Discover Newmarket Fillies' Novice Stakes (GBB Race) · 0m7f0y
SR 125 suggests ability but 50/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Favourable weight of 9-2 gives a real edge in this handicap.
Favourable weight of 9-2 gives a real edge in this handicap.
SR 125 suggests ability but 40/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Favourable weight of 9-2 gives a real edge in this handicap.
SR 134 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 127 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 Watch Party | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 1 Foxsbrush | 80/1 open 41.00 | — | 80/1 open 41.00 | 80/1 open 41.00 | 80/1 open 41.00 | 80/1 open 41.00 | 80/1 Bet365 |
| 2 Graceful Song | 4/5 open 2.50 | — | 8/11 open 2.50 | 8/11 open 2.50 | 4/5 open 2.50 | 4/6 open 2.38 | 4/5 Bet365 |
| 3 Gracious Gift | 15/8 open 2.50 | — | 15/8 open 2.38 | 15/8 open 2.38 | 15/8 open 2.38 | 7/4 open 2.38 | 15/8 Bet365 |
| 4 Princess Lottie | 50/1 open 34.00 | — | 40/1 open 34.00 | 40/1 open 34.00 | 40/1 open 34.00 | 40/1 open 34.00 | 50/1 Bet365 |
| 5 Somers Isles | 11/2 open 4.33 | — | 6/1 open 4.00 | 6/1 open 4.00 | 6/1 open 4.00 | 6/1 open 4.00 | 6/1 Coral |
| 6 Thuritha | 33/1 open 15.00 | — | 40/1 open 17.00 | 40/1 open 17.00 | 40/1 open 17.00 | 40/1 open 17.00 | 40/1 Coral |
| 7 Tie A Navyribbon | 80/1 open 51.00 | — | 80/1 open 67.00 | 80/1 open 67.00 | 80/1 open 67.00 | 80/1 open 51.00 | 80/1 Bet365 |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Gracious Gift owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (87) and market confidence (91). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalFavourable weight of 9-2 gives a real edge in this handicap.
Favourable weight of 9-2 gives a real edge in this handicap.
Favourable weight of 9-2 gives a real edge in this handicap.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.
Graceful Song (SR 156, 5/4) is the Appleby yard's #1 runner here — despite Gracious Gift carrying a fractionally higher SR of 157, Graceful Song has attracted the stronger jockey booking in Billy Loughnane (18% strike rate from 1,604 rides vs Connor Planas at 10% from just 78) and has steamed in 11% in the market, while Gracious Gift holds steady. In a yard that routinely signals intent through jockey choice and market moves, these are meaningful pointers that Appleby considers Graceful Song the better prospect. Somers Isles (SR 151, 4/1) is the main market rival but has drifted 16%, suggesting that early support has evaporated — a clear negative signal from a competitive angle. The Appleby operation (28% strike rate, 160 runners) is one of the most powerful yards in British racing, and running two in a seven-runner novice means they believe strongly in both; the sharper market move and superior jockey booking tips Graceful Song as the stable's intended winner. Each-way alternative: Gracious Gift. Main danger: Gracious Gift — Gracious Gift holds the highest SR in the field at 157, has already shown ability with a second-place debut run (Form: 2) 15 days ago at the same class, and if Appleby's two runners split — with Gracious Gift running on better than expected — she is the most obvious horse to reverse the market verdict.