oddschecker.com AJA Novice Amateur Jockeys' Handicap Stakes (For Riders With 3 Wins Or Fewer At Start Of Season) · 1m2f50y
SR 76 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 70 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 74 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 66 suggests ability but 7/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 71 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 35 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 50/1.
SR 58 suggests ability but 8/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Galaxy Wonder | 11/4 open 4.33 | — | 3/1 open 3.50 | 3/1 open 3.50 | 3/1 open 3.50 | 11/4 open 3.00 | 3/1 Coral |
| 2 Poet's Dawn | 9/2 open 4.00 | — | 9/2 open 4.33 | 9/2 open 4.33 | 9/2 open 4.33 | 9/2 open 4.50 | 9/2 Bet365 |
| 3 Yafaarr | 4/1 open 6.50 | — | 10/3 open 6.00 | 10/3 open 6.00 | 7/2 open 6.00 | 11/4 open 6.00 | 4/1 Bet365 |
| 4 Flightofthephoenix | 7/1 open 26.00 | — | 13/2 open 17.00 | 13/2 open 17.00 | 7/1 open 17.00 | 13/2 open 9.50 | 7/1 Bet365 |
| 5 Palazzo Persico | 10/3 open 3.25 | — | 10/3 open 3.50 | 10/3 open 3.50 | 10/3 open 3.50 | 3/1 open 3.50 | 10/3 Bet365 |
| 6 Hill Station | 50/1 open 67.00 | — | 50/1 | 50/1 | 50/1 | 50/1 | 50/1 Bet365 |
| 7 Showmedemoney | 8/1 open 5.50 | — | 17/2 open 7.00 | 17/2 open 7.00 | 17/2 open 7.00 | 8/1 open 7.00 | 17/2 Coral |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Poet's Dawn owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (39) and market confidence (79). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalSR 76 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 71 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 74 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 70 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 66 suggests ability but 7/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 58 suggests ability but 8/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.
Yafaarr (SR:74, 4/1) has steamed in 28% in the market — the strongest positive move in this field — suggesting informed support, and crucially is proven on today's Good to Firm going (GoingFit:+), which is the clearest going-fit advantage in the race. The recent form 460132 shows a last-time-out second and a run before that third, indicating a horse moving in the right direction at the same class level (ClassMv:=). At 11-1 in weight, Yafaarr has a meaningful lbs edge over top-weight Galaxy Wonder (11-5) and Poet's Dawn (11-3), and while the MarkMv:+6 is a mild concern, the market confidence and going affinity outweigh it. Sam England runs at a solid 14% strike rate from 449 runners, lending stable credibility to this move. Each-way alternative: Palazzo Persico. Main danger: Palazzo Persico — Palazzo Persico (SR:71, 10/3) carries a favourable 10-10 with confirmed DistFit:+ and GoingFit:+ — the only runner proven at both the trip and the going — and Tony Carroll's yard will be running this as their serious candidate given it is the stable's distance specialist, making it the most complete all-round threat to Yafaarr.