Sports4Causes October Club EBF Fillies' Novice Stakes (GBB Race) · 0m6f0y
Favourable weight of 9-9 gives a real edge in this handicap.
SR 147 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 137 suggests ability but 16/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 125 suggests ability but 100/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 128 suggests ability but 200/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Favourable weight of 9-2 gives a real edge in this handicap.
Favourable weight of 9-2 gives a real edge in this handicap.
SR 141 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Ash Tree | 5/2 open 4.33 | — | 11/4 open 4.50 | 11/4 open 4.50 | 5/2 open 4.50 | — | 11/4 Coral |
| 2 Blue Flight | 17/2 open 9.00 | — | 17/2 open 8.00 | 17/2 open 8.00 | 17/2 open 8.00 | — | 17/2 Bet365 |
| 3 Cut And Sew | 16/1 open 15.00 | — | 16/1 open 13.00 | 16/1 open 12.00 | 16/1 open 15.00 | — | 16/1 Bet365 |
| 4 Parvenue Star | 100/1 open 67.00 | — | 80/1 open 67.00 | 80/1 open 67.00 | 100/1 open 67.00 | — | 100/1 Bet365 |
| 5 Perfect Hope | 200/1 open 151.00 | — | 100/1 open 151.00 | 100/1 open 151.00 | 150/1 | — | 200/1 Bet365 |
| 6 Sorrengail | 11/10 open 2.00 | — | 11/10 open 2.00 | 11/10 open 2.00 | 11/10 | — | 11/10 Bet365 |
| 7 Speed of Sound | 11/2 open 5.50 | — | 11/2 open 4.50 | 11/2 open 4.50 | 11/2 open 4.33 | — | 11/2 Bet365 |
| 8 Sweetwonderfulyou | 12/1 open 11.00 | — | 12/1 open 10.00 | 12/1 open 10.00 | 12/1 open 10.00 | — | 12/1 Bet365 |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Sorrengail owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (87) and market confidence (95). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalFavourable weight of 9-2 gives a real edge in this handicap.
Favourable weight of 9-9 gives a real edge in this handicap.
Favourable weight of 9-2 gives a real edge in this handicap.
SR 147 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 141 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 137 suggests ability but 16/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.
Ash Tree (SR:156, 5/2) matches Sorrengail on ability but carries 7lb more (9-9 vs 9-2) — a weight disadvantage that would normally concern, yet the market has steamed in 19% to 5/2, indicating strong stable confidence from Jane Chapple-Hyam with Oisin Murphy booked at 22% career strike rate. The favourite Sorrengail (SR:156, 11/10) finished 4th on debut and steps back in at the same class, but a single 4th-place run gives Charlie Appleby's yard little to recommend at a short price versus a proven winner; crucially, no market data shows Sorrengail shortening further, while Ash Tree's steam is emphatic. Ash Tree won on debut (Form:1), is returning after just 22 days in good order, and the combination of Murphy's booking, Chapple-Hyam's intentionality at 11%, and the 19% market move builds a compelling multi-signal case. The weight concession to Sorrengail is real but manageable at 6f on good-to-firm ground where pace and class carry more weight than the scale. Each-way alternative: Speed of Sound. Main danger: Sorrengail — Sorrengail (SR:156, 11/10) matches Ash Tree on ability, carries 7lb less at 9-2, and Charlie Appleby's 29% trainer strike rate means a run-to-improve scenario after a debut 4th is entirely credible at Ascot.