Shadow Brigade bounced back to winning ways last time out and, rated 81, he heads this field on his merits; having run over today's going before, conditions hold no fears, and only a 138 lb burden gives any pause.
Form last 638-741
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
80SR—RPR78OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 80 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Brighton View shaped well when second last time out and brings a win three starts back into this contest, and his experience on today's going is a clear asset; the unplaced effort two starts back is the main concern.
Form last 65-7102
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
62SR—RPR73OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 62 suggests ability but evn reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Mr Bollinger arrives on the back of a win last time out and has experience of both today's trip and going, making him a genuine threat off 127 lb; the chief concern is his trainer's dire recent strike-rate of just one winner from 22.
Form last 664841
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
77SR—RPR67OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 77 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer),
Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync.
Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Mr Bollinger owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (43) and market confidence (88). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
5/2Michael BellBilly Loughnane
66%Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner
Shadow Brigade
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
11/4 · George Scott✓ Value Signal
Brighton View
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
evn · William Knight◈ Chamber Memory
Balanced
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Mr Bollinger (SR:77, 5/2) arrives on the back of a last-time-out win (form reads 64841, rightmost digit = 1), carries the lightest weight in the field at 9-1, and crucially holds a Course:W1P1 record at Yarmouth — a meaningful edge in a three-runner affair on a specialist track. Billy Loughnane's 18% career strike rate is comfortably the best jockey booking in this field, and the +2 mark rise is modest enough not to be a barrier. Shadow Brigade (SR:80) is technically the highest-rated runner but has drifted a massive 45% in the market — the sharpest negative market signal in this field — suggesting something is amiss, whether fitness, suitability, or stable confidence; that kind of drift in a three-runner race is almost impossible to ignore. Brighton View (SR:62) steams in at evens and has dropped a class, but its SR of 62 is a full 15 points below Mr Bollinger and 18 below Shadow Brigade, making it a weak SR proposition despite the market move.
Each-way alternative: Brighton View.
Main danger: Brighton View — Brighton View's 25% market support, class drop, and 5lb weight advantage over Shadow Brigade means if Mr Bollinger fails to handle the step up in class, the Knight/Ghiani combination could exploit the easier mark.