Galway 14:10 RESULTED
30 Jul 2026

Last Thursday Guinness Irish EBF Nursery Handicap

Guinness Irish EBF Nursery Handicap · 0m7f0y

Official Result

Guinness Irish EBF Nursery Handicap

Confirmed
  1. Winner Seven Nation Army (GER) J M Sheridan · Joseph Patrick O'Brien
    13/8F
  2. 14/1
  3. 12/1
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Settled
  • 8 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 3 days, 3 hours ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
I Ready silks
I Ready
Age 2 · 10-0
6581
82
71
82OR
2
10-0
17/2 11/2 17/2
Fresh off a win 11 days ago, I Ready has experience of today's distance and going and arrives in form carrying 140 lb from stall 7; the main risk is that his three starts before that victory brought an eighth, fifth and sixth.
AI verdict

SR 71 suggests ability but 17/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

2
Banks Of The Boyne silks
Banks Of The Boyne
Age 2 · 9-13
802
81
68
81OR
2
9-13
11/1 9/1 11/1
Winless in his last three starts — second last time out but unplaced and eighth in the two prior runs — Banks Of The Boyne carries 139 lb from stall eight, and our rating of 68 leaves him well held against this field on current form.
AI verdict

SR 68 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 11/1.

3
Bold Commander silks
Bold Commander
Age 2 · 9-13
525
81
78
81OR
2
9-13
3/1 7/2 11/4
Winless in his last three starts, Bold Commander does bring going and distance experience to the table, and that second two starts back shows he can mix it at this level; the fifth last time out, however, suggests he's one to approach with caution from stall 4 off 139 lb.
AI verdict

SR 78 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

4
Seven Nation Army silks
Seven Nation Army
Age 2 · 9-11
8862
79
79
79OR
2
9-11
2/1 31/19 7/4
Winless in his last four starts, Seven Nation Army showed signs of life with a runner-up finish last time out, 11 days ago — fitness isn't an issue. He has experience of today's trip and going, and a trainer firing at 28%, though stall one and 137 lb are notable factors.
AI verdict

SR 79 suggests ability but 2/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

5
Margot Mae silks
Margot Mae
Age 2 · 9-10
637
78
56
78OR
2
9-10
SP FCST 7/2
Margot Mae showed her best when third two starts back, and having run over today's trip and going, she arrives here fresh on 21 days' rest carrying 136 lb from stall three; winless in her last three, but her rating of 90 marks her as the one to beat.
AI verdict

SR 56 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at -.

6
Celtic Moon silks
Celtic Moon
Age 2 · 9-9
41
77
80
77OR
2
9-9
5/2 FCST 9/4
Celtic Moon arrives on the back of a win last time out, has experience of today's trip and conditions, and her rating of 85 suggests she's well treated; the sole concern is a trainer who has drawn a blank in 23 attempts over the past fortnight.
AI verdict

SR 80 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

7
Eighteenth Smiles silks
Eighteenth Smiles
Age 2 · 9-4
5550
72
61
72OR
2
9-4
12/1 11/1 10/1
Winless in his last four starts, Eighteenth Smiles nevertheless brings strong fitness from 19 days ago, has run over today's trip and going, and a trainer firing at 28% makes him a live threat — though another unplaced effort last time is the chief concern.
AI verdict

SR 61 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

8
Winnie's Wish silks
Winnie's Wish
Age 2 · 8-7
808
58
35
58OR
2
8-7
50/1 18/1 50/1
Winnie's Wish has been well beaten in each of his last three starts, including two eighths, and ranked bottom on our figures here, he is hard to fancy at the weights; the trainer's recent strike rate offers little encouragement either, though he has run over today's trip and going before.
AI verdict

SR 35 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 50/1.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 I Ready 17/2 open 7.50 10/1 open 6.50 10/1 open 6.50 11/1 open 6.50 10/1 open 6.50 11/1 William Hill
2 Banks Of The Boyne 11/1 open 10.00 12/1 open 10.00 12/1 open 10.00 12/1 open 10.00 12/1 open 10.00 12/1 Coral
3 Bold Commander 3/1 open 5.00 3/1 open 4.50 3/1 open 4.50 11/4 open 4.50 3/1 open 4.50 3/1 Bet365
4 Seven Nation Army 2/1 open 5.00 7/4 open 2.63 7/4 open 2.63 9/4 open 2.63 7/4 open 2.63 9/4 William Hill
5 Margot Mae 4/1 7/2 4/1 Bet365
6 Celtic Moon 5/2 open 3.75 5/2 open 3.25 5/2 open 3.25 9/4 5/2 open 3.25 5/2 Bet365
7 Eighteenth Smiles 12/1 open 17.00 10/1 open 12.00 10/1 open 12.00 10/1 open 12.00 10/1 open 12.00 12/1 Bet365
8 Winnie's Wish 50/1 open 23.00 80/1 open 19.00 80/1 open 19.00 100/1 open 19.00 100/1 open 19.00 100/1 William Hill

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Seven Nation Army

Speculative

Seven Nation Army owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (44) and market confidence (91). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

2/1 Joseph Patrick O'Brien J M Sheridan
66% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Celtic Moon

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

5/2 · J P Murtagh
✓ Value Signal

Winnie's Wish

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

50/1 · Gavin Cromwell
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Low conviction
44 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +16.7 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
91 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +20.0 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
42 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +4.8 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction
37 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +3.7 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
57 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +5.7 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
59 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.7 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 4. Seven Nation Army
55.5 2/1
2 6. Celtic Moon
54.9 5/2
3 3. Bold Commander
52.3 3/1
4 1. I Ready
49.4 17/2
5 2. Banks Of The Boyne
49.3 11/1
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Celtic Moon
Medium

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

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The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

4
Age 2 · 9-11
2/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 79 🐾

SR 79 suggests ability but 2/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

6
Age 2 · 9-9
5/2
★★★☆☆ SR 80 🐾

SR 80 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

3
Age 2 · 9-13
3/1
★★★☆☆ SR 78 🐾

SR 78 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

1
Age 2 · 10-0
17/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 71 🐾

SR 71 suggests ability but 17/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

2
Age 2 · 9-13
11/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 68 🐾

SR 68 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 11/1.

7
Age 2 · 9-4
12/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 61 🐾

SR 61 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

STEAMERS

Race Steamers

What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Celtic Moon
Confidence: Medium

Celtic Moon (SR:80, 5/2) carries the joint-highest SR in the field on the lowest weight among the top-rated horses at 9-9, a meaningful pound advantage over Bold Commander and Seven Nation Army. Her form of '41' — placed and then winning last time out — is the most progressive and compact sequence in this field, and JP Murtagh's yard (11% strike rate) has booked Ben Coen (12%, 660 rides), a booking that signals stable confidence. While GoingFit and DistFit are both unproven (?), the same uncertainty applies to most rivals here, neutralising that concern; at 5/2 she represents solid each-way value with upside. Each-way alternative: Bold Commander. Main danger: Bold Commander — Bold Commander (SR:78, 3/1) is trained by Aidan O'Brien and has steamed in 14% in the market — the strongest market move in the race — suggesting informed confidence that his '525' form line is about to improve at this trip.

Shortlist Celtic Moon, Bold Commander, Seven Nation Army
Each-way: Bold Commander Danger: Bold Commander

🗺 The Course Race conditions

0m7f0y Distance to cover
Good Expected going
8 Confirmed runners
Galway Track and setting