Candonomore brings solid experience over today's trip and conditions, and his win and second in recent starts show he can hit form — drawn in stall 3 carrying 132 lb, the main risk is that his last three runs have been disappointing.
Form last 6213687
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
68SR—RPR79OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 68 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Alpha Capture brings strong recent profile — second two starts back and a winner three starts back, with experience of today's trip and going working in his favour at 130 lb from stall 5; the concern is that unplaced run last time out.
Form last 6362120
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
96SR—RPR82OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 96 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Winless in his last six starts, I Still Have Faith nonetheless shapes as a leading danger — he has run over today's trip and going before, and at 128 lb from stall 2, his rating of 84 leaves room to threaten; the risk is that elusive winning form.
Form last 6254065
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
83SR—RPR81OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 83 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Blue Prince arrives on the back of consecutive thirds but was a winner three starts back, and his experience over today's trip and going gives him a solid platform. Drawn in stall four carrying 125 lb, he is the one to beat on rated form.
Form last 6-33133
★AI Rating★★★★☆
100SR—RPR85OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
Favourable weight of 8-13 gives a real edge in this handicap.
Winless in his last six starts with only a single third to show for it, Calyxoh arrives fresh enough on eight days' rest and has run over today's trip and going — but ranked fifth of six on our figures, he faces a stiff task from stall six carrying 125 lb.
Form last 6909730
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
51SR—RPR74OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 51 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 25/1.
Ranked bottom of six on our figures and winless in his last five starts, Midnight Strike won two starts back but has been well beaten in most recent outings; he has run over today's trip and going before, and a 15-day turnaround at least suggests freshness.
Form last 6000815
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
76SR—RPR77OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 76 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer),
Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync.
Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Alpha Capture owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (53) and market confidence (90). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
9/4Roger FellKevin Stott
68%Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner
Blue Prince
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
11/8 · David Evans✓ Value Signal
Calyxoh
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
25/1 · Patrick Morris◈ Chamber Memory
Balanced
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Alpha Capture (SR:96, 9/4) carries the second-highest SR in the field and has steamed in 16% from opening price, indicating genuine market confidence. GoingFit:+ confirms the horse handles today's good ground, and blinkers are retained from a recent run showing tactical headgear consistency. The form string 362120 shows a last-time-out win which is the most relevant recent evidence, and at 9-4 off 9-4 weight the burden is manageable. Blue Prince (SR:100) holds a marginal SR edge but has drifted 12% from opening — the market is clearly choosing Alpha Capture over the classier-looking favourite, and Blue Prince's MarkMv:+6 means he runs off a higher mark than at his last win.
Each-way alternative: Blue Prince.
Main danger: Blue Prince — Blue Prince holds the highest SR in the field at 100, is stepping down a class (ClassMv:↓1), holds confirmed DistFit:+ and GoingFit:+, and Oisin Murphy's 21% strike rate is the strongest jockey booking on the card — the drift from opening may simply reflect the higher mark (MarkMv:+6) rather than true form concerns.
ShortlistAlpha Capture, Blue Prince, I Still Have Faith