Arch Enemy arrives on the back of back-to-back wins and has run over today's trip and going, though she carries 140 lb and sits mid-division on ratings — the earlier inconsistency in her recent form a reminder she's not always at her peak.
Form last 65-6611
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
74SR—RPR70OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 74 suggests ability but 6/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Autumn Twist arrives on the back of a third four starts back and has experience over today's trip and going, with our rating of 79 suggesting he holds solid claims as one of the leading dangers here; the risk is that he's been winless in his last five starts, and his latest ninth will need reversing.
Form last 683-569
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
68SR—RPR70OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 68 suggests ability but 11/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Winless in his last six starts, Dark Summit nevertheless catches the eye through our rating of 83 — 13 lb clear of his official mark — and has experience of today's going; the risk is that his recent sequence of unplaced efforts is hard to dismiss.
Form last 6000008
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
40SR—RPR70OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 40 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 25/1.
Winless in her last five starts, Justenzia does carry an encouraging rating edge over her official mark, yet consecutive unplaced efforts are a concern; two seconds in recent starts show ability, and she has run over today's trip and going, though 140 lb is no aid.
Form last 6-22007
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
49SR—RPR70OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 49 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 20/1.
Pahlavi arrives here with experience over today's trip and going, and a second three starts back followed by a third four starts back gives him a solid recent profile — our rating of 88 heads the field. Yet to win in his last four starts, and a trainer in lean form are the notes of caution.
Form last 63250/
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
38SR—RPR70OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 38 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 50/1.
Placed second five starts back but winless in recent starts, Annie's Angel returns after 24 days with experience of today's distance and going in her favour — our rating of 79 ranks her third of 21, though her last three runs have been modest.
Form last 6276-06
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
53SR—RPR69OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 53 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.
Ranked 18th of 21 on our figures, Baila Conmigo is hard to fancy at the weights, though he does arrive on the back of a win last time out and has run over today's distance and going before.
Form last 6130251
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
65SR—RPR69OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 65 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Winless in his last five starts and absent for 52 days, Berto Ramirez arrives with obvious questions to answer, though he has run over today's trip and going before and our rating of 76 suggests a shade more ability than his official mark of 69 credits him with.
Form last 645784-
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
61SR—RPR69OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 61 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 14/1.
Winless in her last five starts, Speckled Meadow nevertheless has experience of today's trip and going, and 16 days since her last run suggests she arrives fresh; however, a weight of 139 lb looks a tough ask for a mare ranked eighth of twenty-one.
Form last 60-8656
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
47SR—RPR69OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 47 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 22/1.
Winless in his last four starts, with unplaced efforts dominating recent form, Day Trader is hard to fancy from a ranking of 19th of 21 on our figures; the 33-day absence offers no obvious excuse, and the 138 lb burden adds further pressure.
Form last 6/06-00
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
54SR—RPR68OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 54 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 14/1.
Winless in his last five starts and absent for 276 days, Rhythm King faces an obvious fitness query on his return; he has run over today's going before and a speed rating of 90 offers some encouragement, but recent form has been uninspiring.
Form last 65500-6
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
50SR—RPR68OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 50 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 18/1.
Yet to score in his last six starts, Western Bandit does bring going experience and a fitness edge at 19 days since his last run, though a third two starts back is the only bright spot in a patchy recent sequence, and 138 lb is no help.
Form last 6057730
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
40SR—RPR68OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 40 suggests ability but 33/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Sixth last time out and seventh the run before that make Faro Island hard to fancy despite a win three starts back; he has experience of today's trip and conditions, but ranked 16 of 21 on our figures, the evidence points firmly against him.
Form last 60-4176
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
66SR—RPR66OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 66 suggests ability but 8/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Winless in her last six starts but consistently finding the places of late — third last time out and a second two starts back give her solid each-way claims; she has run over today's trip and going before, and 19 days since her last run leaves her reasonably fresh, though 136 lb is a stiff ask.
Form last 6095323
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
61SR—RPR66OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 61 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Winless in her last five starts and 73 days off the track, Lily Parr faces a stiff ask off 136 lb, yet she has run over today's trip and going before and our rating edges above her official mark, suggesting a shade of unexploited potential.
Form last 68544-0
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
41SR—RPR66OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 41 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 40/1.
Winless in his last six starts, though a second three starts back and a third four starts back hint at ability, and he returns after 23 days with experience over today's trip and going; the concern is back-to-back seventh and sixth finishes suggest he's struggling to recapture that form.
Form last 6653267
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
60SR—RPR70OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 60 suggests ability but 16/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Ranked last on our figures and carrying 127 lb, Rodeo Blues faces a stiff ask, though her back-to-back wins heading into this represent genuine recent form. She has experience of today's going, and a trainer firing at 28% over the last fortnight offers some hope.
Form last 6904611
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
83SR—RPR68OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 83 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Winless in his last five starts and ranked 17 of 21 on our figures, Quiz Test faces a stiff task here; he has run over today's trip and going before, and a third last time out offers slim encouragement, but 50 days off and 136 lb make him hard to fancy.
Form last 642-943
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
58SR—RPR66OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 58 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 14/1.
Ranked near the foot of the field on our figures, Blackjack Hills faces a stiff ask, but he does bring experience of today's distance and going and ran second last time out — a genuine bright spot in a mixed recent record.
Form last 6011-72
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
60SR—RPR65OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 60 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Beaten in her last three outings — sixth, fifth, and eighth — Nancee Spain's sole recent win came four starts back, and she ranks 15th of 21 on our figures; distance and going experience offer some hope, but she's hard to fancy from this profile.
Form last 621-856
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
50SR—RPR65OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 50 suggests ability but 22/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer),
Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync.
Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Rodeo Blues owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (46) and market confidence (85). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
10/3Joseph Patrick O'BrienJ M Sheridan
72%Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner
Autumn Twist
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
11/2 · Denis Gerard Hogan✓ Value Signal
Lily Parr
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
40/1 · Ms Sheila Lavery◈ Chamber Memory
Balanced
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Rodeo Blues (SR:83) is the standout ability-wise — the only horse above SR:74 in this field and a full 9 points clear of the next best, Arch Enemy. The form string 904611 shows a sharp upturn in form with back-to-back wins most recently, and trainer Joseph Patrick O'Brien (16% strike rate from 1,488 runners) is the strongest yard in the race by some distance. The 3-year-old is on a low weight of 9-1, giving a meaningful pounds edge over the top-weights carrying 10-0. The concern is the market drift (out 18%) and unknown distance/going fit (DistFit:? GoingFit:?), but at 1m4f on good ground a progressive 3-year-old from the O'Brien yard with consecutive wins is the logical selection on SR and stable quality alone.
Each-way alternative: Arch Enemy.
Main danger: Arch Enemy — Arch Enemy (SR:74, form 5-6611) is the field's second-highest rated runner, has confirmed good-ground form (GoingFit:+), and arrives on a hot run of two consecutive wins — the only concern is the 24% market drift and a mark 11lb higher than his last win.
ShortlistRodeo Blues, Arch Enemy, Faro Island, Baila Conmigo, Autumn Twist