class (ClassMv:↓1) largely offsets that penalty, and his SR 93 gives him a clear edge over rivals clustered around SR 73-84. Each-way alternative: Arcturus Flame. Main danger: Cabrera — Cabrera has steamed in 21% in the market (Mkt:in21%), drops three classes (ClassMv:↓3) which is a massive advantage in terms of relative quality, and carries only 9-6 — the market money here is significant and cannot be ignored even with a GoingFit:- concern.