Nottingham 16:02 RESULTED
Class 5 17 Jul 2026

Friday 17 July XMA Wish Race "Confined" Handicap Stakes (For Horses Who Have Not Won More Than One Race)

XMA Wish Race "Confined" Handicap Stakes (For Horses Who Have Not Won More Than One Race) · 0m6f18y

Official Result

XMA Wish Race "Confined" Handicap Stakes (For Horses Who Have Not Won More Than One Race)

Confirmed
  1. Winner Robert Anstruther (GB) Joanna Mason · Henry Candy
    13/8F
  2. Second Slot (GB)
    9/1
  3. 10/1
AI ExplorerBETA Deep analytics
Race picker

Switch race

Big race Sat 25 Jul King George Vi And Queen Elizabeth Stakes (Group 1) Ascot · 16:10

Killarney

13:32–17:25 · 8 races

Wolverhampton (AW)

14:13–17:35 · 7 races

Nottingham

14:22–17:10 · 6 races

Newbury

15:00–17:55 · 6 races

Down Royal

17:05–20:30 · 7 races

Newmarket (July)

17:15–20:43 · 7 races

Hamilton

17:30–21:00 · 7 races

Pontefract

18:00–20:52 · 6 races

Recently viewed

Settled
  • 7 declared
  • 0 picked
  • 1 NR
Saturday Draw Updated 6 days, 6 hours ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
?
Ballybunion silks
Ballybunion Non-Runner
Age 3 · 9-8
722-0
69
69OR
3
9-8
SP FCST 12/1
1
Night Mission silks
Night Mission
Age 3 · 9-9
32-597
70
70
70OR
3
9-9
11/4 7/2 11/4
Seventh last time out, Night Mission was runner-up four starts back, and third before that, form that puts him clear on our figures. He already goes well over today's six-furlong trip, and despite 49 days off since, he rates the one to beat.
AI verdict

SR 70 suggests ability but 10/3 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

3
Slot silks
Slot
Age 3 · 9-7
3-5442
68
69
68OR
3
9-7
6/1 5/2 11/2
Runner-up last time out and never worse than fifth in her other recent starts, Slot has been freshened up after just 22 days and already goes well over today's trip. She's third-best on our figures, making her one of the leading dangers.
AI verdict

SR 69 suggests ability but 9/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

4
Whizzy Dizzy silks
Whizzy Dizzy
Age 3 · 9-6
27-446
67
41
67OR
3
9-6
25/1 10/1 25/1
A sixth last time out leaves Whizzy Dizzy short of the placings, though she was runner-up five starts back and already goes well over today's trip. A lengthy 126-day absence is a big concern, and she's only sixth-best of seven on our figures.
AI verdict

SR 41 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 22/1.

5
Robert Anstruther silks
Robert Anstruther
Age 3 · 9-5
7-4773
66
70
66OR
3
9-5
15/8 5/2 32/17
Third last time out — his best effort of the past five starts — Robert Anstruther followed three sevenths and a fourth with a clear step forward, and he's fresh again after just 18 days with today's trip already covered. He's fourth on our figures among the more solid dangers here.
AI verdict

SR 70 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

6
Black Missile silks
Black Missile
Age 3 · 9-5
344-55
66
59
66OR
3
9-5
9/1 7/1 9/1
Fifth in each of his last two starts, following a pair of fourths and a third further back, Black Missile already has today's trip covered and is fresh again after 50 days off. He's second on our figures, making him one of the leading dangers despite that recent dip in form.
AI verdict

SR 59 suggests ability but 8/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

7
Rousham silks
Rousham
Age 3 · 9-3
072104
64
66
64OR
3
9-3
11/2 4/1 11/2
Fourth last time out having been unplaced the run before, Rousham won three starts back, and was runner-up the one before that, showing there's ability. He already goes well over today's trip and is fresh after 22 days, but sits only fifth-best of seven on our figures — a fair yet unremarkable profile.
AI verdict

SR 66 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

8
Liquid Cooled silks
Liquid Cooled
Age 3 · 8-6
70-143
53
54
53OR
3
8-6
10/1 6/1 10/1
Third last time out, and a winner three starts back, Liquid Cooled does have redeeming recent form, though a run of 82 days without a race is a concern fitness-wise. He already goes well over today's trip, but sits bottom on our figures, making a bold showing hard to expect.
AI verdict

