Thirsk 16:18 RESULTED
Class 5 24 Jul 2026

Friday 24 July NRFC Leading Roof Excellence Fillies' Handicap Stakes

NRFC Leading Roof Excellence Fillies' Handicap Stakes · 0m6f0y

Official Result

NRFC Leading Roof Excellence Fillies' Handicap Stakes

Confirmed
  1. Winner Zooella (IRE) Rossa Ryan · Ralph Beckett
    5/2
  2. 11/1
  3. 18/1
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Settled
  • 9 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 1 month, 4 weeks ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Ziggy's Queen silks
Ziggy's Queen
Age 5 · 10-0
179856
69
58
69OR
5
10-0
12/1 14/1 11/1
Ziggy's Queen was only sixth last time out, with a win six starts back the highlight of a mixed sequence since. She has already run over today's trip and going, owns the fastest speed figure in this field, and returns after just 16 days as one of the leading dangers, that indifferent recent form the one query.
AI verdict

SR 58 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 12/1.

2
Zooella silks
Zooella
Age 3 · 9-13
3234-1
67
73
67OR
3
9-13
2/1 5/4 2/1
Zooella won last time out and has been in the frame in four of her last five starts, with experience over today's distance banked. Her trainer is in good form at 28% over the last fortnight, and she's out again quickly after just 11 days, making her the pick on profile even without topping our figures outright.
AI verdict

SR 73 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

3
Canaria Queen silks
Canaria Queen
Age 6 · 9-12
122155
67
59
67OR
6
9-12
14/1 12/1 14/1
Canaria Queen was fifth last time out and fifth again two starts back, a poor spell sandwiched between much better placed form further back including a win three starts back. She has already run over today's trip and going, returns after 18 days, and sits mid-pack on our figures, that recent dip in form the obvious concern.
AI verdict

SR 59 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

4
Eartha silks
Eartha
Age 4 · 9-10
/809-5
65
37
65OR
4
9-10
40/1 25/1 40/1
Eartha was fifth last time out, having also finished ninth two starts back and unplaced three starts back. Yet to win in recent starts, she tops our figures well above her official mark, and with experience over today's trip and going banked, returns as the biggest threat here after just 13 days.
AI verdict

SR 37 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 40/1.

5
Taygar silks
Taygar
Age 5 · 9-9
822242
64
74
64OR
5
9-9
7/2 4/1 7/2
Taygar was runner-up last time out and has been placed in four of her last five starts, a picture of real consistency for a mare still yet to win. She has already run over today's trip and going, quick to back up again after just 11 days, and remains one of the leading dangers on figures despite that stubborn lack of a win.
AI verdict

SR 74 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

6
Celtic Arrow silks
Celtic Arrow
Age 3 · 9-7
3422
67
73
67OR
3
9-7
5/1 4/1 5/1
Celtic Arrow was runner-up last time out and again two starts back, with a third four starts back showing further consistency, though a win remains elusive. She has run over today's distance before, returns after 23 days, and sits right in the mix on our figures, that missing win her only query.
AI verdict

SR 73 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

7
Miss Rainbow silks
Miss Rainbow
Age 5 · 9-5
521033
60
73
60OR
5
9-5
7/2 11/2 10/3
Miss Rainbow was third last time out and third again two starts back, with a win four starts back also in the book. She has already run over today's trip and going, is out again quickly just two days later, but sits near the foot of our figures in this nine-runner field.
AI verdict

SR 73 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

8
Love Alive silks
Love Alive
Age 3 · 9-2
159630
62
45
62OR
3
9-2
20/1 10/1 20/1
Love Alive was unplaced last time out but had been third two starts back, with a win six starts back now some way in the past. She has already run over today's trip and going, returns after a 29-day break, and sits towards the foot of our figures, those indifferent recent efforts the main knock.
AI verdict

SR 45 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 20/1.

