FBC Manby Bowdler Handicap Steeple Chase (GBB Race) · 2m4f
SR 126 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 118 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 125 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 122 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Favourable weight of 10-9 gives a real edge in this handicap.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Crebilly | 4/1 open 3.75 | 4/1 open 3.75 | 3/1 open 3.75 | 3/1 open 3.75 | 4/1 open 4.33 | 4/1 open 4.33 | 4/1 Bet365 |
| 2 Snipe | 9/1 open 6.00 | 8/1 open 8.00 | 11/2 open 7.00 | 11/2 open 7.00 | 17/2 open 8.50 | 15/2 | 9/1 Bet365 |
| 3 Karnaval Point | 7/2 open 6.50 | 3/1 open 6.00 | 7/2 open 6.00 | 7/2 open 6.00 | 7/2 open 6.50 | 7/2 open 6.50 | 7/2 Bet365 |
| 4 Glen To Glen | 5/1 open 4.50 | 11/2 open 5.00 | 9/2 open 4.50 | 9/2 open 4.50 | 6/1 open 4.50 | 6/1 open 4.50 | 6/1 William Hill |
| 5 Youdecide | 11/8 open 3.00 | 5/4 open 2.63 | 11/10 open 2.75 | 11/10 open 2.75 | 11/8 | 11/8 open 2.25 | 11/8 Bet365 |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Karnaval Point owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (69) and market confidence (84). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalFavourable weight of 10-9 gives a real edge in this handicap.
SR 125 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 126 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 122 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 118 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.
Karnaval Point (SR:125, 9/2) is the most compelling selection when multiple signals are weighed together. The 13% market steam is the most significant market move in the race and suggests informed money on a horse who has already won and placed at Worcester (Course:W1P1) — a specialist track advantage that matters. The GoingFit:+ confirms comfort on today's good ground, DistFit:+ confirms the 2m4f trip, and at 11-10 he carries 2lb less than top-weight Crebilly despite a marginally superior SR (125 vs 126). The class rise (↑1) is a concern and the +6 mark rise needs acknowledging, but with David Pipe in 16% form and a claim jockey who has run 159 times at a credible 18% strike rate, the money coming in is the decisive tiebreaker. Each-way alternative: Crebilly. Main danger: Crebilly — Crebilly (SR:126) is the highest-rated horse in the race, Harry Cobden (22% strike rate, 853 runners) is an elite booking, GoingFit:+ confirms he handles today's conditions, but the MarkMv:+9 and 12-0 top-weight burden on this going are what prevent him being the outright selection — if he handles that weight well he remains the main threat to Karnaval Point.