Blood Destiny arrives here second last time out and a winner four starts back, with previous experience of today's distance and going and a rating of 156 that puts him clear of his rivals. The 62-day absence is the one query, but his profile makes him the one to beat.
Form last 6P125-2
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
142SR—RPR150OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 142 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Two wins in his last four starts, including back-to-back victories, show Coming Up Easy in good heart, and he has experience of today's distance and going; a return from 114 days off is the one question to answer.
Form last 61/1P0-
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
126SR—RPR140OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 126 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Runcok has run over today's trip and going, and his win four starts back shows he can compete at this level, but three runs without troubling the judge since, a 69-day absence, and a trainer who is winless in 27 recent attempts all work against him under 149 lb.
Form last 6F174-6
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
105SR—RPR133OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 105 suggests ability but 33/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
A winner three starts back and second last time out, Le Nez Creux arrives with solid recent form and has the profile to make her presence felt off a 132 rating; the chief concern is a trainer running cold at 0/30 over the past fortnight.
Form last 613152-
★AI Rating★★★★☆
129SR—RPR132OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
Favourable weight of 10-8 gives a real edge in this handicap.
Rated 140 and ranked second of 12, Path d'Oroux holds strong claims on his official mark of 130, and has run over today's trip and going; the chief concern is a trainer without a winner in 30 attempts over the past fortnight, and he arrives just one day after his last outing.
Form last 64950-0
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
113SR—RPR130OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 113 suggests ability but 16/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Yet to score in his last five starts, The Banger Doyle at least showed ability when second last time out, and has run over today's trip and going before; carrying 145 lb against higher-ranked rivals, however, makes progression hard to envisage.
Form last 6660-72
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
118SR—RPR129OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 118 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Winless in his last five starts and pulling up two runs back are real concerns, but Drumgill has run over today's trip and going before and bounced back to finish fourth last time out; a rating of 130 gives him something to work with from the middle of the field.
Form last 6U-75P4
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
120SR—RPR125OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 120 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Ranked bottom of the field on our figures, Lisleigh Lad faces a stiff ask off 140 lb, and his last-five form — a winner last time out but fourth and third in the starts before that — is inconsistent; experience over today's trip and going at least removes one unknown.
Form last 624-341
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
127SR—RPR123OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 127 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Winless in his last five starts, with an unseating thrown in, War Correspondent is hard to fancy ranked 11 of 12 on our figures; he does return quickly on familiar distance and going, and a third last time out offers a crumb of encouragement.
Form last 6-44U43
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
97SR—RPR123OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 97 suggests ability but 33/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Winless in his last five starts, Itsalladream has nonetheless been running consistently in the minors, and he has experience of today's trip and conditions; the 140 lb burden may be the biggest obstacle to bridging that gap.
Form last 645-554
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
120SR—RPR122OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 120 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Winless in his last five starts and ranked ninth of 12 on our figures, Watch The Weather is hard to fancy at 140 lb; a second three starts back offers a crumb of hope, and experience over today's trip and going at least removes any unknown.
Form last 686-205
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
98SR—RPR121OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 98 suggests ability but 22/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer),
Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync.
Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Blood Destiny owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (79) and market confidence (82). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
4/1W P MullinsPaul Townend
67%Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner
Le Nez Creux
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
10/3 · Gavin Cromwell✓ Value Signal
Runcok
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
33/1 · John C McConnell◈ Chamber Memory
Balanced
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Lisleigh Lad (SR 127, 11/2) carries a featherweight 10-0 — a 3lb-12lb advantage over the top three in the market — and arrives on the back of a last-time-out win (form 24-341, rightmost digit = 1), providing the most recent evidence of peak fitness in the field. Trainer Ms Eleanor Broderick sends this horse out with 30 days freshness, which is ideal rather than a concern for a chaser at this trip. The SR of 127 is second only to Le Nez Creux's 129 among the realistic contenders but Lisleigh Lad carries 8lb less than Le Nez Creux, a meaningful weight advantage on Good ground over 2m2f. The horse is running off a mark +6 above its last win, which is the one caveat, but the weight-for-SR equation and the recency of winning form make this the most compelling case in the field.
Each-way alternative: Drumgill.
Main danger: Le Nez Creux — Le Nez Creux (SR 129, 10/3) is the highest-rated realistic contender, booking Mark Walsh who vastly outperforms the trainer's yard strike rate, and at only 5 years old is likely the most progressive horse in the field — four-star AI probability reflects genuine upside despite the 18% drift.
ShortlistLisleigh Lad, Le Nez Creux, Drumgill, Itsalladream