Placed third last time out and second two starts back, Bourbon Blues arrives in fine fettle just 19 days after his most recent outing, with experience over today's trip and going working in his favour; our rating of 111 marks him out as the one to beat, though he remains yet to win in his last six starts.
Form last 6306023
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
101SR111RPR101OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 101 suggests ability but 9/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Spyce has experience over today's trip and conditions, and our rating of 106 marks him as a serious threat in this field, but he was ninth last time out and returns after 82 days off, making fitness the key question.
Form last 614-549
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
82SR106RPR99OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 82 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Besieged won last time out and has run over today's trip, but a 93-day absence is a concern, and carrying 127 lb from stall 11 will test his stamina; two seconds in his last three starts suggest he is consistent enough to factor if fit.
Form last 6221
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
100SR95RPR93OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 100 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Runman won last time out and has won three times in his last five starts, giving him strong recent claims, and he has run over today's trip and going before; however, ranked fifth of eleven on ratings with a speed figure of 84, he may need to find more to dominate.
Form last 61-1401
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
93SR95RPR93OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 93 suggests ability but 8/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
King Of Earth won two of his last five starts, including back-to-back victories two and three starts back, and returns fit on 19 days' rest with experience of today's trip and going; the concern is that unplaced effort last time out leaves something to prove.
Form last 6-24110
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
94SR100RPR92OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 94 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Back-to-back wins boost Knights Charge's claims, though 114 days off the track is a fitness query and he faces stiffer company here; has run over today's trip and going before, and stall one gives him an early position to consider.
Form last 63-11
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
100SR92RPR91OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 100 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Wild Thoughts has shown only two wins in his last six starts, and consecutive finishes of seventh and ninth make the recent second last time out hard to weigh; ranked ninth of eleven on our figures, he is a tough sell, though he has run over today's trip and 26 days off looks a fair prep.
Form last 6112792
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
83SR91RPR89OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 83 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Strength Of Spirit bounced back to winning ways last time out and arrives here race-fit on 30 days' rest, with his trainer firing at a sharp 30% strike rate; he has run over today's trip and going, and 122 lb is the chief query.
Form last 6893401
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
86SR98RPR88OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 86 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Stoneacre Donny won last time out and has run over today's trip and going, yet his record in recent starts also includes a ninth two back, and four days is a quick turnaround; at 121 lb from stall seven, he asks for a leap of faith.
Form last 6323291
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
89SR93RPR81OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 89 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Sintra has been off the track for 117 days and ranks tenth of eleven on our figures, making him difficult to fancy despite a win two starts back and a record of placing regularly in recent starts.
Form last 632317
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
77SR86RPR82OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 77 suggests ability but 16/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Ranked bottom of the field on our figures, Darius Dark has won three times in his last six starts but a fourth and an unplaced effort since, and a speed rating of 73 does little to inspire confidence, though he handles today's going and returns after a 21-day break.
Form last 6011104
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
66SR83RPR81OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 66 suggests ability but 25/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer),
Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync.
Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Knights Charge owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (56) and market confidence (85). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
10/3Roger VarianShane Foley
70%Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner
Stoneacre Donny
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
7/1 · Tim Easterby✓ Value Signal
Darius Dark
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
22/1 · J P Murtagh◈ Chamber Memory
Balanced
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Knights Charge (SR:100, 7/2, Wgt:8-13) combines the lightest weight among the top-SR horses with a strong recent form line of 3-11 — two wins from his last two starts — and an 18% market move inward, signalling money arriving. Roger Varian's 20% strike rate in a yard known for patient preparation makes the 114-day absence unremarkable, and the class rise (↑1) is the only modest concern. Crucially, at 8-13 he carries 10lb less than Bourbon Blues (9-9) despite matching him on SR:100, giving a meaningful weight edge in a Class 2 handicap on Good to Soft ground where every pound counts. Bourbon Blues has the market steam too but is penalised +4 on the mark and carries the heaviest competitive weight, limiting his upside.
Each-way alternative: Besieged.
Main danger: Bourbon Blues — Bourbon Blues (SR:101, steamed in 20%, GoingFit:+) has the highest SR in the field, proven form on Good to Soft ground, and Ryan Moore booked — the strongest jockey-SR combination in the race, and the money flowing in suggests connections are confident despite the +4 mark rise.
⚖Case against4clamped▾
114-day absence is significant for a 3yo still furnishing; the two wins in form (3-11) came earlier in the season and we have no evidence he retains that peak fitness returning here.
Jockey Shane Foley strikes at only 11% — notably below the field's top riders; Moore (24%) on Bourbon Blues and Murphy (22%) on Runman represent a meaningful riding talent gap in a tight handicap.
Besieged (SR:100, 5/1) arrives on a 221 form line — also unbeaten in recent starts — carrying 2lb less than Knights Charge on only 93 days off, with market support (in 9%) and a 3★ rating, making the…
A class rise (↑1) into a Class 2 handicap combined with a 114-day layoff means Knights Charge must simultaneously handle a stiffer test and return to peak form on the same day — a dual demand that sh…