Ascot 17:12 RESULTED
Class 4 24 Jul 2026

Friday 24 July Sodexo Live! Fillies' Handicap Stakes

Sodexo Live! Fillies' Handicap Stakes · 0m5f0y

Official Result

Sodexo Live! Fillies' Handicap Stakes

Confirmed
  1. Winner Killavia (GB) Oisin Murphy · Rod Millman
    13/2
  2. 8/1
  3. 11/4F
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Settled
  • 9 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 1 month, 4 weeks ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Toolatetonegotiate silks
Toolatetonegotiate
Age 4 · 9-13
343210
81
60
81OR
4
9-13
22/1 16/1 22/1
Unplaced last time out but a winner two starts back, with solid placed form before that. A rating of 82 leaves her seventh of nine here, with a 39-day gap since her last run.
AI verdict

SR 60 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 22/1.

2
Lady Roxby silks
Lady Roxby
Age 4 · 9-12
2-3777
80
77
80OR
4
9-12
4/1 4/1 10/3
A third four starts back and a second before that show the level she's capable of, despite her last three starts all reading seventh. A rating of 95, well clear of her official mark, makes her the one to beat, though yet to win in that spell.
AI verdict

SR 77 suggests ability but 4/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

3
Killavia silks
Killavia
Age 3 · 9-9
109-64
81
77
81OR
3
9-9
11/2 11/2 5/1
A modest recent scoreline - fourth last time out after finishes of sixth, ninth and unplaced - but a winner five starts back. A rating of 92 marks her a leading danger regardless, for a yard in good current form (32% last fortnight).
AI verdict

SR 77 suggests ability but 11/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

4
Paradise Walk silks
Paradise Walk
Age 3 · 9-8
2-2411
80
86
80OR
3
9-8
4/1 2/1 4/1
A winner last time out and the time before too, with only a fourth breaking an otherwise solid run of two wins and two seconds. A rating of 83, from a yard in good form, keeps her in the mix, midfield rather than a stand-out.
AI verdict

SR 86 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

5
Lara Antipova silks
Lara Antipova
Age 3 · 9-7
2-214
79
81
79OR
3
9-7
8/1 6/1 8/1
Fourth last time out but a winner two starts back, with a pair of runner-up finishes further back still - a strong scoreline overall. A rating of 88 marks her a leading danger on these figures, and she has already raced over today's trip and going.
AI verdict

SR 81 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

6
Desert Treasure silks
Desert Treasure
Age 3 · 9-6
11-07
78
76
78OR
3
9-6
10/1 13/2 10/1
Won back-to-back three and four starts back, but has tailed off since, unplaced two starts back and only seventh last time out. A rating of 85 still marks her a leading danger, that pair of wins the standout on her profile.
AI verdict

SR 76 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

7
Dandy Magic silks
Dandy Magic
Age 4 · 9-2
300444
70
77
70OR
4
9-2
3/1 6/1 11/4
Fourth in each of her last three starts, with two blanks and a third further back. A rating of 83, well clear of her official mark, makes a solid midfield case, backed up quickly just four days after her latest start.
AI verdict

SR 77 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

8
Carefree Dream silks
Carefree Dream
Age 3 · 8-12
-05224
70
60
70OR
3
8-12
16/1 15/2 16/1
Fourth last time out, continuing a stop-start record that also features two runner-up finishes and a blank spell. A rating of 79 leaves her eighth of nine, hard to fancy despite that pair of seconds in the book.
AI verdict

SR 60 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.

