Massey Ferguson Johnston Farm Equipment Longford Handicap Hurdle (Div II) · 2m2f200y
SR 85 suggests ability but 8/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 63 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 20/1.
SR 89 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 63 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 28/1.
SR 83 suggests ability but 11/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 83 suggests ability but 17/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 77 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 77 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 77 suggests ability but 17/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 83 suggests ability but 17/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 61 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 33/1.
SR 66 suggests ability but 16/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 57 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 33/1.
SR 65 suggests ability but 18/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 76 suggests ability but 5/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 56 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 22/1.
SR 69 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 20/1.
SR 86 suggests ability but 8/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 69 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 14/1.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 High Notions | 8/1 | — | 17/2 open 9.00 | 17/2 open 8.50 | 8/1 open 8.50 | — | 17/2 Coral |
| 2 Fabhcun | 20/1 | — | 20/1 open 19.00 | 20/1 open 19.00 | 20/1 open 19.00 | — | 20/1 Bet365 |
| 3 Bowgate Street | 13/2 open 6.50 | — | 15/2 open 6.50 | 15/2 open 6.50 | 7/1 open 6.50 | — | 15/2 Coral |
| 4 O'Grady Cracker | 28/1 open 34.00 | — | 33/1 open 29.00 | 33/1 open 29.00 | 28/1 | — | 33/1 Coral |
| 5 Dearg Mor | 11/2 open 6.00 | — | 6/1 open 5.50 | 6/1 open 5.50 | 11/2 open 5.50 | — | 6/1 Coral |
| 6 Rare Times | 17/2 open 9.00 | — | 9/1 | 9/1 open 9.00 | 17/2 open 9.00 | — | 9/1 Coral |
| 7 Rizedda | 11/1 open 13.00 | — | 12/1 | 12/1 open 12.00 | 11/1 | — | 12/1 Coral |
| 8 Brianna Lily | 11/1 open 11.00 | — | 12/1 open 11.00 | 12/1 open 11.00 | 11/1 open 11.00 | — | 12/1 Coral |
| 9 Lariat | 17/2 open 10.00 | — | 9/1 open 9.50 | 9/1 open 9.50 | 17/2 | — | 9/1 Coral |
| 10 Patrick Street | 17/2 open 9.00 | — | 9/1 open 9.00 | 9/1 open 9.00 | 17/2 open 9.00 | — | 9/1 Coral |
| 11 Laligurash | 33/1 | — | 33/1 | 33/1 | 33/1 | — | 33/1 Bet365 |
| 12 Little Boy Sivola | 16/1 open 15.00 | — | 16/1 open 15.00 | 16/1 open 15.00 | 16/1 open 15.00 | — | 16/1 Bet365 |
| 13 Tawny Lea | 33/1 | — | 33/1 | 33/1 | 33/1 | — | 33/1 Bet365 |
| 14 Thirsty Work | 18/1 open 21.00 | — | 18/1 | 18/1 | 18/1 | — | 18/1 Bet365 |
| 15 Western Opera | 5/1 open 5.50 | — | 6/1 open 6.00 | 6/1 | 11/2 open 6.00 | — | 6/1 Coral |
| 16 Bangor Lady | 22/1 open 26.00 | — | 22/1 | 22/1 | 22/1 | — | 22/1 Bet365 |
| 17 Brohatna | 20/1 | — | 22/1 open 21.00 | 22/1 | 20/1 | — | 22/1 Coral |
| 18 Lakewood Rose | 8/1 | — | 9/1 open 9.00 | 9/1 open 9.00 | 17/2 open 9.00 | — | 9/1 Coral |
| 19 Light Her Up | 14/1 | — | 16/1 open 15.00 | 16/1 open 15.00 | 14/1 | — | 16/1 Coral |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Bowgate Street owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (49) and market confidence (70). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalSR 76 suggests ability but 5/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 83 suggests ability but 11/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 89 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 85 suggests ability but 8/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 86 suggests ability but 8/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 83 suggests ability but 17/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 77 suggests ability but 17/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 83 suggests ability but 17/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 77 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 77 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 69 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 14/1.
SR 66 suggests ability but 16/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 65 suggests ability but 18/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 63 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 20/1.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.
High Notions (SR:85, 8/1, 11-13) is the joint-highest-rated runner in the field and, crucially, comes from the best-credentialled trainer-jockey combination available — S G Carey at 16% strike rate with Kenneally claiming 5lb, effectively reducing the weight burden. The form string 'P09-37' shows a recent third and seventh, indicating the horse is at least returning to competitive form after a difficult patch, and the 40-day break is a standard freshener. While the market has drifted 6%, this is a notoriously hard race to read with 19 runners, most of whom have GoingFit:? or GoingFit:-, meaning High Notions is no worse positioned on going suitability than the majority. At 8/1 with the top SR, this represents the strongest case available in what is a very moderate, wide-open division. Each-way alternative: Dearg Mor. Main danger: Bowgate Street — Bowgate Street holds the highest SR in the field at 89 and has a confirmed DistFit:+ over today's trip, meaning if the going drifts slightly or the market drift is simply casual money rather than informed opinion, this horse has the raw ability to dominate.