Massey Ferguson Johnston Farm Equipment Longford Handicap Hurdle (Div I) · 2m2f200y
SR 59 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 25/1.
SR 64 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 25/1.
SR 89 suggests ability but 15/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 87 suggests ability but 4/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 77 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 80 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 79 suggests ability but 8/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 73 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.
SR 80 suggests ability but 17/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 79 suggests ability but 15/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 83 suggests ability but 15/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 60 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 28/1.
SR 79 suggests ability but 15/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 50 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 33/1.
SR 65 suggests ability but 16/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 53 suggests ability but 33/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 60 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 25/1.
SR 61 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 25/1.
SR 80 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 King Of The Greys | 25/1 open 21.00 | — | 28/1 open 19.00 | 28/1 open 19.00 | 25/1 open 19.00 | — | 28/1 Coral |
| 2 Malbas | 25/1 open 21.00 | — | 28/1 open 21.00 | 28/1 open 21.00 | 25/1 open 21.00 | — | 28/1 Coral |
| 3 Whispering Willow | 15/2 open 6.50 | — | 17/2 open 6.00 | 17/2 open 6.00 | 15/2 open 6.00 | — | 17/2 Coral |
| 4 Friar Hogan | 4/1 open 4.50 | — | 4/1 open 4.50 | 4/1 open 4.50 | 4/1 open 4.50 | — | 4/1 Bet365 |
| 5 I'm Flattered | 12/1 open 17.00 | — | 16/1 | 16/1 | 14/1 open 17.00 | — | 16/1 Coral |
| 6 Burlington House | 9/1 open 8.50 | — | 10/1 open 8.50 | 10/1 open 8.50 | 9/1 open 8.50 | — | 10/1 Coral |
| 7 Circus Act | 8/1 open 7.50 | — | 10/1 open 8.50 | 10/1 open 8.50 | 17/2 open 8.50 | — | 10/1 Coral |
| 8 Flash The Badge | 16/1 open 26.00 | — | 16/1 open 23.00 | 16/1 open 23.00 | 14/1 open 23.00 | — | 16/1 Bet365 |
| 9 Barrogstown Girl | 17/2 open 15.00 | — | 9/1 open 13.00 | 9/1 open 13.00 | 8/1 open 13.00 | — | 9/1 Coral |
| 10 Sneddy Eddie | 15/2 | — | 17/2 open 8.50 | 17/2 open 8.50 | 15/2 | — | 17/2 Coral |
| 11 Demanding Gerry | 15/2 | — | 17/2 open 8.00 | 17/2 open 8.00 | 15/2 open 8.00 | — | 17/2 Coral |
| 12 Movie King | 28/1 open 34.00 | — | 28/1 | 28/1 | 25/1 open 29.00 | — | 28/1 Bet365 |
| 13 Dream Shaper | 15/2 | — | 8/1 open 8.00 | 8/1 open 8.00 | 7/1 | — | 8/1 Coral |
| 14 Dark Berkshire | 33/1 open 29.00 | — | 40/1 open 29.00 | 40/1 open 29.00 | 33/1 open 29.00 | — | 40/1 Coral |
| 15 Finnicky Filly | 16/1 | — | 16/1 | 16/1 | 14/1 open 17.00 | — | 16/1 Bet365 |
| 16 Surviving Murmansk | 33/1 open 29.00 | — | 40/1 open 29.00 | 40/1 open 29.00 | 33/1 open 29.00 | — | 40/1 Coral |
| 17 Il Pirata | 25/1 | — | 28/1 open 26.00 | 28/1 open 26.00 | 25/1 | — | 28/1 Coral |
| 18 Mambo Du Large | 25/1 | — | 28/1 open 26.00 | 28/1 open 26.00 | 25/1 | — | 28/1 Coral |
| 19 Backinabit | 5/1 open 5.00 | — | 11/2 open 5.50 | 11/2 open 5.50 | 5/1 open 5.50 | — | 11/2 Coral |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Whispering Willow owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (49) and market confidence (66). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalSR 87 suggests ability but 4/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 80 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 89 suggests ability but 15/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 79 suggests ability but 15/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 83 suggests ability but 15/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 79 suggests ability but 15/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 79 suggests ability but 8/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 80 suggests ability but 17/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 80 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 77 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 73 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.
SR 65 suggests ability but 16/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.
Friar Hogan (SR:87, 4/1) carries the highest SR in the field and is the most competitively priced of the stronger-rated runners, with J J Slevin booked — a jockey striking at 11% from 425 career rides, well above the yard average. At 11-8 he carries a workable weight and his most recent run shows a '2' (second place) in the form string, suggesting he retains form. While the market has drifted 11% and GoingFit is unknown, his SR superiority over the rest of the field — the next-best cluster sits around SR 80-83 — and the quality of jockey booking make him the standout. In a messy 19-runner handicap hurdle at this level, the combination of top SR, better jockey, and a recent placed effort is the clearest edge available. Each-way alternative: Barrogstown Girl. Main danger: Whispering Willow — Whispering Willow (SR:89, 15/2) is actually the SR-leader and has a '1' win in recent form under Gavin Cromwell, a yard with 1,328 career runners and a proven record, though the +11lb mark rise and a 47% market drift are significant concerns that temper confidence.