Patagonia Girl has distance and going experience to call on and a speed rating that edges ahead of her official mark, making her a genuine threat here; the worry is her recent finishing positions have been modest, with just one win in her last five starts.
Form last 6-21758
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
75SR—RPR82OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 75 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Charmaine has been knocking on the door with a string of fourths in recent starts, and a runner-up finish four starts back shows she can go close — our rating of 88 makes her a leading threat off 141 lb, though she remains winless and needs to finally convert.
Form last 66-2444
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
79SR—RPR82OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 79 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Ran third last time out after a 43-day break, and he has winning form in recent starts — a winner three starts back and again five starts back — but he carries 139 lb and our rating of 80 ranks him fifth of seven, suggesting he faces a stiff task here.
Form last 6151-43
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
57SR—RPR80OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 57 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 28/1.
Winless in his last five starts, Westerton nonetheless catches the eye on ratings — our figure of 90 has him top-rated, and he returns fit on 13 days' rest having run over today's trip and going before; the risk is that his recent form figures simply don't back it up.
Form last 635059-
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
52SR—RPR79OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 52 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 22/1.
Timber Twelve catches the eye on recent form, winning one of his last two starts and boasting three wins in his last five; he has experience of today's trip and going, and 32 days between runs shouldn't inconvenience him. A trainer in lean form is the one note of caution.
Form last 61-1451
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
99SR—RPR86OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 99 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Winless in his last six starts, L'Eagle Aid has experience of today's trip and conditions but ranks sixth of seven on our figures — hard to fancy despite a third last time out and a third three starts back offering marginal encouragement.
Form last 6566353
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
71SR—RPR73OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 71 suggests ability but 17/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Level Look won two starts back but has finished fourth or worse in three of his last four, and our rating leaves him well below the field on these terms — hard to fancy despite the distance experience and a sharp enough turnaround.
Form last 604-14
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
91SR—RPR78OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 91 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer),
Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync.
Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Timber Twelve owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (55) and market confidence (93). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
6/4Michael BellRoss Coakley
70%Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner
Level Look
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
11/4 · Andrew Balding✓ Value Signal
Kuredu King
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
28/1 · Donald McCain◈ Chamber Memory
Balanced
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Timber Twelve (SR:99, 6/4) is the class standout in this field by a clear margin — 8 SR points ahead of Level Look and 20+ clear of the remainder. At 9-9, it carries a manageable weight and its form string 1-1451 shows a last-run win to anchor recent confidence, with the market shortening 10% confirming stable money behind it. The Michael Bell yard runs at 9% overall which is modest, but the market move is a meaningful signal in a race of this size. The chief concern is the unproven jockey Ross Coakley (3%, 71 runs) and both DistFit and GoingFit listed as '?' — untried at this trip and going, which introduces uncertainty — but the SR advantage is large enough to overcome those unknowns against this quality of opposition.
Each-way alternative: Level Look.
Main danger: Level Look — Level Look (SR:91, 11/4) has steamed in 30% in the market, is ridden by the high-quality Oisin Murphy (21% strike rate), and Andrew Balding (19% strike rate) is a yard that delivers when they back their horses — if the form figure '4' in its last run represents improvement, it could bridge the SR gap to Timber Twelve.