Guinness Novice Hurdle · 2m4f156y
SR 151 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Favourable weight of 11-7 gives a real edge in this handicap.
SR 124 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 135 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 107 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Favourable weight of 11-4 gives a real edge in this handicap.
SR 113 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 147 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Flying Ace | 12/1 open 9.50 | — | 11/1 open 11.00 | 11/1 open 11.00 | 14/1 open 11.00 | 11/1 open 11.00 | 14/1 William Hill |
| 2 Midnight Jet | 13/8 open 2.88 | — | 13/8 open 2.75 | 13/8 open 2.75 | 13/8 open 2.75 | 13/8 open 2.75 | 13/8 Bet365 |
| 3 Brother Walfrid | 15/2 open 8.00 | — | 7/1 open 8.50 | 7/1 open 8.50 | 6/1 open 8.50 | 15/2 | 15/2 Bet365 |
| 4 Look Sport | 22/1 open 15.00 | — | 22/1 | 22/1 | 25/1 open 23.00 | 22/1 | 25/1 William Hill |
| 5 Luker's Tipple | 16/1 open 10.00 | — | 16/1 open 13.00 | 16/1 open 13.00 | 18/1 open 13.00 | 16/1 open 13.00 | 18/1 William Hill |
| 6 Roc Dino | 2/1 | — | 15/8 open 2.75 | 15/8 open 2.75 | 2/1 open 2.75 | 15/8 open 2.75 | 2/1 Bet365 |
| 7 Rosie's Wings | 12/1 open 17.00 | — | 11/1 open 11.00 | 11/1 open 11.00 | 12/1 open 11.00 | 11/1 open 11.00 | 12/1 Bet365 |
| 8 Siege Of Carthage | 12/1 | — | 11/1 | 11/1 | 11/1 | 11/1 | 12/1 Bet365 |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Roc Dino owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (76) and market confidence (91). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalFavourable weight of 11-7 gives a real edge in this handicap.
Favourable weight of 11-4 gives a real edge in this handicap.
SR 124 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 151 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 113 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 147 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 107 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.
Midnight Jet (SR 142, 13/8) is the most compelling package in this novice contest. A form string of 1351-1 shows consistent competitiveness at a higher level than most rivals, and the market has tightened 5% since opening — quiet but purposeful support for a De Bromhead/O'Keeffe combination that clicks at 14% strike rates. The 3lb weight advantage over top-weight Flying Ace is meaningful on good ground over 2m4f156y, and while GoingFit is unproven (?), the same is true for the majority of this field. Running off a mark 5lb higher than the last win is a flag, but in a novice where class and consistency matter most, the form line and market confidence outweigh that concern. Each-way alternative: Roc Dino. Main danger: Roc Dino — Roc Dino (SR 136, 2/1) is trained by Willie Mullins with Paul Townend aboard — a 20%/30% trainer-jockey combination that demands respect — and running off the same mark as the last win, with a form line ending in a win (/220-1) that suggests the yard has produced a timely peak.