Burwell Apprentice Handicap Stakes · 7f
SR 73 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 66 suggests ability but 10/3 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 71 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 41 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 18/1.
SR 56 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 47 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 51 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Prefer The Sister | 15/8 open 2.50 | — | 2/1 open 2.50 | 2/1 open 2.50 | 2/1 open 2.50 | 2/1 open 2.50 | 2/1 Coral |
| 2 Mister Mojito | 2/1 open 4.50 | — | 2/1 open 4.33 | 2/1 open 4.33 | 15/8 open 4.33 | 2/1 open 4.50 | 2/1 Bet365 |
| 3 Born A Rebel | 5/2 open 3.75 | — | 11/4 open 3.50 | 11/4 open 3.50 | 11/4 open 3.50 | 11/4 open 3.50 | 11/4 Coral |
| 4 Alafdhal | 28/1 open 17.00 | — | 28/1 open 17.00 | 28/1 open 17.00 | 33/1 open 17.00 | 33/1 open 17.00 | 33/1 William Hill |
| 5 Sedgemoor | 12/1 open 19.00 | — | 12/1 open 17.00 | 12/1 open 17.00 | 12/1 open 17.00 | 12/1 open 17.00 | 12/1 Bet365 |
| 6 Chloe's Courage | 18/1 open 17.00 | — | 16/1 open 15.00 | 18/1 open 15.00 | 18/1 open 15.00 | 16/1 open 15.00 | 18/1 Bet365 |
| 7 Coolagh Magic | 20/1 open 9.50 | — | 28/1 open 10.00 | 28/1 open 10.00 | 33/1 open 10.00 | 33/1 open 10.00 | 33/1 William Hill |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Born A Rebel owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (39) and market confidence (88). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalSR 73 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 66 suggests ability but 10/3 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 71 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 56 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 47 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 51 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.
Prefer The Sister holds the highest SR in the field at 73 and carries 9-13 — a meaningful weight burden, but offset by demonstrably superior ability over rivals rated as low as 41-71. The form string 423121 (rightmost = last run) shows a win last time out just 9 days ago, confirming peak condition, and both DistFit:+ and GoingFit:+ confirm this 7f Good to Firm surface is squarely in her wheelhouse. The market has drifted 9% (Mkt:out9%) and the MarkMv:+12 rise off the last winning mark is a genuine concern, but James Owen's 17% trainer strike rate over 1,488 runners is the strongest training strike rate in this field by some margin, and no rival combines SR, confirmed course conditions fit, and recent winning form. The drift likely reflects the rise in mark and the step up in class (ClassMv:↑1), but the raw ability gap over this field is too wide to ignore. Each-way alternative: Born A Rebel. Main danger: Born A Rebel — Born A Rebel (SR:71, 11/4) is just 2 SR points below the selection, holds the lightest weight among the top three at 9-10, shows GoingFit:+ on today's Good to Firm ground, and has a course placing (W0P1) at Newmarket (July) — the market's second-shortest price reflects genuine each-way claims even if the trainer's 3% strike rate and a form string ending in '202' (second, off, second) suggest a horse more inclined to place than win.