Epsom 16:52 RESULTED
Class 5 10 Sep 2026

Thursday 10 September Business Pilot Handicap Stakes

Business Pilot Handicap Stakes · 1m0f113y

Official Result

Business Pilot Handicap Stakes

Confirmed
  1. Winner Likeness (IRE) George Bass · Jack Channon
    25/1
  2. 7/1
  3. 25/1
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Settled
  • 10 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 1 week, 4 days ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Arbaawy silks
Arbaawy
Age 3 · 9-9
433403
75
79
89
3
9-9
10/3 6/1 10/3
Arbaawy has been a model of consistency, finishing third last time out and third on two further occasions in his last six starts, and he has experience of both today's trip and going conditions. Winless in recent starts, but rated 89 and the one to beat here from stall seven.
AI verdict

SR 79 suggests ability but 11/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

2
Wild Dahlia silks
Wild Dahlia
Age 3 · 9-9
412-36
75
80
79
3
9-9
9/2 9/2 4/1
Third two starts back and a runner-up three starts back show Wild Dahlia is capable of mixing it at this level, but a sixth last time out tempers enthusiasm; she has run over today's trip and going, and 135 lb from stall six is the weight to overcome.
AI verdict

SR 80 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

3
Mayaada silks
Mayaada
Age 3 · 9-8
104244
74
76
82
3
9-8
4/1 4/1 7/2
Mayaada has run over today's distance and going before, and she arrives fresh on a 12-day turnaround after a promising second three starts back — our rating of 82 suggests she holds strong claims here. The risk is that she has been out of the frame in her last two starts.
AI verdict

SR 76 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

4
Eastern Veil silks
Eastern Veil
Age 3 · 9-8
61-35
74
62
73
3
9-8
16/1 13/2 16/1
Third two starts back and a winner three starts back give Eastern Veil a solid recent foundation, but she was well beaten last time out and returns after a 122-day absence, which clouds her fitness; has run over today's trip and carries 134 lb from stall 1.
AI verdict

SR 62 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

5
Island Bear silks
Island Bear
Age 3 · 9-8
-75464
74
65
84
3
9-8
10/1 12/1 10/1
Island Bear arrives here just 15 days fresh, has experience of today's trip and conditions, and our rating of 84 puts him second among the ten runners — a strong case that he is knocking on the door; the concern is that he remains winless in his last five starts.
AI verdict

SR 65 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 12/1.

6
Royal Bodyguard silks
Royal Bodyguard
Age 3 · 9-6
836421
72
73
76
3
9-6
11/2 11/4 11/2
Royal Bodyguard won last time out and has run over today's trip and going, which counts in his favour, but his speed rating of 69 trails several rivals and inconsistency — a sixth and an eighth in recent starts — is a concern at 132 lb.
AI verdict

SR 73 suggests ability but 5/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

7
Likeness silks
Likeness
Age 3 · 9-5
22-452
71
58
80
3
9-5
28/1 11/1 25/1
Likeness has been a model of consistency in recent starts, finishing second three times in her last five outings, including second last time out just 20 days ago, and has run over today's trip; the main risk is she remains yet to win despite those bold displays.
AI verdict

SR 58 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 18/1.

8
My Old Mate silks
My Old Mate
Age 3 · 9-1
821132
67
76
72
3
9-1
17/2 3/1 8/1
Ranked eighth of ten on our figures, My Old Mate faces a stiff ask against stronger rivals, and his speed rating of 66 gives little encouragement; however, he does arrive in decent nick — second last time out — and has experience over today's trip and going.
AI verdict

SR 76 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

9
Sail On Sailor silks
Sail On Sailor
Age 3 · 9-0
311156
66
59
72
3
9-0
12/1
Ranked bottom but one on our figures and with a speed rating of 58 that makes him hard to fancy, Sail On Sailor does arrive on the back of three consecutive wins before his recent sixth and fifth, and he has experience over today's trip and going from stall two carrying 126 lb.
AI verdict

SR 59 suggests ability but 16/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

10
Fizzy Bear silks
Fizzy Bear
Age 3 · 8-6
50504
58
50
62
3
8-6
20/1 25/1 18/1
Winless in his last five starts and ranked last on our figures, Fizzy Bear is hard to fancy, though he has run over today's trip before and returns on a reasonable 31-day break carrying 118 lb from stall 8.
AI verdict

