Sky Sports Racing Sky 415 Nursery Handicap Stakes · 6f1y
SR 60 suggests ability but 33/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 92 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 67 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 51 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 20/1.
SR 78 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 68 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 62 suggests ability but 18/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 73 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 62 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 78 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 76 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 47 suggests ability but 40/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Frumoasa | 33/1 open 23.00 | 30/1 open 34.00 | 33/1 open 29.00 | 33/1 open 29.00 | 28/1 | 33/1 open 29.00 | 33/1 Bet365 |
| 2 My Maria | 3/1 open 5.50 | 5/2 open 4.50 | 3/1 | 3/1 | 3/1 open 3.75 | 3/1 open 3.75 | 3/1 Bet365 |
| 3 Lady Rosalind | 16/1 open 9.50 | 14/1 open 8.00 | 16/1 open 10.00 | 16/1 open 10.00 | 14/1 open 10.00 | 16/1 open 9.50 | 16/1 Bet365 |
| 4 Sea Palace | 25/1 open 12.00 | 22/1 open 15.00 | 25/1 open 15.00 | 25/1 open 15.00 | 25/1 open 15.00 | 22/1 open 15.00 | 25/1 Bet365 |
| 5 Location Location | 7/1 | 13/2 open 7.00 | 15/2 open 7.50 | 15/2 open 7.50 | 7/1 open 7.50 | 13/2 | 15/2 Coral |
| 6 Rex Regum | 11/1 open 8.50 | 11/1 open 8.00 | 12/1 open 9.00 | 12/1 open 9.00 | 11/1 open 9.00 | 10/1 open 9.00 | 12/1 Coral |
| 7 Arabica Queen | 22/1 open 15.00 | 20/1 open 17.00 | 22/1 open 19.00 | 22/1 open 19.00 | 20/1 open 19.00 | 20/1 open 19.00 | 22/1 Bet365 |
| 8 Sultan Darius | 17/2 open 7.00 | 8/1 open 6.00 | 9/1 open 6.50 | 9/1 open 6.50 | 17/2 open 6.50 | 17/2 open 6.50 | 9/1 Coral |
| 9 Holi Scarlett | 16/1 open 12.00 | 14/1 open 11.00 | 16/1 open 13.00 | 16/1 open 13.00 | 15/1 open 13.00 | 16/1 open 13.00 | 16/1 Bet365 |
| 10 Trust Yourself | 6/1 open 6.50 | 11/2 | 5/1 open 7.00 | 5/1 open 7.00 | 11/2 open 7.50 | 11/2 open 7.00 | 6/1 Bet365 |
| 11 Horndean | 5/2 open 6.00 | 3/1 open 5.50 | 10/3 | 10/3 | 5/2 open 4.50 | 11/4 open 4.33 | 10/3 Coral |
| 12 Greek Street | 40/1 open 34.00 | 33/1 | 40/1 open 34.00 | 40/1 open 34.00 | 33/1 | 33/1 open 41.00 | 40/1 Bet365 |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
My Maria owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (51) and market confidence (86). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalSR 76 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 92 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 78 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 78 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 73 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 68 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 67 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 62 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.
My Maria (SR 92, 3/1) is the standout on every meaningful metric in this field. Her SR of 92 is the highest by 14 points over the next-best runners, placing her comfortably above the pack in a competitive handicap range. The form string 432221 shows a horse who has been consistently improving, finishing second on her last two outings before presumably winning most recently — a progressive profile exactly what you want in a nursery. Crucially, GoingFit:+ confirms she handles today's good ground at Lingfield, DistFit:+ confirms she handles 6f1y, and a market move of in13% on top of a 3/1 price signals genuine confidence from connections and punters alike. Billy Loughnane (18% strike rate, 2958 career rides) is a high-quality booking who rarely takes rides without purpose. The ClassMv:= means she's not being asked to step up in class, and the slight MarkMv:+2 is a negligible penalty for a horse with this SR advantage. Each-way alternative: Trust Yourself. Main danger: Location Location — Location Location (SR 78, 13/2) has shortened 6% in the market, DistFit:+ confirmed over this trip, and a James Fanshawe yard running at 18% gives the 42-day break horse a plausible angle if the rest has sharpened her up.