9
Fantasy Obsessor silks
Fantasy Obsessor
Age 4 · 8-10
022527
64
54
64OR
4
8-10
20/1
Bottom of this field, and the yard is out of form too, blank over the last fortnight. She does have three runner-up finishes in her book, though seventh last time out tempers any enthusiasm, carrying a rating of 76.
AI verdict

SR 54 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 20/1.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Toolatetonegotiate 22/1 open 17.00 22/1 open 17.00 22/1 open 17.00 22/1 open 17.00 22/1 Bet365
2 Lady Roxby 4/1 open 5.50 4/1 4/1 10/3 open 5.00 4/1 Bet365
3 Killavia 11/2 11/2 open 7.00 11/2 open 7.00 5/1 open 7.00 11/2 Bet365
4 Paradise Walk 4/1 open 3.00 4/1 open 3.75 4/1 open 3.25 9/2 open 3.25 9/2 William Hill
5 Lara Antipova 8/1 open 11.00 17/2 open 7.00 17/2 open 10.00 9/1 9/1 William Hill
6 Desert Treasure 10/1 open 8.00 10/1 open 7.50 10/1 open 7.50 10/1 open 7.50 10/1 Bet365
7 Dandy Magic 3/1 open 8.50 3/1 open 7.00 3/1 open 7.00 11/4 open 7.00 3/1 Bet365
8 Carefree Dream 16/1 open 8.50 18/1 open 9.00 18/1 open 9.00 18/1 open 9.00 18/1 Coral
9 Fantasy Obsessor 20/1 20/1 open 23.00 20/1 open 26.00 20/1 open 23.00 20/1 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Paradise Walk

Speculative

Paradise Walk owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (48) and market confidence (82). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

4/1 Ralph Beckett Hector Crouch
70% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Lady Roxby

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

4/1 · Michael Herrington
✓ Value Signal

Toolatetonegotiate

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

22/1 · Daisy Hitchins
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Speculative
48 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +18.2 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence High conviction
82 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +17.9 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
43 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +4.8 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Speculative
45 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.5 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
48 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.8 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
54 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.4 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 4. Paradise Walk
56.2 4/1
2 2. Lady Roxby
53.5 4/1
3 7. Dandy Magic
52.7 3/1
4 3. Killavia
52.6 11/2
5 5. Lara Antipova
51.9 8/1
YOUR DECISION

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Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.

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🤖 AI view
Dandy Magic
Medium

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

7
Age 4 · 9-2
3/1
★★★☆☆ SR 77 🐾

SR 77 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

2
Age 4 · 9-12
4/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 77 🐾

SR 77 suggests ability but 4/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

4
Age 3 · 9-8
4/1
★★★☆☆ SR 86 🐾

SR 86 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

3
Age 3 · 9-9
11/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 77 🐾

SR 77 suggests ability but 11/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

5
Age 3 · 9-7
8/1
★★★☆☆ SR 81 🐾

SR 81 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

6
Age 3 · 9-6
10/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 76 🐾

SR 76 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

8
Age 3 · 8-12
16/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 60 🐾

SR 60 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.

9
Age 4 · 8-10
20/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 54 🐾

SR 54 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 20/1.

STEAMERS

Race Steamers

What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Dandy Magic
Confidence: Medium

Dandy Magic (SR:77, 3/1) has been steamered aggressively — a 47% market move in from a yard with a 14% strike rate and Billy Loughnane booked, who hits at 18% career-wide. The 9-2 weight is the lightest of any realistic contender and represents a meaningful lbs advantage over Lady Roxby (9-12) and Paradise Walk (9-8) at comparable or lower SR. Dropping one class (ClassMv:↓1) brings this 4-year-old into a softer competition, and the 4-day turnaround with no headgear switch suggests the yard is targeting this race. The GoingFit:- and DistFit:- are genuine concerns on good-to-firm over 5f, but the weight and market money together outweigh those flags in what is a weak Class 4 field. Each-way alternative: Lady Roxby. Main danger: Paradise Walk — Paradise Walk (SR:86, highest in the field) has a consistent recent form line of 2-2411 including back-to-back wins, Ralph Beckett's yard strikes at 18%, and Hector Crouch at 17% — the class edge is real even if the 55% drift is a concern that needs explaining.

Shortlist Dandy Magic, Paradise Walk, Lady Roxby
Each-way: Lady Roxby Danger: Paradise Walk

🗺 The Course Class 4

0m5f0y Distance to cover
Good to Firm Expected going
9 Confirmed runners
Ascot Track and setting
Class 4 Race grade