Tom Jones Live At Chester Racecourse Handicap Stakes (gbbplus Race) · 1m2f70y
SR 59 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 18/1.
SR 78 suggests ability but 9/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 76 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 52 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 28/1.
SR 79 suggests ability but 3/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 56 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.
SR 59 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 18/1.
SR 55 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.
SR 90 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 46 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 22/1.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Farasi Lane | 18/1 open 13.00 | — | 18/1 open 13.00 | 18/1 open 13.00 | 18/1 open 13.00 | 20/1 open 13.00 | 20/1 Betfred |
| 2 Secret Beach | 9/2 open 7.00 | — | 4/1 open 5.50 | 4/1 open 5.50 | 4/1 | 4/1 open 5.50 | 9/2 Bet365 |
| 3 Saligo Bay | 5/1 open 4.50 | — | 5/1 open 5.00 | 5/1 open 5.00 | 5/1 open 5.00 | 5/1 open 5.00 | 5/1 Bet365 |
| 4 Naples | 28/1 | — | 28/1 open 23.00 | 28/1 open 23.00 | 28/1 open 23.00 | 28/1 open 23.00 | 28/1 Bet365 |
| 5 Tiger | 3/1 open 4.50 | — | 11/4 open 4.33 | 11/4 open 4.33 | 5/2 open 4.33 | 11/4 open 4.33 | 3/1 Bet365 |
| 6 Echalar | 16/1 open 9.50 | — | 22/1 open 12.00 | 22/1 open 12.00 | 22/1 open 12.00 | 20/1 open 12.00 | 22/1 Coral |
| 7 Oman | 18/1 open 15.00 | — | 18/1 | 18/1 | 18/1 | 18/1 | 18/1 Bet365 |
| 8 Moon Beginnings | 16/1 open 13.00 | — | 16/1 open 13.00 | 16/1 open 13.00 | 16/1 open 13.00 | 16/1 open 13.00 | 16/1 Bet365 |
| 9 Cape Fear | 11/4 | — | 5/2 | 5/2 | 5/2 | 9/4 open 3.50 | 11/4 Bet365 |
| 10 Eagle Day | 22/1 open 19.00 | — | 22/1 open 21.00 | 22/1 open 21.00 | 22/1 open 21.00 | 22/1 open 21.00 | 22/1 Bet365 |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Tiger owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (44) and market confidence (86). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalSR 90 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 79 suggests ability but 3/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 78 suggests ability but 9/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 76 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 56 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.
SR 55 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.
SR 59 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 18/1.
SR 59 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 18/1.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.
Cape Fear (SR 90, 11/4) is the standout performer in this field on every meaningful metric. His SR of 90 is the highest by 11 points over Tiger (SR 79), and he carries just 9-7 — a meaningful weight advantage over the two heavier-rated rivals. His form string of 323213 shows absolute consistency at this class level, and both DistFit:+ and GoingFit:+ confirm he handles today's 1m2f70y trip and good ground reliably. Andrew Balding (19% strike rate, 1,392 runners) and Oisin Murphy (21%, 1,248 runners) is the strongest trainer-jockey pairing in the race by a clear margin, and running off the same mark as his last win (MarkMv:=) means connections are not chasing a higher penalty. Each-way alternative: Saligo Bay. Main danger: Tiger — Tiger (SR 79, 3/1) has shortened 14% in the market, is identified as Ian Williams' yard number one, and Edward Greatrex's 13% strike rate is strong — though GoingFit:- and a step up in class (ClassMv:↑1) with no distance confirmation (DistFit:?) are genuine concerns that keep him from the top spot.