SR 54 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
0 Ballybunion 12/1 12/1 Bet365
1 Night Mission 11/4 open 5.50 3/1 open 4.50 3/1 open 4.50 3/1 open 4.50 11/4 open 4.50 3/1 Coral
3 Slot 6/1 open 3.50 11/2 open 5.50 11/2 open 5.50 11/2 open 5.50 6/1 open 5.50 6/1 Bet365
4 Whizzy Dizzy 25/1 open 13.00 25/1 open 11.00 25/1 open 11.00 25/1 open 11.00 25/1 open 11.00 25/1 Bet365
5 Robert Anstruther 15/8 open 7.00 15/8 open 4.00 15/8 open 4.00 15/8 open 3.50 15/8 open 3.50 15/8 Bet365
6 Black Missile 9/1 open 8.00 9/1 open 8.50 9/1 open 8.50 9/1 open 8.50 9/1 open 8.50 9/1 Bet365
7 Rousham 11/2 open 5.50 11/2 open 5.00 11/2 open 5.00 11/2 open 5.00 11/2 open 5.00 11/2 Bet365
8 Liquid Cooled 10/1 open 7.00 10/1 open 7.00 10/1 open 7.00 10/1 open 7.00 10/1 open 7.00 10/1 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Night Mission

Speculative

Night Mission owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (39) and market confidence (87). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

11/4 Michael Appleby Alistair Rawlinson
67% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Robert Anstruther

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

15/8 · Henry Candy
✓ Value Signal

Whizzy Dizzy

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

25/1 · Clive Cox
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Low conviction
39 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +14.8 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
87 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +19.2 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
40 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +4.8 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction
38 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +3.8 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
38 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +3.8 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
57 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.6 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 1. Night Mission
52.1 11/4
2 5. Robert Anstruther
50.9 15/8
3 3. Slot
49.2 6/1
4 7. Rousham
48.1 11/2
5 6. Black Missile
46.1 9/1
YOUR DECISION

See your angle before you make your move

Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.

🐾 Your pick
No horse picked yet
Voting open now

Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.

Choose your horse →
🤖 AI view
Night Mission
Medium

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

5
Age 3 · 9-5
15/8
★★★☆☆ SR 70 🐾

SR 70 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

1
Age 3 · 9-9
11/4
★★☆☆☆ SR 70 🐾

SR 70 suggests ability but 10/3 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

7
Age 3 · 9-3
11/2
★★★☆☆ SR 66 🐾

SR 66 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

3
Age 3 · 9-7
6/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 69 🐾

SR 69 suggests ability but 9/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

6
Age 3 · 9-5
9/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 59 🐾

SR 59 suggests ability but 8/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

8
Age 3 · 8-6
10/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 54 🐾

SR 54 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

STEAMERS

Race Steamers

What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Night Mission
Confidence: Medium

Night Mission (SR:70, 10/3) shares the joint-highest SR in the field alongside Robert Anstruther but carries only 9-9 — a modest weight — and has shown a 8% market move inward, indicating quiet support. Crucially, Robert Anstruther (SR:70, 15/8 favourite) has a confirmed DistFit:- at 6f, a significant red flag in a sprint where distance suitability is non-negotiable, and his 35% market steam looks misplaced given that flag. Night Mission's moderate distance record (DistFit:~) is superior and his recent form of 32-597 shows some exposure at this class without obvious signs of a deteriorating profile — the 49-day break could mean he returns fresher. Michael Appleby's 13% strike rate is the strongest training record in the field, and at 10/3 versus 15/8 for the favourite, Night Mission offers meaningful value against a horse with a proven distance problem. Each-way alternative: Rousham. Main danger: Robert Anstruther — Robert Anstruther's SR:70 matches Night Mission and his 35% market steam suggests strong connections confidence, but the DistFit:- at 6f is the key concern — if that proven weakness is less significant on today's fast ground, he has the ability to win.

Shortlist Night Mission, Robert Anstruther, Rousham
Each-way: Rousham Danger: Robert Anstruther

🗺 The Course Class 5

0m6f18y Distance to cover
Good to Firm Expected going
7 Confirmed runners
Nottingham Track and setting
Class 5 Race grade