Nottingham 15:10 RESULTED
Class 4 30 Jul 2026

Last Thursday Download The Oddschecker App Handicap Stakes (GBBPlus Race)

Download The Oddschecker App Handicap Stakes (GBBPlus Race) · 1m2f50y

Official Result

Download The Oddschecker App Handicap Stakes (GBBPlus Race)

Confirmed
  1. Winner Supplicate (GB) Jack Mitchell · Roger Varian
    15/8F
  2. 2/1
  3. 9/4
AI ExplorerBETA Deep analytics
Race picker

Switch race

Goodwood

13:50–17:55 · 8 races

Nottingham

14:00–17:25 · 7 races

Galway

14:10–18:12 · 8 races

Wolverhampton (AW)

16:35–20:42 · 8 races

Epsom

17:30–20:25 · 6 races

Recently viewed

Settled
  • 5 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 3 days, 3 hours ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Crown Office silks
Crown Office
Age 3 · 9-7
51-046
80
88
80OR
3
9-7
10/3 9/4 11/4
SR 88 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
AI verdict

SR 88 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

2
Affection silks
Affection
Age 3 · 9-7
-37113
80
62
80OR
3
9-7
22/1 14/1 22/1
Affection arrives here as the top-rated runner in the field, placed last time out and a winner two starts back, with experience over today's trip adding to her claims from stall 3 carrying 133 lb — the main query is whether 37 days off the track has left her short of peak sharpness.
AI verdict

SR 62 suggests ability but 22/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

3
Sassicaia silks
Sassicaia
Age 3 · 9-5
1-435
78
89
78OR
3
9-5
10/3 10/3 9/4
Sassicaia showed a third two starts back and was a winner four starts back, so he clearly knows how to hit the frame; he has run over today's trip and going, returns after 26 days, and our figures suggest he holds plenty of untapped potential from stall 5 off 131 lb.
AI verdict

SR 89 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

4
Bee Farmer silks
Bee Farmer
Age 3 · 9-4
6274
77
81
77OR
3
9-4
9/2 7/2 9/2
Bee Farmer shaped with promise when second three starts back and arrives here 20 days fresh, with experience on today's going and a handy draw two in his favour — yet to score in recent starts, and a trainer firing at just 4% is the concern.
AI verdict

SR 81 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

5
Supplicate silks
Supplicate
Age 3 · 9-4
51-1
77
92
77OR
3
9-4
6/4 8/11 18/13
Supplicate has winning form in her last three starts, but our figures rank her bottom of this field and a lengthy 69-day absence adds to the query marks; the distance and going experience at least means conditions shouldn't inconvenience her.
AI verdict

Favourable weight of 9-4 gives a real edge in this handicap.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Crown Office 10/3 open 8.00 11/4 11/4 3/1 11/4 open 3.25 10/3 Bet365
2 Affection 22/1 open 15.00 22/1 open 17.00 22/1 open 17.00 22/1 open 17.00 22/1 open 17.00 22/1 Bet365
3 Sassicaia 10/3 open 7.50 5/2 open 4.50 5/2 open 4.33 9/4 open 4.50 5/2 open 4.33 10/3 Bet365
4 Bee Farmer 9/2 open 4.50 6/1 open 5.50 6/1 open 5.50 11/2 open 6.00 11/2 open 6.00 6/1 Coral
5 Supplicate 6/4 open 1.73 6/4 open 2.20 6/4 open 2.20 6/4 open 2.25 11/8 open 2.25 6/4 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Sassicaia

Speculative

Sassicaia owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (49) and market confidence (85). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

10/3 Owen Burrows Callum Rodriguez
68% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Crown Office

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

10/3 · William Haggas
✓ Value Signal

Affection

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

22/1 · David Pipe
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Speculative
49 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +18.8 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
85 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +18.6 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
44 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +4.8 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction
43 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.3 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
40 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.0 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
56 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.5 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 3. Sassicaia
56.9 10/3
2 1. Crown Office
55.4 10/3
3 5. Supplicate
55.4 6/4
4 4. Bee Farmer
53.9 9/2
5 2. Affection
40.8 22/1
YOUR DECISION

See your angle before you make your move

Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.

🐾 Your pick
No horse picked yet
Voting open now

Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.

Choose your horse →
🤖 AI view
Crown Office
Medium

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

5
Age 3 · 9-4
6/4
★★★★☆ SR 92 🐾

Favourable weight of 9-4 gives a real edge in this handicap.

1
Age 3 · 9-7
10/3
★★★☆☆ SR 88 🐾

SR 88 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

3
Age 3 · 9-5
10/3
★★★☆☆ SR 89 🐾

SR 89 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

4
Age 3 · 9-4
9/2
★★★☆☆ SR 81 🐾

SR 81 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

STEAMERS

Race Steamers

What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Crown Office
Confidence: Medium

Crown Office (SR:88, 10/3) has steamed in 14% in the market — the most significant inward move in the field — backed by a William Haggas yard running at 22% strike rate with Cieren Fallon (20%) in the plate. Dropping down one class (ClassMv:↓1) is a tangible advantage in a five-runner Class 4 handicap, and at 9-7 the weight is manageable. The recent form 51-046 is mixed but the drop in class and the sharp market support suggest connections expect a bounce-back, and Haggas + Fallon is a combination that fires at a high rate when they mean business. Supplicate (SR:92, 6/4) is the narrow SR leader but has drifted 16% from the market, which is a meaningful negative signal given the 69-day absence and a 5lb higher mark than at last win. Each-way alternative: Sassicaia. Main danger: Sassicaia — Sassicaia (SR:89, 10/3) has steamed in 28% — the biggest inward move in the race — and Owen Burrows at 18% strike rate with Callum Rodriguez suggests the yard is genuinely sweet on this runner stepping back out after a 26-day break at the same class.

Shortlist Crown Office, Sassicaia, Supplicate
Each-way: Sassicaia Danger: Sassicaia

🗺 The Course Class 4

1m2f50y Distance to cover
Good to Firm Expected going
5 Confirmed runners
Nottingham Track and setting
Class 4 Race grade