Lightly raced and unexposed, Colga Boys returns quickly nine days after his latest unplaced effort, carrying 168 lb, and with so little form on the book he remains open to considerable improvement yet to win.
Form last 60
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
119SR—RPR—OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 119 suggests ability but 200/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Colliers Quay is lightly raced and unexposed, with a third two starts back offering the most encouraging note in a mixed profile; yet to win, he returns after 109 days carrying 168 lb and remains open to improvement.
Form last 6/PP34-
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
117SR—RPR—OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 117 suggests ability but 33/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Gusserane arrives here 59 days since his last start, lightly raced and open to improvement, yet his last three outings include two pull-ups that demand explanation before backing him with confidence — he remains yet to win in recent starts.
Form last 6PP-6
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
121SR—RPR—OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 121 suggests ability but 100/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Macdonagh Park is unexposed and open to improvement, though yet to win in his last four starts, with that second two runs back the brightest glimpse of potential; returning after 90 days and carrying 168 lb, he remains one to keep an eye on as he develops.
Form last 65P26-
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
124SR—RPR—OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 124 suggests ability but 22/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Unexposed and open to improvement after just one run on record, Market Square was fifth last time out and returns after an 89-day break carrying 168 lb — yet to win but lightly raced enough to leave the door open.
Form last 65-
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
147SR—RPR—OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 147 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Unexposed and yet to win in recent starts, Martymill shaped with some promise when second last time out and, fresh after 59 days off, he returns carrying 168 lb with enough in the locker to suggest further improvement is possible.
Form last 646-62
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
142SR—RPR—OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 142 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Mister O Reilly returns after a 364-day absence carrying 168 lb, yet to score in recent starts and lightly raced enough to leave room for improvement; an open profile that makes him genuinely hard to assess on a comeback.
Form last 60F0/0-
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
118SR—RPR—OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 118 suggests ability but 200/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Unexposed after just the one start — an eighth last time out — Monard Flyer returns after 65 days and remains yet to win, but with so little form on the book he's open to considerable improvement carrying 168 lb.
Form last 68
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
121SR—RPR—OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 121 suggests ability but 200/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Winless in his last two starts and not seen for 418 days, Our Sonny returns carrying 168 lb as a lightly raced gelding with plenty still unexplored; that lengthy absence demands respect but leaves him open to improvement.
Form last 66/0-
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
120SR—RPR—OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 120 suggests ability but 25/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Unraced and an unknown quantity on debut, Run Ted Run arrives carrying 168 lb — unexposed and with improvement entirely possible as connections learn what they have on their hands.
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
148SR—RPR—OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 148 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Yet to score in his last two starts but has shaped with promise, finishing third two starts back and runner-up last time out — an unexposed gelding who looks open to further improvement carrying 168 lb.
Form last 632
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
144SR—RPR—OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 144 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Unexposed after just one start to his name, Dieux Diligence returns after 54 days with a yard operating at a sharp 28% strike rate behind him — the gelding is yet to win but remains open to significant improvement.
Form last 64
★AI Rating★★★★☆
150SR—RPR—OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
Favourable weight of 11-10 gives a real edge in this handicap.
Consistent performer who has finished second, second, and third in his last three starts, Flashy Fred arrives here on a sharp 14-day turnaround with experience of today's trip and going — winless in recent starts but his placed record makes him the one to beat in this field.
Form last 6322
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
148SR—RPR—OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 148 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Gruncle makes his debut here carrying 164 lb, unexposed and open to any amount of improvement — a gelding about whom little is yet known, but that very inexperience leaves plenty of scope.
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
120SR—RPR—OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 120 suggests ability but 80/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Burning Like Fire shaped with promise on her sole recent start, finishing third, and as a lightly raced filly she remains open to improvement. The 123-day absence is worth noting, but unexposed types like her can leave that form behind quickly.
Form last 63-
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
127SR—RPR—OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 127 suggests ability but 40/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Unexposed and open to improvement after just one start on record, Girl From The West was seventh last time out but remains lightly raced and yet to win; stepping out again 20 days later under 157 lb, she has more to offer.
Form last 67
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
124SR—RPR—OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 124 suggests ability but 80/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer),
Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync.
Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Market Square owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (82) and market confidence (87). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
11/4Emmet MullinsMr J L Gleeson
66%Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner
Run Ted Run
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
2/1 · W P Mullins✓ Value Signal
Girl From The West
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
80/1 · Simon Cavanagh◈ Chamber Memory
Balanced
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Dieux Diligence (SR:150, 9/2) carries the lightest weight in the competitive tier at 11-10, a meaningful 2lb advantage over the heavier-set 12-0 runners in an amateur flat race over 2m2f where weight can genuinely matter. The Joseph Patrick O'Brien yard operates at 16% strike rate from 1,488 runners — the strongest training operation in this field — and Mr H C Swan matches that at 16% from 148 rides, a polished amateur booking. Crucially, the market has steamed 25% into this horse, the only meaningful in-mover in the race, suggesting well-informed stable confidence. While the form shows just a single run (finished 4th), that sample is small and the SR of 150 is the second-highest in the field, putting it clearly above the workmanlike range for this amateur bumper company.
Each-way alternative: Market Square.
Main danger: Run Ted Run — The Willie Mullins/Patrick Mullins combination (20%/28% strike rates) is the most feared in Irish racing and Run Ted Run's SR of 148 is the highest in the field — if the horse finally produces a completed run to form, it wins.
ShortlistDieux Diligence, Market Square, Run Ted Run