Sasco Sauces Birthday Handicap Stakes (Div II) · 7f1y
SR 59 suggests ability but 13/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 62 suggests ability but 5/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 62 suggests ability but 5/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 56 suggests ability but 13/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 56 suggests ability but 11/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 56 suggests ability but 11/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 49 suggests ability but 7/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 27 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 33/1.
SR 36 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.
SR 31 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 20/1.
SR 20 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 50/1.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Majestic Wave | 4/1 open 9.50 | 4/1 open 8.00 | 4/1 open 9.00 | 4/1 open 9.00 | 4/1 open 8.00 | 7/2 open 9.00 | 4/1 Bet365 |
| 2 On Key | 7/2 open 7.50 | 10/3 open 7.50 | 7/2 open 6.00 | 7/2 open 6.00 | 10/3 open 6.00 | 10/3 open 6.00 | 7/2 Bet365 |
| 3 Midnight's Dream | 9/2 | 9/2 open 4.50 | 4/1 | 4/1 | 9/2 open 5.00 | 4/1 | 9/2 Bet365 |
| 4 Francisco | 11/2 open 13.00 | 11/2 open 11.00 | 9/2 open 9.00 | 9/2 open 9.00 | 6/1 open 9.00 | 6/1 open 9.00 | 6/1 William Hill |
| 5 Jackson Street | 5/1 | 6/1 | 5/1 open 6.50 | 5/1 open 6.50 | 11/2 | 5/1 open 7.00 | 6/1 Paddy Power |
| 6 Vitalline | 11/1 open 4.00 | 12/1 open 4.50 | 9/1 open 4.50 | 9/1 open 4.50 | 10/1 open 4.50 | 12/1 open 4.50 | 12/1 Paddy Power |
| 7 Fulford Cross | 17/2 open 6.50 | 9/1 open 7.50 | 9/1 open 7.00 | 9/1 open 7.00 | 17/2 open 7.00 | 9/1 open 7.50 | 9/1 Paddy Power |
| 8 Tilsworth Max | 40/1 open 26.00 | 40/1 open 26.00 | 40/1 open 26.00 | 40/1 open 26.00 | 40/1 open 26.00 | 40/1 open 29.00 | 40/1 Bet365 |
| 9 Coiled | 18/1 open 13.00 | 20/1 open 15.00 | 20/1 open 13.00 | 20/1 open 13.00 | 20/1 open 13.00 | 18/1 open 15.00 | 20/1 Paddy Power |
| 10 Maury | 18/1 open 17.00 | 20/1 open 17.00 | 20/1 open 17.00 | 20/1 open 17.00 | 18/1 open 17.00 | 18/1 | 20/1 Paddy Power |
| 11 Miraflores | 100/1 open 34.00 | 80/1 open 41.00 | 80/1 open 34.00 | 80/1 open 34.00 | 80/1 open 34.00 | 80/1 open 41.00 | 100/1 Bet365 |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Midnight's Dream owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (34) and market confidence (79). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalSR 62 suggests ability but 5/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 59 suggests ability but 13/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 62 suggests ability but 5/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 56 suggests ability but 11/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 56 suggests ability but 13/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 49 suggests ability but 7/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 56 suggests ability but 11/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 36 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.
SR 31 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 20/1.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.
Majestic Wave (SR:59, 13/2) is the standout on multiple converging signals in what is a compressed SR field. The 20% market shortening is the strongest steaming move in the race and demands respect — someone informed is backing this horse. The MarkMv:-30 is a dramatic drop in mark, giving Majestic Wave a significant weight-to-ability advantage over rivals running off comparable SRs, and the ClassMv:↓1 drop further eases the assignment. At 9-9, it carries a manageable weight and Simon Dow's yard fires at 11% strike rate with Paddy Bradley a compatible booking. The DistFit:- and GoingFit:- are genuine negatives, but on an AW surface at 7f1y those flags are less damning than on turf, and the market is clearly choosing to overlook them. Each-way alternative: Francisco. Main danger: Francisco — Francisco (SR:56, 13/2) is steaming hardest in the field at 28% market support, carries a favourable 9-5, holds solid course form (W1P3), and the tongue-tie plus visor headgear combo signals connections are serious about getting a performance today.