Hamilton 18:40 RESULTED
Class 5 17 Jul 2026

Friday 17 July Hamish MacGregor Memorial Nursery Handicap Stakes

Hamish MacGregor Memorial Nursery Handicap Stakes · 6f6y

Official Result

Hamish MacGregor Memorial Nursery Handicap Stakes

Confirmed
  1. Winner Brandenburg (GB) David Egan · Noel Wilson
    1/1F
  2. 3/1
  3. 13/2
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Settled
  • 5 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 6 days, 4 hours ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Fern Clyde silks
Fern Clyde
Age 2 · 9-9
64313
74
80
74OR
2
9-9
9/2 4/1 9/2
Third last time out, and a winner two starts back, form that makes this filly a leading threat on our figures. Fit 24 days on with today's distance covered, though it only ranks third of five here.
AI verdict

SR 80 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

2
Beauty For Love silks
Beauty For Love
Age 2 · 9-8
736
73
77
73OR
2
9-8
7/2 3/1 7/2
Yet to score in its last three starts, sixth last time out following a modest third and a seventh before that. Bottom of five on our figures, but it is race-fit just 14 days on and already has today's distance covered.
AI verdict

SR 77 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

3
Tango Hotel silks
Tango Hotel
Age 2 · 9-8
4512
73
82
73OR
2
9-8
5/2 9/4 5/2
Second last time out, just a day ago, and a winner two starts back; this filly rates a real threat on our figures. The very quick turnaround is the main risk, though today's trip is proven.
AI verdict

SR 82 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

4
Brandenburg silks
Brandenburg
Age 2 · 9-5
012
70
77
70OR
2
9-5
2/1 2/1 32/17
Second last time out, and a winner two starts back; our figures make this colt a leading threat here. Race-fit after six days with today's trip proven, though he was unplaced three starts back.
AI verdict

SR 77 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

5
Quiet Soul silks
Quiet Soul
Age 2 · 9-2
238
67
68
67OR
2
9-2
12/1 17/2 12/1
Placed in two of its last three starts, including runner-up three starts back, and clear the best on our figures here. Fit again after a 35-day break, with today's trip proven; only the below-form effort last time offers a slight note of caution.
AI verdict

SR 68 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Fern Clyde 9/2 open 5.00 9/2 open 5.00 9/2 open 5.00 9/2 open 5.00 9/2 open 5.00 9/2 Bet365
2 Beauty For Love 7/2 open 4.00 7/2 open 4.00 7/2 open 4.00 7/2 open 4.00 7/2 open 4.00 7/2 Bet365
3 Tango Hotel 5/2 5/2 open 3.25 5/2 open 3.25 5/2 open 3.25 5/2 open 3.25 5/2 Bet365
4 Brandenburg 2/1 2/1 2/1 2/1 15/8 open 3.00 2/1 Bet365
5 Quiet Soul 12/1 12/1 open 9.50 12/1 open 9.50 12/1 12/1 12/1 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Fern Clyde

Speculative

Fern Clyde owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (44) and market confidence (79). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

9/2 Tim Easterby Sean Kirrane
64% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Brandenburg

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

2/1 · Noel Wilson
✓ Value Signal

Quiet Soul

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

12/1 · Michael Dods
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Low conviction
44 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +16.9 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence High conviction
79 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +17.4 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
42 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +4.8 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Speculative
45 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.5 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
56 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +5.7 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
53 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.3 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 1. Fern Clyde
54.2 9/2
2 4. Brandenburg
53.9 2/1
3 2. Beauty For Love
53.4 7/2
4 3. Tango Hotel
53.0 5/2
5 5. Quiet Soul
45.9 12/1
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Tango Hotel
Medium

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

4
Age 2 · 9-5
2/1
★★★☆☆ SR 77 🐾

SR 77 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

3
Age 2 · 9-8
5/2
★★★☆☆ SR 82 🐾

SR 82 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

2
Age 2 · 9-8
7/2
★★★☆☆ SR 77 🐾

SR 77 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

1
Age 2 · 9-9
9/2
★★★☆☆ SR 80 🐾

SR 80 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

5
Age 2 · 9-2
12/1
★★★☆☆ SR 68 🐾

SR 68 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

STEAMERS

Race Steamers

What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Tango Hotel
Confidence: Medium

Tango Hotel (SR 82, 5/2) is the highest-rated horse in the field and carries a favourable 9-8 with the booking of Daniel Tudhope — one of the sharpest jockeys in northern Britain (16% career strike rate from 774 runners). The form string 4-5-1-2 shows progressive improvement culminating in a runner-up last time, and the drop in class (ClassMv:↓1) puts this horse in a more winnable contest. Course:W0P1 at Hamilton confirms the track holds no fears, and George Scott's 18% trainer strike rate from 430 runners is the strongest handler stat in the field. The 8% market drift is a mild concern, but given only one day's rest since last run, a routine precautionary drift rather than a negative signal is the more likely explanation — the horse's overall profile is superior. Each-way alternative: Fern Clyde. Main danger: Brandenburg — Brandenburg carries the lightest weight in the field (9-5, a 4lb pull on Tango Hotel), has improved form figures of 0-1-2, and David Egan (14% career strike rate) is a notably high-class booking that suggests connections believe the horse is ready to go one better — if the 0% trainer strike rate is simply a small-sample anomaly, this horse has the profile of a progressive improver.

Shortlist Tango Hotel, Fern Clyde, Beauty For Love
Each-way: Fern Clyde Danger: Brandenburg

🗺 The Course Class 5

6f6y Distance to cover
Good to Firm Expected going
5 Confirmed runners
Hamilton Track and setting
Class 5 Race grade