Palmar Bay arrives here in good order just 22 days since his last start, with experience of today's trip and going working in his favour, and our rating has him narrowly top of these rivals — the concern is he's winless in his last five starts, with that eighth last time out hard to ignore.
Form last 64-4408
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
77SR—RPR100OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 77 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.
Landed a win five starts back and has experience of today's distance and going, The Strikin Viking arrives here fresh enough on 26 days' rest. He has disappointed in recent starts but, drawn four carrying 142 lb, he is our pick to bounce back.
Form last 614-056
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
74SR—RPR100OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 74 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 20/1.
Roman Dragon won five starts back and has experience of today's trip and conditions, returning after 22 days in solid order; the chief concern is that he has struggled for consistency in recent starts, with four runs since that victory failing to make the frame.
Form last 6018009
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
82SR—RPR97OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 82 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Power Fizz won two starts back and has experience of today's trip and going, making him a serious threat off a 36-day break; the concern is an unplaced effort last time out.
Form last 6214-10
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
97SR—RPR96OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 97 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Ran well to win three starts back but has finished only fifth and then unplaced since, leaving her form hard to trust; has run over today's trip and going before, and a 45-day break could freshen her up, though she'll need to rediscover that earlier sparkle from stall ten.
Form last 630-150
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
100SR—RPR95OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 100 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Winless in his last five starts, Khafiz does at least bring distance and going experience to the table, and his fourth last time out shows some residual form — but carrying 134 lb from stall 3, he'll need to find more than his recent efforts suggest.
Form last 63-5004
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
86SR—RPR92OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 86 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Winless in his last four starts and ranked bottom of the field on our figures, The Angel King is hard to fancy at this level; he does carry experience of today's trip and conditions, and stall two could be noted, but his recent form offers little encouragement.
Form last 61-7060
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
69SR—RPR89OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 69 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 18/1.
Winless in his last five starts, Korker does bring distance and going experience to this, and a trainer firing at 26% in the past fortnight is a clear plus — though carrying 131 lb from stall nine on a 36-day break gives him plenty to overcome.
Form last 6-08064
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
75SR—RPR89OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 75 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 14/1.
Winless in his last six starts and ranked eighth of ten on our figures, Monarch's Gold faces a stiff ask here; he does arrive on the back of a third last time out, has experience over today's trip and going, and 17 days between runs suggests he's fresh enough.
Form last 6520293
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
90SR—RPR92OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 90 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Winless in his last five starts, with a ninth two runs back doing little to inspire confidence, Miami Matrix heads into this as the lowest-ranked runner on our figures; he has run over today's trip and going, and 22 days between runs suggests he arrives fresh enough.
Form last 602-494
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
79SR—RPR83OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 79 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer),
Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync.
Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Dance In The Storm owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (56) and market confidence (92). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
7/4Andrew BaldingOisin Murphy
80%Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner
Power Fizz
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
4/1 · William Haggas✓ Value Signal
The Strikin Viking
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
20/1 · Hamad Al Jehani◈ Chamber Memory
Balanced
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Dance In The Storm leads the field on SR (100) and carries a workable 9-11, giving a 1lb advantage over Power Fizz (SR 97, 9-12) despite the higher ability rating. The 20% market move inward is the most significant steaming in the field and cannot be ignored — Oisin Murphy at 21% career strike rate is a top booking, and Andrew Balding's 19% yard strike rate from 1,392 runners is a strong operational signal. Course form of W1P1 at Chester is directly relevant on this idiosyncratic 1m1y track where course experience is a genuine edge, and the MarkMv:+5 is absorbed by the lighter weight relative to rivals. The last run showing a '0' (last run in the form string) is the main concern, but the 45-day freshener and tongue-tie addition suggest connections have targeted this race specifically.
Each-way alternative: Power Fizz.
Main danger: Power Fizz — Power Fizz (SR 97, 4/1) has a proven DistFit:+ at today's 7f trip and William Haggas at 21% strike rate is one of the strongest yards in the field, with Cieren Fallon a competent booking — despite the 10% market drift, the raw ability and distance fitness make it the most credible threat to the selection.
ShortlistDance In The Storm, Power Fizz, Monarch's Gold