SR 50 suggests ability but 18/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Arbaawy 10/3 open 9.00 10/3 open 10.00 10/3 open 8.00 10/3 open 8.00 10/3 open 9.50 10/3 open 7.00 10/3 Bet365
2 Wild Dahlia 9/2 open 6.00 9/2 9/2 open 6.00 9/2 open 6.00 9/2 4/1 open 6.00 9/2 Bet365
3 Mayaada 4/1 open 11.00 4/1 open 10.00 4/1 open 5.50 4/1 open 5.50 4/1 open 10.00 7/2 open 5.00 4/1 Bet365
4 Eastern Veil 16/1 open 8.00 16/1 open 7.50 16/1 open 9.00 16/1 open 9.00 16/1 open 7.50 16/1 open 9.00 16/1 Bet365
5 Island Bear 10/1 open 17.00 10/1 open 13.00 10/1 open 17.00 10/1 open 17.00 10/1 open 15.00 10/1 open 17.00 10/1 Bet365
6 Royal Bodyguard 11/2 open 3.75 11/2 open 4.00 11/2 open 4.33 11/2 open 4.33 11/2 open 3.75 11/2 open 4.33 11/2 Bet365
7 Likeness 28/1 open 12.00 25/1 open 13.00 25/1 open 12.00 25/1 open 12.00 25/1 open 12.00 25/1 open 12.00 28/1 Bet365
8 My Old Mate 17/2 open 4.00 8/1 open 4.50 17/2 open 4.33 17/2 open 4.33 17/2 open 4.33 8/1 open 4.50 17/2 Bet365
9 Sail On Sailor 12/1 12/1 12/1 12/1 12/1 12/1 open 15.00 12/1 Bet365
10 Fizzy Bear 20/1 open 34.00 18/1 open 29.00 18/1 open 26.00 18/1 open 26.00 18/1 open 29.00 18/1 open 26.00 20/1 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Arbaawy

Speculative

Arbaawy owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (44) and market confidence (85). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

10/3 John Butler Conor Whiteley(5)
67% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Mayaada

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

4/1 · Ollie Sangster
✓ Value Signal

Likeness

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

28/1 · Jack Channon
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

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Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Low conviction
44 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +16.7 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
85 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +18.6 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
36 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +3.7 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction
41 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.2 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
58 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +5.8 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
56 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.5 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 1. Arbaawy
54.0 10/3
2 3. Mayaada
52.7 4/1
3 2. Wild Dahlia
51.1 9/2
4 8. My Old Mate
50.6 17/2
5 6. Royal Bodyguard
47.6 11/2
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Arbaawy
Speculative

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

1
Age 3 · 9-9
10/3
★★☆☆☆ SR 79 🐾

SR 79 suggests ability but 11/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

3
Age 3 · 9-8
4/1
★★★☆☆ SR 76 🐾

SR 76 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

2
Age 3 · 9-9
9/2
★★★☆☆ SR 80 🐾

SR 80 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

6
Age 3 · 9-6
11/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 73 🐾

SR 73 suggests ability but 5/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

8
Age 3 · 9-1
17/2
★★★☆☆ SR 76 🐾

SR 76 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

5
Age 3 · 9-8
10/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 65 🐾

SR 65 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 12/1.

9
Age 3 · 9-0
12/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 59 🐾

SR 59 suggests ability but 16/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

4
Age 3 · 9-8
16/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 62 🐾

SR 62 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

10
Age 3 · 8-6
20/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 50 🐾

SR 50 suggests ability but 18/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

STEAMERS

Race Steamers

What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Arbaawy
Confidence: Speculative

Arbaawy (SR:79, 11/2) has steamed in 30% in the market — the strongest move in the field — and combines that with a class drop (↓1), proven distance fitness (DistFit:+), and a 3yo profile from a yard (John Butler, 13%) that punches above its weight in handicaps when market-confident. The SR of 79 ties Wild Dahlia at the top of this Class 5 field, and the weight of 9-9 is manageable. The form string 433403 shows consistency without a recent win, but the class relief and aggressive market move suggest connections expect that to change here. The key edge over Wild Dahlia is that 30% steam versus Wild Dahlia's 7% — smarter money is landing on Arbaawy. Each-way alternative: Mayaada. Main danger: Wild Dahlia — Wild Dahlia (SR:80, 9/2) is the joint top-rated horse in the field, drops a class from a Haggas yard with Cieren Fallon booked — a powerhouse combination — and has a proven distance record, making her entirely capable of turning the tables if the market's modest 7% steam understates the stable's intent.

Case against 4 clamped
  • Arbaawy's form string 433403 shows zero wins across 6 runs — not merely a 'consistent loser' but one that has repeatedly found a rival to beat it even at this level, raising doubts the class drop alo…
  • Mayaada (4/1) has steamed in 32% — marginally stronger market support than Arbaawy's 30% — at a shorter price, suggesting the market is not uniquely endorsing Arbaawy as the play.
  • John Butler's 13% strike rate from 1,114 runners indicates a volume yard, not a selective one; the market confidence may reflect owner/stable optimism rather than a genuinely well-handicapped horse r…
  • Wild Dahlia carries a superior SR of 80 vs Arbaawy's 79, is trained by William Haggas (23% strike rate vs Butler's 13%), ridden by Cieren Fallon (18%), and has a fresher recent form line including a…
Shortlist Arbaawy, Wild Dahlia, Mayaada
Each-way: Mayaada Danger: Wild Dahlia

🗺 The Course Class 5

1m0f113y Distance to cover
Good to Soft Expected going
10 Confirmed runners
Epsom Track and setting
Class 5 Race grade