9
Oasis Cover silks
Oasis Cover
Age 3 · 9-0
6-3028
60
42
60OR
3
9-0
40/1 28/1 33/1
Oasis Cover was eighth last time out but had finished runner-up two starts back, a swing that sums up an inconsistent recent record. Yet to win in recent starts and bottom of our figures in this nine-runner field, she's quick to back up after just six days but has plenty to find.
AI verdict

SR 42 suggests ability but 40/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Ziggy's Queen 12/1 open 21.00 11/1 open 15.00 11/1 open 15.00 11/1 open 19.00 12/1 Bet365
2 Zooella 2/1 open 2.38 9/4 open 2.25 9/4 open 2.25 9/4 open 2.25 9/4 Coral
3 Canaria Queen 14/1 open 13.00 14/1 open 17.00 14/1 open 13.00 14/1 open 13.00 14/1 Bet365
4 Eartha 40/1 open 26.00 40/1 open 34.00 40/1 open 29.00 40/1 open 29.00 40/1 Bet365
5 Taygar 7/2 open 5.00 7/2 open 5.00 7/2 open 5.00 7/2 open 5.00 7/2 Bet365
6 Celtic Arrow 5/1 open 5.00 11/2 open 5.00 11/2 open 5.00 11/2 open 5.00 11/2 Coral
7 Miss Rainbow 7/2 open 8.50 10/3 open 6.50 10/3 open 7.50 10/3 open 7.50 7/2 Bet365
8 Love Alive 20/1 open 11.00 22/1 open 12.00 22/1 open 12.00 22/1 open 12.00 22/1 Coral
9 Oasis Cover 40/1 open 34.00 33/1 open 29.00 33/1 open 29.00 33/1 open 29.00 40/1 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Taygar

Speculative

Taygar owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (41) and market confidence (84). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

7/2 Michael Dods Jason Hart
66% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Zooella

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

2/1 · Ralph Beckett
✓ Value Signal

Oasis Cover

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

40/1 · Micky Hammond
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Low conviction
41 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +15.6 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
84 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +18.5 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
40 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +4.8 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction
41 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.1 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
51 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +5.1 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
56 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.4 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 5. Taygar
53.4 7/2
2 2. Zooella
52.6 2/1
3 7. Miss Rainbow
49.8 7/2
4 6. Celtic Arrow
47.8 5/1
5 1. Ziggy's Queen
44.9 12/1
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Miss Rainbow
Medium

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

2
Age 3 · 9-13
2/1
★★★☆☆ SR 73 🐾

SR 73 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

5
Age 5 · 9-9
7/2
★★★☆☆ SR 74 🐾

SR 74 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

7
Age 5 · 9-5
7/2
★★★☆☆ SR 73 🐾

SR 73 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

6
Age 3 · 9-7
5/1
★★★☆☆ SR 73 🐾

SR 73 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

1
Age 5 · 10-0
12/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 58 🐾

SR 58 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 12/1.

3
Age 6 · 9-12
14/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 59 🐾

SR 59 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

8
Age 3 · 9-2
20/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 45 🐾

SR 45 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 20/1.

STEAMERS

Race Steamers

What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Miss Rainbow
Confidence: Medium

Miss Rainbow (SR:73, 7/2) arrives on the back of a 42% market move in — the strongest steaming in this field — and brings Course:W2P2 at Thirsk, meaning she has won twice and placed twice at this exact track. Her DistFit:+ and GoingFit:+ on today's good ground over 6f are both confirmed, and her visor (HG:v) adds a legitimate headgear angle. She is stepping up a class (ClassMv:↑1) and running off a mark 2lb higher than last win (MarkMv:+2), but the weight advantage over Zooella (9-5 versus 9-13) is significant, and the track specialism combined with the substantial market confidence makes her the standout pick. The 2-day turnaround is short but connections have clearly targeted this race. Each-way alternative: Taygar. Main danger: Zooella — Zooella (SR:73, 2/1) boasts the best DistFit:+ and GoingFit:+ combination in the field alongside a strong last-time-out win (Form:3234-1), and Ralph Beckett's 18% trainer strike rate with Rossa Ryan aboard is a top-tier booking — the 40% market drift is the only reason she is not the selection, and if that drift reflects a physical issue rather than market noise, she remains a clear threat.

Shortlist Miss Rainbow, Zooella, Taygar, Celtic Arrow
Each-way: Taygar Danger: Zooella

🗺 The Course Class 5

0m6f0y Distance to cover
Good Expected going
9 Confirmed runners
Thirsk Track and setting
Class 5 Race grade