On The River Ball+Chain Nursery Handicap Stakes · 0m6f16y
SR 60 suggests ability but 4/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 60 suggests ability but 4/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 60 suggests ability but 9/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 49 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 9/1.
SR 59 suggests ability but 7/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 45 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 49 suggests ability but 11/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Absolute Diamond | 4/1 open 3.75 | — | 4/1 open 3.50 | 4/1 open 3.50 | 4/1 open 3.50 | — | 4/1 Bet365 |
| 2 Il Capo | 4/1 open 7.00 | — | 9/2 open 6.50 | 9/2 open 6.00 | 9/2 open 6.50 | — | 9/2 Coral |
| 3 Dreams Galore | 9/2 open 7.00 | — | 9/2 open 7.00 | 9/2 open 7.00 | 4/1 open 7.00 | — | 9/2 Bet365 |
| 4 Sovereign Beach | 9/1 open 9.50 | — | 11/1 open 8.50 | 11/1 open 8.50 | 12/1 open 8.50 | — | 12/1 William Hill |
| 5 Havananother | 7/2 open 6.00 | — | 10/3 open 6.50 | 10/3 open 6.50 | 3/1 open 6.50 | — | 7/2 Bet365 |
| 6 So Tempting | 9/1 open 7.00 | — | 9/1 open 6.50 | 9/1 open 6.50 | 9/1 open 6.50 | — | 9/1 Bet365 |
| 7 Devon Angel | 11/2 open 4.50 | — | 11/2 open 5.00 | 11/2 open 5.00 | 11/2 open 5.00 | — | 11/2 Bet365 |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Il Capo owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (33) and market confidence (82). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalSR 59 suggests ability but 7/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 60 suggests ability but 4/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 60 suggests ability but 4/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 60 suggests ability but 9/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 49 suggests ability but 11/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 49 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 9/1.
SR 45 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.
Havananother (SR:59, 7/2) combines the strongest market move in the race — shortened 33% from opening — with a competitive SR of 59 that matches the field leaders, a favourable weight of 9-2 (lighter than Absolute Diamond on 9-9 and Il Capo on 9-8), and a two-class drop that puts this horse in clearly easier ground than its previous efforts. Richard Hughes trains at 13% and the apprentice jockey Donagh Murphy carries a 7lb claim, further neutralising the weight burden. The form string 578 shows consistent mid-field efforts at higher class, and the class drop to Class 6 is the key catalyst — this horse has been running in tougher company and is entitled to come good here. Each-way alternative: Il Capo. Main danger: Il Capo — Il Capo (SR:60, 4/1) shares the joint-highest SR in the field, has shortened 17% in the market, and Richard Hannon's 13% yard strike rate gives it strong professional backing — a three-class drop means it arrives in the easiest race of its career.