Reponse Finale won last time out and was second two starts back, which reads well on recent form, but our rating of 43 — ranked eleventh of thirteen — flags her as a significant outsider, and a trainer strike rate of 0/39 in the last 14 days makes her hard to fancy at the weights.
Form last 6084121
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
59SR43RPR57OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 59 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Ranked second of thirteen on our ratings and carrying 150 lb from stall nine, Brains has run over today's trip and returns after a sharp 21-day break looking sharper than his recent finishes suggest — the concern is he remains winless in his last six starts.
Form last 6265756
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
43SR56RPR53OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 43 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 12/1.
Winless in his last five starts, Marambo nonetheless showed some ability with a fourth and fifth in recent efforts, though three subsequent unplaced runs temper expectations; he has run over today's trip and returns after a sharp 14-day break carrying 150 lb from stall four.
Form last 645-000
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
25SR52RPR53OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 25 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 33/1.
Winless in his last six starts and ranked last on our figures, Lohengrin makes little appeal despite the return to a familiar trip; his sole spark of encouragement is a third last time out, part of a gradually improving profile.
Form last 6000873
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
50SR42RPR48OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 50 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Winless in his last six starts, I'm Spartacus does at least return quickly on 12 days' rest and has run over today's trip, though a fourth four starts back is the closest he has come to threatening, and the weight of 144 lb from stall 12 gives him little obvious help.
Form last 6604800
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
45SR51RPR47OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 45 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Roman Harry brings strong claims on our rating despite being winless in his last six starts — a second last time out shows he is running into form, and he has experience over today's trip. Carrying 144 lb from stall 11 is the key weight concern.
Form last 6730982
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
51SR55RPR47OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 51 suggests ability but 13/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Third last time out after winning two starts back, Movin And Groovin has shown she can mix form, and she has run over today's trip before; 26 days between runs keeps her fresh, but a mark of 46 and 143 lb from stall seven are the hurdles she must overcome.
Form last 6375-13
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
56SR51RPR46OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 56 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Winless in his last five starts with a string of unplaced efforts, Chavajod is hard to fancy on these figures, ranked tenth of thirteen, though he has run over today's trip before and 29 days between runs suggests he arrives fresh.
Form last 600-007
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
28SR46RPR45OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 28 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 20/1.
Winless in her last five starts and absent for 83 days, Saith Seren does have experience over today's trip and her third last time out shows she can threaten the places, though her rating of 50 and fifth-place finishes in between suggest she faces a stiff ask here.
Form last 64-5553
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
41SR50RPR45OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 41 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Winless in his last six starts and ranked 12 of 13 on our figures, Barretstown faces a stiff task here, though he has run over today's trip before and returns on a workable 26-day break carrying 137 lb from stall 13.
Form last 6037000
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
36SR42RPR40OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 36 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Returned a winner three starts back but has been unplaced in both runs since, and a ninth two starts back clouds her recent consistency; has run over today's trip and 18 days off should leave her fresh enough, though 141 lb is a stiff ask.
Form last 68019-0
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
47SR51RPR44OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 47 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Winless in his last six starts, Perfect Judgement at least showed promise with a second two starts back, and he has run over today's trip before, returning on a quick turnaround of eight days — a rating of 59 makes him the one to beat in a field of thirteen.
Form last 6775025
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
50SR59RPR56OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 50 suggests ability but 8/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Medieval Night showed strong placed form two starts back and has run over today's trip, with a quick nine-day turnaround suggesting he is fit and ready; the main risk is a trainer without a winner in 23 attempts over the past fortnight.
Form last 6047625
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
49SR55RPR56OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 49 suggests ability but 8/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer),
Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync.
Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Reponse Finale owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (33) and market confidence (84). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
7/2Gavin CromwellRobert Whearty
74%Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner
Lohengrin
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
3/1 · E D Delany✓ Value Signal
Marambo
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
33/1 · Chris Timmons◈ Chamber Memory
Balanced
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Lohengrin (SR:50, 5/2) is the market's second choice but carries only 10-5 — 9lb less than top-weight Reponse Finale — and crucially holds the best jockey booking in the race with Colin Keane (16% career strike rate, 2279 runners), the standout rider in this field by some margin. The MarkMv:-9 signals a significant drop from the mark of the last win, giving a genuine handicap edge, and while DistFit and GoingFit are both flagged negative, every runner in this field shares those concerns, making the negatives field-wide noise rather than a specific disadvantage. The form string 000873 shows a '3' most recently — placing at this level — suggesting a horse on an upward curve, and at 5/2 the market is backing the Keane booking hard enough that we should follow.
Each-way alternative: Movin And Groovin.
Main danger: I'm Spartacus — I'm Spartacus (SR:45, 10/1) is the standout market mover — steaming in 19% — carrying only 10-4 with MarkMv:-5 and a trainer Adrian McGuinness who finds winners from handicap types; that level of late money on a 10/1 shot in a 13-runner field demands respect.
⚖Case against4clamped▾
Form string 000873 shows three consecutive zeros before a modest '3' placing — Lohengrin has failed to complete or finished last three times in recent starts, hardly the profile of a horse ready to w…
HG:t flag indicates a headgear change, which can be a desperation move from a trainer (E D Delany, 8% strike rate, 133 runners) with limited firepower and no obvious angle to spark improvement.
Movin And Groovin (SR:56, 5/1) posts a higher Speed Rating than Lohengrin (SR:50) at a lighter weight (10-3 vs 10-5) and has a recent '1' in form — a more compelling in-form profile at only fractiona…
The market has not moved in Lohengrin's favour despite the Colin Keane booking being known — no meaningful drift in but no significant steam either, suggesting layers are comfortable opposing at 5/2.
ShortlistLohengrin, Reponse Finale, Movin And Groovin, I'm Spartacus