Shadow King arrives on the back of a win last time out, and a winner three starts back too, with experience over today's trip and going working in his favour — the concern is whether seven days since that latest victory leaves him short of peak freshness.
Form last 65131
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
85SR—RPR84OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 85 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Cilician has finished second three times in his last four starts, and at 135 lb from stall seven he arrives fresh on 13 days' rest with experience over today's trip and going — the main risk is that he remains yet to win in recent starts.
Form last 62022
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
85SR—RPR86OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 85 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Sword Salute won two starts back and was third three starts back, but comes here unplaced last time out and 42 days off; he has run over today's trip and going, and our rating of 87 gives him claims, though the return from a break is the key question.
Form last 6310
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
64SR—RPR85OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 64 suggests ability but 22/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Landed a win three starts back but has since found only third and fifth, giving him a mixed profile heading in here; he has run over today's trip and going before, and 133 lb from stall nine rounds out a picture of a horse capable of better but needing to find it again.
Form last 6153
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
63SR—RPR84OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 63 suggests ability but 25/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Runner-up last time out and a winner three starts back, though unplaced on two occasions in between, The Ginger Kid has run over today's trip and going and arrives 20 days fresh with his trainer firing at 28% — 131 lb from stall 3 is the counter.
Form last 60102
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
77SR—RPR82OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 77 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
A winner two starts back and looking well treated on official figures, The Bookkeeper carries a solid profile into this with distance and going experience to call on; the 55-day absence is the one query against him from stall two off 130 lb.
Form last 6414
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
82SR—RPR81OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 82 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Ranked well below the field on our figures and drawn in stall 12, Caeruleus is hard to fancy at the weights carrying 130 lb, though he does bring a win in his last three starts and has run over today's trip.
Form last 6431
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
67SR—RPR81OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 67 suggests ability but 20/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Everatease comes here on the back of back-to-back wins and has run over today's trip and going, so conditions shouldn't be an issue; the 48-day break is the one query, but he's got obvious recent momentum and 129 lb from stall 16 gives him a clear chance.
Form last 666411
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
79SR—RPR80OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 79 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Third last time out but a winner two starts back, Mia Fantasia arrives on a reasonable 19-day turnaround with experience over today's trip; carrying 128 lb from stall 13 leaves him with plenty to find against stronger rivals.
Form last 613
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
89SR—RPR79OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 89 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Placed second last time out but seventh and eighth in his two starts before that, Leave The Bag In arrives 49 days fresh and yet to win in recent starts; he has run over today's trip and going, but a rating of 81 and stall one leave him with plenty to prove from midfield.
Form last 6872
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
75SR—RPR78OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 75 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Two unplaced efforts sandwiching a win make Agitator's form inconsistent, and ranked last on our figures he faces a stiff ask from stall 15 carrying 125 lb; experience over today's trip and going is the one positive to cling to.
Form last 6010
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
54SR—RPR76OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 54 suggests ability but 40/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Cash Cove showed her best two starts back when winning, though a third most recently suggests she's finding life tougher; she has run over today's trip and going before, but carrying 125 lb from stall 17 are factors to weigh against her.
Form last 64413
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
62SR—RPR76OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 62 suggests ability but 22/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Placed third last time out and second two starts back, High Hazard arrives in decent nick 26 days on; he has experience over today's trip and going, yet the 9th three starts back is a concern, and he remains winless in his last three runs.
Form last 6923
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
52SR—RPR74OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 52 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 28/1.
Winless in his last three starts and returning after 76 days off, Rocket Boot's ranking of 13th of 18 on our figures makes him hard to fancy, though a second two starts back and a trainer firing at 36% over the last fortnight offer slim crumbs of comfort.
Form last 6424
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
53SR—RPR74OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 53 suggests ability but 28/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Crazy Cubana showed real ability when winning three starts back, though she was unplaced two starts back before rallying to finish third last time out; she has run over today's trip and going, and a trainer firing at 28% keeps her interesting, but stall 11 is worth noting.
Form last 6103
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
58SR—RPR73OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 58 suggests ability but 22/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Ranked 14th of 18 on our figures and carrying 122 lb from stall 14, Wise And Wonderful faces a stiff task, though a win last time out and a trainer firing at 26% offer genuine encouragement; she has experience over today's trip and going.
Form last 6421
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
78SR—RPR73OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 78 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Winless in his last three starts, with an eighth last time out doing little to inspire confidence, Primal ranks 16th of 18 on our figures; the trainer's strong recent strike rate and experience over today's trip and going are the slender positives.
Form last 6648
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
64SR—RPR72OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 64 suggests ability but 16/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Winless in his last four starts and ranked 17th of 18 on our figures, Rbflying faces a stiff task here; a third two starts back offers a crumb of hope, and he has run over today's trip and going before, but the handicap weight of 121 lb from stall 10 adds to his burden.
Form last 66537
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
51SR—RPR72OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 51 suggests ability but 80/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer),
Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync.
Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Mia Fantasia owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (49) and market confidence (84). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
7/2Hugo PalmerOisin Murphy
74%Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner
The Bookkeeper
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
15/2 · Richard Hughes✓ Value Signal
My A'Ali Baba
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
25/1 · David Evans◈ Chamber Memory
Balanced
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Mia Fantasia (SR:89, 7/2) is the highest-rated runner in the field by a clear margin and carries a fair weight of 9-2, giving her a meaningful SR-per-pound edge over top-weight Shadow King (SR:85, 9-13). The decisive signal is the market move: a 53% inward drift to 7/2 in a Class 2 nursery is not noise — that is deliberate, informed money. Oisin Murphy (22% career strike rate, 1,230 runners) is a formidable booking who rarely takes weak rides in competitive handicaps. Hugo Palmer's yard runs two here and the contrast is stark: Palmer's #2, High Hazard, has drifted 42% and carries a much lower SR (52), confirming Mia Fantasia is unambiguously the yard's number one today. The form line 1-3 — a win followed by a third — shows a horse with a clear ceiling and recent racecourse experience at the same class.
Each-way alternative: The Bookkeeper.
Main danger: Shadow King — Shadow King (SR:85, 9-13) carries top-weight and has drifted 42%, which is a concern, but the 5-1-3-1 form line shows a horse that wins races and the blinkers application combined with Sean Levey's local knowledge at Goodwood could sharpen a two-year-old still learning its trade.
ShortlistMia Fantasia, Shadow King, The Bookkeeper, Wise And Wonderful, Cilician