Iamimmaculate arrives here in decent nick — a winner three starts back and second two starts back give him a solid recent profile, with experience over today's trip and going an added plus. Carrying 140 lb from stall one, the fourth last time out is the only minor blemish on a case that makes him the one to beat.
Form last 6012-4
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
87SR—RPR80OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 87 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Winless in his last three starts and ranked 11th of 12 on our figures, Mr Ballynonty faces a stiff ask here; a third three starts back offers a crumb of encouragement, and he has going experience to call on, but the handicapper has him at 76 carrying 136 lb.
Form last 6385
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
58SR—RPR76OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 58 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 14/1.
Winless in her last three starts and held to fifths and a seventh, Blue Blue Moon has run over today's distance and going before but a struggling trainer — just one success from 26 runners recently — makes progress hard to fancy from stall 10.
Form last 65-75
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
56SR—RPR74OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 56 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.
Placed last time out and carrying a workable weight of 132 lb from stall four, Felix Somary has run over today's trip and going and our rating suggests he's better than his official mark of 72 — yet he remains winless in his last five starts, and that lack of a win is the concern.
Form last 60-9903
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
65SR—RPR72OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 65 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Winless in her last four starts, Snow Princess nonetheless showed genuine promise with a third two starts back and returns here on a snappy eight-day turnaround, with experience of today's trip and going in her favour; the risk is she has yet to translate that ability into a win.
Form last 65435
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
55SR—RPR71OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 55 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.
Winless in her last five starts, Tharaka nonetheless brings experience over today's trip and going, and our rating of 72 suggests she's better than her official mark — the chief concern is that she returns just two days after her last run.
Form last 63404-0
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
50SR—RPR66OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 50 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at -.
Aquilla Star returns just two days after finishing unplaced last time out, and while she has run over today's distance and going before, she remains winless in her last five starts and her trainer has yet to land a winner in 27 attempts over the past fortnight.
Form last 672-720
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
63SR—RPR64OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 63 suggests ability but 17/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Jp's Express won last time out but faces a quick turnaround having run just two days ago, and that freshness concern tempers his claims despite experience over today's trip and going; he has been unplaced in two of his four prior recent starts, suggesting consistency remains a work in progress.
Form last 6-60031
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
71SR—RPR64OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 71 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Cisterna hasn't threatened in his last three starts, all fifths or worse, though a win four starts back shows he retains ability; he has run over today's distance and going, and 32 days between runs leaves fitness an open question at 120 lb from stall seven.
Form last 6531755
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
64SR—RPR60OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 64 suggests ability but 17/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Beaten last time out after winning two starts back, Unfamiliar has struggled for consistency in recent starts and ranks ninth of twelve on our figures — hard to fancy at these weights. She has run over today's trip and going, which at least offers some grounding.
Form last 6888510
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
46SR—RPR56OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 46 suggests ability but 20/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Winless in her last three starts — unplaced most recently, ninth two starts back, and a fourth three starts back — Into Tomorrow heads into this ranked last on our figures, and a 39-day absence does little to boost confidence, even if she has run over today's trip and going before.
Form last 6490
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
45SR—RPR55OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 45 suggests ability but 18/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Nephin Mountain has won once in his last six starts, with that victory coming last time out after a fifth and an unplaced run, and he ranks tenth of twelve on our figures. He has experience of today's distance and going, but there is precious little else to build a case on here.
Form last 6484051
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
59SR—RPR55OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 59 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer),
Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync.
Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Iamimmaculate owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (48) and market confidence (88). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
5/2Gerard O'LearyDylan Browne McMonagle
81%Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner
Jp's Express
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
11/4 · Michael Mulvany✓ Value Signal
Unfamiliar
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
20/1 · K Smith◈ Chamber Memory
Balanced
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Iamimmaculate (SR:87, 5/2) is the clear ability leader in this field — the SR gap over the second-best, Jp's Express (SR:71), is 16 points, a substantial margin in a field where most runners sit below SR:65. The market has backed that judgement emphatically, the price steaming in 45% from opening, which is the strongest market move in the field by a wide margin and signals informed money. Dylan Browne McMonagle (16% strike rate, 963 career rides) is a high-quality booking that strengthens confidence further. The 10-0 weight is a concern at the head of the market in a 3yo handicap, but the SR advantage is large enough to absorb that penalty, and the form string of 012-4 shows a horse that has been running competitively at a higher level.
Each-way alternative: Jp's Express.
Main danger: Jp's Express — Jp's Express (SR:71, 11/4) is the second-highest-rated runner, arrives on a flat MarkMv:= off a recent win (form -60031), ran just 2 days ago suggesting yard confidence, and at 11/4 the market respects it as a genuine alternative — if Iamimmaculate fails to handle the top weight on Good ground, Mulvany's runner is best positioned to capitalise.