Cheeseburger Aaron Handicap Stakes · 0m7f16y
SR 80 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 54 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 49 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.
SR 64 suggests ability but 13/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 39 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 22/1.
SR 68 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 64 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Prefer The Sister | 5/6 open 1.73 | — | 10/11 open 1.73 | 10/11 open 1.73 | 5/6 open 1.73 | — | 10/11 Coral |
| 2 Auburn Avenue | 12/1 open 15.00 | — | 12/1 open 11.00 | 12/1 | 12/1 | — | 12/1 Bet365 |
| 3 Brave Byreflection | 16/1 | — | 16/1 | 16/1 | 16/1 | — | 16/1 Bet365 |
| 4 On Key | 13/2 open 6.50 | — | 13/2 open 6.50 | 13/2 open 6.50 | 13/2 open 6.50 | — | 13/2 Bet365 |
| 5 Francisco | 22/1 open 17.00 | — | 22/1 open 17.00 | 22/1 open 17.00 | 22/1 open 17.00 | — | 22/1 Bet365 |
| 6 Too Much Trevor | 9/2 open 8.50 | — | 9/2 open 8.50 | 9/2 open 8.50 | 9/2 open 8.50 | — | 9/2 Bet365 |
| 7 Sioux Warrior | 15/2 open 7.00 | — | 15/2 open 6.50 | 15/2 open 6.50 | 15/2 open 6.50 | — | 15/2 Bet365 |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Prefer The Sister owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (44) and market confidence (96). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalSR 80 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 68 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 64 suggests ability but 13/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 64 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 54 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 49 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.
Too Much Trevor (SR:68, 9/2) carries the joint-lowest weight in the field at 9-2 despite being the second-highest rated runner, giving a meaningful lbs advantage over Prefer The Sister (SR:80, 9-9) — a 7lb pull on the handicap which counts for plenty over 7f on good-to-firm ground. The form string 231441 shows consistent placings culminating in a last-time-out win, and Course:W2P10 signals this horse is a genuine Chepstow specialist — two course wins from a large sample is compelling on a track that famously rewards course knowledge. The 35% market steam (Mkt:in35%) is the sharpest move in the field and is the kind of significant money that demands respect; combine it with GoingFit:+ confirming the going suits and this is a horse firing on multiple cylinders. Jockey Ashley Lewis (5) posts a strong 16% career strike rate from 226 rides, above the yard's own 10% baseline, suggesting a confident booking. Each-way alternative: Sioux Warrior. Main danger: Prefer The Sister — Prefer The Sister holds the highest SR in the field at 80 — clearly the most able horse on ratings — and drops a class with proven DistFit:+ and GoingFit:+ credentials plus a form string of 231211 showing relentless consistency, meaning if the 8% market drift is just noise rather than a concern, it wins comfortably.